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Vaerlose vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-73
16-20 21-13 22-26 20-14
Position#8
Record10-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#9
Record8-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.2
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2011-12
Meetings · Vaerlose v Aalborg
01 Apr 2015
VAER89
AALB74
22 Mar 2015
VAER83
AALB66
21 Jan 2015
VAER85
AALB75
02 Feb 2014
VAER87
AALB96
24 Nov 2013
VAER79
AALB83
20 Jan 2013
VAER73
AALB58
26 Feb 2012
VAER79
AALB73
07 Dec 2011
VAER76
AALB67
22 Jan 2011
VAER84
AALB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aalborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A11/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H18/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A22/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H29/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A01/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H05/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A16/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A19/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
17-18
21-24
23-16
17-21
19-19
11-18
17-20
21-24
19-9
21-20
18-25
24-21
14-18
16-23
12-17
16-23
21-12
15-24
16-22
25-10
20-22
17-21
24-29
14-23
13-24
12-17
24-17
14-18
21-24
22-21
40-26
17-28
13-27
18-24
21-14
18-25
21-20
11-14
23-11
155.7Avg total
75.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.580.4154.9-5.940%
Season at home (12)78.881.9160.8-3.150%
Season away (13)70.579.0149.5-8.531%
Last 10 (10)75.180.6155.7-5.550%
Last 5 (5)77.683.0160.6-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.984.1157.0-11.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.577.2150.8-3.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A14/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A19/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
H21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
H28/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A01/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
H09/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H15/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
66-100
66
100
-34
A19/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-24
24-21
22-20
18-25
19-20
22-27
13-18
33-18
17-17
12-28
18-17
19-18
13-19
16-18
19-12
17-25
13-14
20-35
22-26
20-25
23-21
27-29
20-26
16-14
12-27
16-20
26-11
21-21
27-22
19-16
16-24
15-23
21-23
18-19
19-29
10-36
22-19
17-22
17-23
169.9Avg total
79.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.284.2161.5-7.032%
Season at home (13)78.681.9160.5-3.346%
Season away (12)75.886.8162.5-11.017%
Last 10 (10)79.190.8169.9-11.720%
Last 5 (5)79.092.0171.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.486.8164.3-9.422%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.176.1153.2+1.056%
vs Weaker (2)91.066.5157.5+24.5100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
VaerloseAalborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/01
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A01/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H05/02
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A16/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A19/02
Basketligaen
77.2Avg total
36.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.941.278.0-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.340.578.8-2.233%-
Last 30 away (12)35.441.877.2-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.377.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.244.279.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.543.579.9-7.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.239.276.5-2.038%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A14/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A23/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H28/01
Basketligaen
Horsholm
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/02
Basketligaen
Aabyhoj
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/02
Basketligaen
Sisu
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A19/02
Basketligaen
81.3Avg total
38.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)38.442.080.5-3.629%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.041.280.2-2.231%-
Last 30 away (11)37.743.180.8-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.281.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.283.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.943.482.2-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.539.476.9-1.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vaerlose wins
1
Aalborg wins
DateGameScore
07/12/11Vaerlose v Aalborg76-67
24/09/11Aalborg v Vaerlose70-73
22/01/11Vaerlose v Aalborg84-76
15/12/10Aalborg v Vaerlose84-80
03/11/10Aalborg v Vaerlose66-70
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/12AAabyhoj73-70
16/02/12ABakken Bears69-93
05/02/12HTeam FOG Naestved97-89
01/02/12ASvendborg63-81
29/01/12HHorsholm86-82
22/01/12ASisu68-81
18/01/12HBakken Bears66-79
15/01/12AHorsens79-78
11/01/12AHorsholm64-78
14/12/11HTeam FOG Naestved86-75
Aalborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/12ASisu66-100
15/02/12HTeam FOG Naestved73-94
09/02/12HAabyhoj96-93 OT
01/02/12AHorsholm70-72
28/01/12HHorsens90-101
23/01/12ABakken Bears72-100
21/01/12HBakken Bears73-81 OT
19/01/12ATeam FOG Naestved88-91 OT
14/01/12AHerlev Wolfpack72-90
04/01/12HHorsens91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeWWLWW50%
AwayWLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game74.578.870.5
Allowed / game80.481.979.0
Point differential-5.9-3.1-8.5
Avg total154.9160.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aalborg
Basketligaen 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWLLWL46%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%46%17%
Points / game77.278.675.8
Allowed / game84.281.986.8
Point differential-7.0-3.3-11.0
Avg total161.5160.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2624292%79.964.7+15.2
2 Svendborg2623388%85.374.2+11.1
3 Team FOG Naestved2617965%82.076.7+5.3
4 Sisu26121446%77.780.1-2.4
5 Horsens26111542%83.584.8-1.2
6 Vaerlose25101540%74.580.4-5.9
7 Horsholm26101638%74.978.2-3.3
8 Aalborg2581732%77.284.2-7.0
9 Aabyhoj2681831%74.881.5-6.7
10 Herlev Wolfpack2662023%77.383.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1621222079
Aalborg2013261473
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