PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Horsens vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2012
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-75
32-9 18-23 29-21 28-22
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.2
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game96.4
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 18
Other2012-13
Meetings · Horsens v Aalborg
27 Nov 2014
HORS105
AALB82
23 Oct 2014
HORS111
AALB79
09 Oct 2014
HORS84
AALB75
27 Feb 2014
HORS89
AALB97
27 Jan 2013
HORS74
AALB73
17 Oct 2012
HORS107
AALB75
13 Oct 2011
HORS109
AALB90
10 Feb 2011
HORS73
AALB87
31 Oct 2010
HORS94
AALB66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A19/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A02/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H27/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H30/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A04/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H11/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-28
29-24
22-11
17-20
21-17
22-25
14-22
26-22
15-24
23-20
23-27
27-14
11-22
23-24
24-33
13-22
13-17
16-20
6-34
26-17
18-30
25-23
18-27
23-23
22-23
34-24
21-20
22-24
21-21
16-26
26-23
23-25
19-13
21-12
16-15
15-16
25-27
16-11
23-11
166.9Avg total
81.1Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.082.2168.2+3.860%
Season at home (3)88.083.0171.0+5.067%
Season away (2)83.081.0164.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)81.185.8166.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)86.082.2168.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.886.4163.1-9.625%
vs Similar (15)88.585.8174.3+2.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.477.1158.6+4.357%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A26/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H01/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A08/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
H12/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A22/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A27/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A06/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
H10/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
H13/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
13-21
26-22
14-20
24-29
21-20
24-19
22-15
20-24
18-28
11-25
22-14
19-18
8-28
21-22
14-19
19-30
22-16
20-25
17-24
15-21
21-22
26-25
24-18
23-19
19-32
25-25
20-32
13-25
19-22
22-31
27-24
25-23
12-21
22-15
26-33
21-17
14-19
17-17
16-15
171.2Avg total
79.5Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.096.4180.4-12.40%
Season at home (2)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
Season away (3)86.0102.3188.3-16.30%
Last 10 (10)79.591.7171.2-12.210%
Last 5 (5)84.096.4180.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.389.2167.5-11.018%
vs Similar (8)77.279.1156.4-1.950%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
HorsensAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A19/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H28/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A02/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A16/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H27/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/10
Basketligaen
81.9Avg total
39.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.942.184.0-0.239%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.442.184.5+0.331%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.183.5-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.681.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.886.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.839.977.6-2.150%-
vs Similar (15)44.343.487.7+0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A26/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H01/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A08/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H12/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/03
Basketligaen
Aarhus
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/10
Basketligaen
81.7Avg total
36.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.242.779.9-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.641.579.1-3.921%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.880.6-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.181.7-8.50%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.344.081.2-6.714%-
vs Similar (8)37.139.276.4-2.138%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Horsens wins
2
Aalborg wins
DateGameScore
28/01/12Aalborg v Horsens90-101
04/01/12Aalborg v Horsens91-86
13/10/11Horsens v Aalborg109-90
10/02/11Horsens v Aalborg73-87
09/12/10Aalborg v Horsens68-77
31/10/10Horsens v Aalborg94-66
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/12HAarhus79-65
04/10/12AVaerlose79-65
30/09/12HTeam FOG Naestved85-94
27/09/12HRanders100-90
22/09/12ASvendborg87-97
16/04/12ATeam FOG Naestved48-93
02/04/12ABakken Bears85-93
28/03/12HBakken Bears87-93
26/03/12ABakken Bears74-84
19/03/12ASisu87-84
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/12HVaerlose77-83 OT
10/10/12HHorsholm85-92
06/10/12ASvendborg81-102
27/09/12ABakken Bears87-108
22/09/12AAarhus90-97 OT
15/03/12ABakken Bears78-95
12/03/12HBakken Bears62-87
08/03/12ABakken Bears71-91
01/03/12HSvendborg91-83
26/02/12AVaerlose73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game86.088.083.0
Allowed / game82.283.081.0
Point differential+3.8+5.0+2.0
Avg total168.2171.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2012-13
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.081.086.0
Allowed / game96.487.5102.3
Point differential-12.4-6.5-16.3
Avg total180.4168.5188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %40%50%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears550100%89.474.2+15.2
2 Svendborg550100%94.481.6+12.8
3 Sisu54180%83.074.2+8.8
4 Team FOG Naestved53260%75.271.2+4.0
5 Horsens53260%86.082.2+3.8
6 Aarhus63350%75.380.5-5.2
7 Vaerlose41325%71.082.8-11.8
8 Horsholm51420%75.482.2-6.8
9 Randers5050%86.496.2-9.8
10 Aalborg5050%84.096.4-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens32182928107
Aalborg923212275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.