PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Horsens vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-71
30-15 27-25 20-15 22-16
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game79.6
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#9
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game85.4
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Herlev Wolfpack
18 Dec 2024
HORS99
HERL71
23 Sep 2023
HORS84
HERL48
29 Mar 2023
HORS86
HERL59
16 Oct 2022
HORS82
HERL51
06 Feb 2022
HORS99
HERL86
13 Apr 2021
HORS92
HERL81
06 Apr 2021
HORS112
HERL72
21 Nov 2020
HORS83
HERL63
11 Jan 2020
HORS94
HERL64
28 Mar 2019
HORS91
HERL64
21 Mar 2019
HORS112
HERL67
10 Feb 2019
HORS83
HERL54
08 Mar 2018
HORS115
HERL75
02 Feb 2015
HORS88
HERL78
06 Mar 2014
HORS89
HERL88
17 Oct 2013
HORS72
HERL59
22 Jan 2012
HORS94
HERL91
20 Oct 2011
HORS91
HERL73
26 Oct 2010
HORS56
HERL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 79
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 79
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 79
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 79
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
48avg 79
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
95-59
95
59
+36
88avg 79
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 79
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
117-94
117
94
+23
112avg 79
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
80avg 79
A14/12
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
28-15
15-20
33-24
15-17
23-23
20-23
24-27
17-15
28-18
18-22
25-24
20-24
9-14
27-21
24-16
13-19
24-15
11-24
19-20
28-14
22-19
25-8
20-18
20-22
20-20
20-18
22-32
18-9
27-16
30-18
20-21
33-20
21-26
32-22
31-26
18-21
24-27
21-18
18-15
169.0Avg total
88.6Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.979.6167.5+8.373%
Season at home (4)85.275.8161.0+9.575%
Season away (7)89.481.9171.3+7.671%
Last 10 (10)88.680.4169.0+8.260%
Last 5 (5)96.280.8177.0+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.680.0158.6-1.440%
vs Similar (8)88.492.5180.9-4.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.977.3167.2+12.688%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 69
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
93avg 69
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 69
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-98
65
98
-33
56avg 69
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
102-92
102
92
+10
76avg 69
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
no box
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
no box
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
58-89
58
89
-31
49avg 69
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 69
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 69
H12/12
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
32-8
18-35
20-13
22-16
28-27
24-11
17-23
16-23
21-20
18-18
22-21
20-24
18-18
10-26
17-30
35-19
29-26
14-28
24-19
29-25
25-26
26-27
23-15
17-18
23-26
25-28
8-30
21-25
9-23
12-23
16-18
19-19
21-16
23-29
12-15
14-22
19-23
23-24
29-20
168.9Avg total
81.6Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.385.4164.8-6.133%
Season at home (7)78.186.0164.1-7.929%
Season away (5)81.084.6165.6-3.640%
Last 10 (10)81.687.3168.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)78.890.4169.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.593.5169.0-18.110%
vs Similar (7)87.781.9169.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (2)91.087.0178.0+4.050%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.6-1.6
HorsensHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H01/12
Denmark Cup
Amager
#6
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A12/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/12
Denmark Cup
79.3Avg total
42.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.584.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.582.3+5.353%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.586.9+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.379.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.885.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.688.0-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.538.884.2+6.765%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H12/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H19/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A25/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A17/11
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H30/11
Denmark Cup
Svendborg
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A03/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H12/12
Basketligaen
85.5Avg total
43.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.984.2-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.382.2-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.646.686.2-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.645.282.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (7)45.939.985.7+6.071%-
vs Weaker (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.9
53.0%
51.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.4
30.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.1
69.4%
70.2%16.1
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.8
50.2%
51.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.8
34.0%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
70.2%16.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LWWLWLWWLW
Herlev Wolfpack
LLLLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#9
+6.9
Net rating
-4.5
107.9
Offensive rating
98.4
100.9
Defensive rating
102.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
22.3%
36.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.3%
3-point %
34.0%
55.3%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 98.4Defence100.9 · 102.9Shooting50.1% · 50.5%3-point %30.3% · 34.0%Ball care18.9% · 22.3%Off. rebounds36.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Horsens   ■ Herlev Wolfpack
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Horsens wins
0
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ABakken Bears92-95 OT
12/12/24AAmager117-94
01/12/24HVaerlose95-64
28/11/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-92
14/11/24HVaerlose95-59
07/11/24ASvendborg67-78
03/11/24HBears Academy80-75
24/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus88-79
17/10/24HRanders82-90
11/10/24ACopenhagen88-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HTeam FOG Naestved85-89
07/12/24HAmager75-79
03/12/24ASvendborg58-89
30/11/24HTeam FOG Naestved73-102
17/11/24AAmager103-93
14/11/24AHolbaek-Stenhus102-92
09/11/24HBakken Bears65-98
25/10/24ACopenhagen77-82
19/10/24HBears Academy91-77
12/10/24HRanders87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game87.985.289.4
Allowed / game79.675.881.9
Point differential+8.3+9.5+7.6
Avg total167.5161.0171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%25%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %33%29%40%
Points / game79.378.181.0
Allowed / game85.486.084.6
Point differential-6.1-7.9-3.6
Avg total164.8164.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved13130100%97.086.7+10.3
2 Svendborg1211192%87.971.6+16.3
3 Horsens118373%87.979.6+8.3
4 Bakken Bears107370%91.481.9+9.5
5 Randers138562%89.881.5+8.2
6 Herlev Wolfpack124833%79.385.4-6.1
7 Holbaek-Stenhus103730%81.693.2-11.6
8 Copenhagen123925%82.285.2-3.0
9 Amager123925%85.893.4-7.6
10 Vaerlose112918%74.888.9-14.1
11 Bears Academy1221017%75.488.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens3027202299
Herlev Wolfpack1525151671
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.