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KTP Kotka Basket vs Honka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 97-81
30-20 19-22 24-13 24-26
Position#4
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game95.2
FinlandKorisliigaRound 5· Steveco-Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Honka
15 Jan 2027
KTP v HON
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
KTP 105
HON119
06 Mar 2026
KTP 89
HON68
21 Oct 2025
KTP 97
HON81
26 Feb 2025
KTP 87
HON67
03 Dec 2024
KTP 92
HON96
20 Jan 2023
KTP 91
HON78
25 Mar 2015
KTP 92
HON96
17 Oct 2014
KTP 73
HON74
03 Mar 2014
KTP 98
HON73
15 Nov 2013
KTP 81
HON65
02 Mar 2011
KTP 81
HON73
03 Nov 2010
KTP 112
HON91
03 Feb 2010
KTP 95
HON84
28 Oct 2009
KTP 88
HON73
20 Apr 2009
KTP 64
HON89
27 Mar 2009
KTP 63
HON85
27 Dec 2008
KTP 76
HON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Honka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
73avg 77
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
95avg 77
A28/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
83avg 77
H04/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
82-100
82
100
-18
76avg 77
A12/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 77
A15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
96avg 77
H19/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
59avg 77
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
95-68
95
68
+27
90avg 77
H10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 77
A14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
58avg 77
A17/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-20
27-7
27-22
28-27
17-19
23-19
26-24
27-22
25-21
15-28
18-15
21-25
21-24
21-24
19-27
24-28
25-27
21-31
14-22
18-23
19-12
23-25
30-25
21-17
24-15
18-21
11-24
14-16
21-21
28-17
32-14
19-17
25-19
21-22
10-22
13-20
19-31
13-23
23-18
168.6Avg total
83.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.079.2157.2-1.225%
Season at home (2)84.572.5157.0+12.050%
Season away (2)71.586.0157.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)83.485.2168.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)80.480.4160.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.596.2184.8-7.825%
vs Similar (21)83.385.3168.6-2.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.877.6163.4+8.280%
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHonka
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
67-87
67
87
-20
57avg 72
A26/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
89-94
89
94
-5
78avg 72
H28/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 72
H04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 72
A08/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 72
A14/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 72
H19/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 72
A03/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
90-121
90
121
-31
69avg 72
H07/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
53-99
53
99
-46
38avg 72
A11/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
99avg 72
H18/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-15
7-27
22-27
27-28
19-17
19-23
24-26
19-15
16-15
26-14
18-22
28-22
11-26
25-21
14-25
12-23
21-19
18-20
22-17
28-20
13-20
24-22
23-27
21-18
18-20
27-14
14-22
18-30
23-29
22-25
27-37
9-22
16-21
14-29
14-27
24-26
26-16
22-14
33-31
169.2Avg total
80.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.095.2177.2-13.250%
Season at home (2)97.5104.0201.5-6.550%
Season away (2)66.586.5153.0-20.050%
Last 10 (10)80.289.0169.2-8.830%
Last 5 (5)83.294.0177.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.492.3176.7-7.920%
vs Similar (15)81.189.3170.5-8.233%
vs Weaker (5)85.079.6164.6+5.480%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.0-5.0
KTP Kotka BasketHonka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H26/02
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H04/03
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A15/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H19/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A17/10
Korisliiga
83.6Avg total
41.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.784.4-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.841.981.7-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.743.587.1+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.283.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.850.296.0-4.525%-
vs Similar (21)42.142.784.8-0.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.836.673.4+0.260%-
This opponent (Honka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HonkaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H04/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A14/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/03
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A03/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H07/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A11/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/10
Korisliiga
80.7Avg total
38.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.584.5-2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.344.188.4+0.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.880.7-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.742.080.7-3.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.483.6-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.348.389.6-7.030%-
vs Similar (15)41.641.983.5-0.360%-
vs Weaker (5)39.038.477.4+0.680%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
2.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.3
35.3%
33.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.1
75.6%
74.0%12.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Honkatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Honka: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.9
49.5%
2.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
33.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.214.0
66.0%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LLWLWLLLWW
Honka
WLLWLLLWLL
#4
League position
#6
-2.7
Net rating
-11.1
109.8
Offensive rating
102.4
112.4
Defensive rating
113.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
47.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
29.1%
61.5%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 102.4Defence112.4 · 113.6Shooting52.2% · 47.2%3-point %35.3% · 29.1%Ball care18.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds34.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Honka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
KTP Kotka Basket wins
4
Honka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25ABisons Loimaa68-92
14/10/25AHelsinki Seagulls75-80
10/10/25HPyrinto Tampere95-68
03/10/25HKataja74-77
19/03/25HKobrat90-85
15/03/25AKouvot Kouvola84-108
12/03/25APyrinto Tampere82-100
04/03/25HBC Nokia85-86
28/02/25AHonka94-89
26/02/25HHonka87-67
Honkalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HLahti Basketball105-87
11/10/25AKarhu Basket53-99
07/10/25HSalon Vilpas90-121
03/10/25AKobrat80-74
19/03/25HBC Nokia88-89
14/03/25AKobrat73-79
08/03/25AKouvot Kouvola78-94
04/03/25HPyrinto Tampere79-66
28/02/25HKTP Kotka Basket89-94
26/02/25AKTP Kotka Basket67-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.084.571.5
Allowed / game79.272.586.0
Point differential-1.2+12.0-14.5
Avg total157.2157.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Honka
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.097.566.5
Allowed / game95.2104.086.5
Point differential-13.2-6.5-20.0
Avg total177.2201.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas440100%103.880.5+23.2
2 Helsinki Seagulls43175%87.874.8+13.0
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki43175%89.887.5+2.2
4 Pyrinto Tampere42250%86.885.0+1.8
5 Bisons Loimaa42250%84.883.5+1.2
6 Karhu Basket42250%82.283.0-0.8
7 Lahti Basketball42250%87.292.2-5.0
8 Honka42250%82.095.2-13.2
9 KTP Kotka Basket41325%78.079.2-1.2
10 Kataja41325%84.886.5-1.8
11 Kouvot Kouvola41325%91.8101.0-9.2
12 Kobrat41325%77.587.8-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket3019242497
Honka2022132681
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