Horsens vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 89-97 (OT)

28-19 17-18 16-21 22-25 6-14

Position#4

Record12-11

FormLWLLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game78.1

Horsens

Aalborg 🏆

Position#9

Record9-13

FormWLLLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game88.5

BasketligaenRound 24

Other2013-14

Meetings · Horsens v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

89-77

+12

H09/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

103-86

103

+17

A12/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

79-86

-7

A15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

103-89

103

+14

H26/01

Basketligaen

Randers

90-86

A30/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

94-103

103

-9

A02/02

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

92-83

H06/02

Basketligaen

Randers

73-74

-1

H13/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

83-98

-15

A20/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

62-60

A22/02

Basketligaen

18-12

16-24

27-20

28-21

18-17

20-33

29-8

36-28

21-21

18-23

22-18

18-24

30-35

26-21

21-17

26-16

16-26

24-24

18-27

32-9

27-30

20-30

22-22

25-21

26-18

26-27

14-28

26-10

24-13

13-30

13-10

23-21

25-20

18-25

24-32

16-21

16-15

15-14

8-9

23-22

171.0Avg total

86.8Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	80.4	78.1	158.5	+2.3	52%
Season at home (12)	80.8	76.2	157.0	+4.5	58%
Season away (11)	80.0	80.1	160.1	-0.1	45%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	84.2	171.0	+2.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	83.6	164.4	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.4	82.4	158.8	-6.0	40%
vs Similar (13)	81.8	79.2	161.0	+2.7	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	86.1	74.7	160.9	+11.4	86%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

104-101 OT

104

101

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-103

103

-17

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

110-99

110

+11

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

96-92 OT

A18/01

Basketligaen

Randers

93-97

-4

H25/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

96-87

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

75-88

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

85-98

-13

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

66-78

-12

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

89-60

+29

H22/02

Basketligaen

20-26

24-19

28-24

22-25

17-18

33-20

8-29

28-36

25-17

35-34

26-26

24-22

26-25

15-21

25-20

17-17

31-30

20-25

20-21

22-21

27-22

16-21

19-21

34-23

11-23

21-22

23-22

20-21

21-23

18-24

25-29

21-22

14-10

10-24

16-28

26-16

7-15

21-16

22-19

39-10

180.3Avg total

90.0Scored

90.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	83.9	88.5	172.3	-4.6	41%
Season at home (11)	84.6	88.2	172.8	-3.5	36%
Season away (11)	83.1	88.7	171.8	-5.6	45%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	90.3	180.3	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	82.2	164.4	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.8	89.4	169.1	-9.6	29%
vs Similar (12)	86.5	86.0	172.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	82.0	77.3	159.3	+4.7	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	21.0	41.2	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.6	41.2	+2.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	25.1	44.7	-5.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.2	43.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.7	30%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	67%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

34-36

-2

H09/01

Basketligaen

Aalborg

38-50

-12

A12/01

Basketligaen

Horsholm

39-44

-5

A15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-56

H26/01

Basketligaen

Randers

40-50

-10

A30/01

Basketligaen

Sisu

47-60

-13

A02/02

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

52-45

H06/02

Basketligaen

Randers

37-43

-6

H13/02

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

43-45

-2

A20/02

Basketligaen

Horsholm

31-29

A22/02

Basketligaen

87.5Avg total

41.7Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	41.9	83.2	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	40.9	84.6	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	43.0	81.6	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.8	87.5	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.3	43.4	81.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.5	41.2	83.6	+1.3	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	43.4	41.1	84.6	+2.3	43%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsholm

44-45

-1

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

50-38

+12

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

60-51

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-46

-5

A18/01

Basketligaen

Randers

51-55

-4

H25/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

43-43

A02/02

Basketligaen

Randers

32-45

-13

A06/02

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-47

-8

H12/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

24-34

-10

A16/02

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

28-31

-3

H22/02

Basketligaen

84.7Avg total

41.2Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	41.3	81.0	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	38.9	80.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	43.5	81.9	-5.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	43.5	84.7	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	40.0	73.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.8	43.4	84.2	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.8	40.4	79.2	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	34.7	73.3	+4.0	33%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.2	36.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.1	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	23.2	44.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.9	45.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.8	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.3	22.7	45.0	-0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	19.3	44.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.1	17.1	40.3	+6.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	21.3	46.6	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	18.4	46.4	+9.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.7	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.3	43.7	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	37.5	77.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	37.1	77.0	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.4	83.5	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.1	39.0	77.1	-0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.4	38.0	77.4	+1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.7	33.6	76.3	+9.1	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.6	44.5	86.1	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	44.6	85.5	-3.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	44.4	86.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	45.2	91.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	42.2	91.2	+6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.6	45.1	82.8	-7.5	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.8	44.2	90.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	42.7	86.0	+0.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
12/01/14	Aalborg v Horsens	86-103
09/10/13	Aalborg v Horsens	71-84
27/01/13	Horsens v Aalborg	74-73
05/12/12	Aalborg v Horsens	71-85
17/10/12	Horsens v Aalborg	107-75
28/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	90-101
04/01/12	Aalborg v Horsens	91-86
13/10/11	Horsens v Aalborg	109-90
10/02/11	Horsens v Aalborg	73-87
09/12/10	Aalborg v Horsens	68-77

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/14	A	Horsholm	62-60
20/02/14	A	Bakken Bears	83-98
13/02/14	H	Randers	73-74
06/02/14	H	Vaerlose	92-83
02/02/14	A	Sisu	94-103
30/01/14	A	Randers	90-86
26/01/14	H	Vaerlose	103-89
15/01/14	A	Horsholm	79-86
12/01/14	A	Aalborg	103-86
09/01/14	H	Svendborg	89-77

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	89-60
16/02/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	66-78
12/02/14	H	Svendborg	85-98
06/02/14	A	Randers	75-88
02/02/14	A	Vaerlose	96-87
25/01/14	H	Randers	93-97
18/01/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	96-92 OT
15/01/14	A	Svendborg	110-99
12/01/14	H	Horsens	86-103
04/01/14	H	Horsholm	104-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	52%
Home	WWWWL	58%
Away	LWLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	58%	45%
Points / game	80.4	80.8	80.0
Allowed / game	78.1	76.2	80.1
Point differential	+2.3	+4.5	-0.1
Avg total	158.5	157.0	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	33%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	0% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	41%
Home	WLLLW	36%
Away	WWWLL	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	41%	36%	45%
Points / game	83.9	84.6	83.1
Allowed / game	88.5	88.2	88.7
Point differential	-4.6	-3.5	-5.6
Avg total	172.3	172.8	171.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	9%	9%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	21	18	3	86%	91.2	74.7	+16.5
2	Randers	23	18	5	78%	89.5	81.6	+7.9
3	Svendborg	22	16	6	73%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
4	Horsens	23	12	11	52%	80.4	78.1	+2.3
5	Sisu	24	11	13	46%	83.5	84.1	-0.6
6	Team FOG Naestved	24	10	14	42%	77.3	80.9	-3.6
7	Aalborg	22	9	13	41%	83.9	88.5	-4.6
8	Horsholm	24	9	15	38%	77.8	80.2	-2.5
9	Herlev Wolfpack	23	7	16	30%	75.0	81.8	-6.7
10	Vaerlose	24	5	19	21%	77.6	91.0	-13.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Horsens	28	17	16	22	6	89
Aalborg	19	18	21	25	14	97

← all games of the day

Horsens vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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