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Team FOG Naestved vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 101-79
22-25 29-15 32-21 18-18
Position#3
Record16-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#8
Record11-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.3
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2022-23
Meetings · Team FOG Naestved v Herlev Wolfpack
26 Sep 2024
TEAM89
HERL82
28 Dec 2023
TEAM118
HERL70
08 Mar 2023
TEAM101
HERL79
15 Jan 2023
TEAM76
HERL55
02 Oct 2022
TEAM114
HERL82
18 Jan 2022
TEAM88
HERL74
04 Jan 2021
TEAM84
HERL64
14 Nov 2019
TEAM81
HERL77
08 Jan 2019
TEAM108
HERL70
18 Feb 2018
TEAM111
HERL73
21 Sep 2017
TEAM75
HERL56
02 Apr 2015
TEAM79
HERL73
26 Mar 2015
TEAM94
HERL83
23 Oct 2014
TEAM87
HERL93
06 Feb 2014
TEAM70
HERL71
25 Nov 2013
TEAM54
HERL65
22 Feb 2012
TEAM89
HERL73
10 Nov 2011
TEAM86
HERL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Team FOG Naestved winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Team FOG NaestvedDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H20/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
97-101
97
101
-4
A10/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H15/01
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
H04/02
Denmark Cup
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
108-66
108
66
+42
A12/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
116-92
116
92
+24
A16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A02/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
27-16
26-19
26-28
32-16
17-19
23-16
19-19
22-24
16-19
33-25
27-22
27-29
25-22
26-24
19-26
17-15
24-18
18-13
17-9
26-20
22-28
11-22
21-13
–
–
–
–
26-13
35-18
24-18
23-17
26-24
33-21
32-27
25-20
16-20
20-25
17-19
18-19
173.8Avg total
92.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)98.384.6182.9+13.776%
Season at home (10)101.884.9186.7+16.980%
Season away (11)95.184.3179.4+10.873%
Last 10 (10)92.381.5173.8+10.860%
Last 5 (5)92.083.0175.0+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.785.0165.7-4.333%
vs Similar (7)86.085.7171.7+0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)98.383.2181.6+15.080%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
66-95
66
95
-29
A07/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
94-89
94
89
+5
A11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A15/01
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
71-100
71
100
-29
A15/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H02/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A05/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-22
19-28
18-18
15-26
16-29
14-20
21-20
22-19
13-25
29-25
30-20
15-17
18-24
13-18
9-17
19-18
27-24
28-17
23-27
20-22
9-14
17-25
16-23
13-22
11-27
13-23
15-16
11-21
20-32
16-24
24-23
19-20
24-20
22-24
12-17
9-22
29-22
23-19
13-25
160.8Avg total
72.9Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.681.3158.9-3.750%
Season at home (11)80.377.7158.0+2.555%
Season away (11)74.984.8159.7-9.945%
Last 10 (10)72.987.9160.8-15.020%
Last 5 (5)67.288.2155.4-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)75.683.8159.3-8.235%
vs Similar (5)79.881.0160.8-1.260%
vs Weaker (4)86.074.2160.2+11.850%
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
Team FOG NaestvedHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Team FOG NaestvedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svendborg
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H20/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A30/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H05/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A10/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
Denmark Cup
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
61-31
61
31
+30
A12/02
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A16/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/03
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
48.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.440.788.1+6.872%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.739.888.5+8.979%-
Last 30 away (15)46.341.587.8+4.767%-
Last 10 (9)48.140.989.0+7.267%-
Last 5 (5)49.040.489.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.042.791.7+6.367%-
vs Similar (7)45.043.788.7+1.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.139.387.4+8.874%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A07/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A15/01
Denmark Cup
Copenhagen
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H03/02
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A11/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A15/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H02/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/03
Basketligaen
80.4Avg total
35.4Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.278.8-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.579.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.842.878.6-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)35.445.080.4-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.477.4-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.142.479.5-5.235%-
vs Similar (5)37.242.479.6-5.220%-
vs Weaker (4)38.537.075.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Team FOG Naestved) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23ARanders71-83
16/02/23AAmager116-92
12/02/23AHolbaek-Stenhus108-66
04/02/23HRanders85-91
28/01/23HBakken Bears80-83
15/01/23HHerlev Wolfpack76-55
10/01/23ARanders97-101
05/01/23HHorsens98-90
30/12/22ABears Academy91-70
20/12/22HSvendborg101-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23ARanders74-88
02/03/23HSvendborg77-81
15/02/23ASvendborg71-100
11/02/23ARanders52-88
03/02/23HVaerlose62-84
21/01/23HCopenhagen97-86
15/01/23ATeam FOG Naestved55-76
11/01/23AAmager94-89
07/01/23ABakken Bears66-95
30/12/22HHorsens81-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Team FOG Naestved
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL76%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWLWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game98.3101.895.1
Allowed / game84.684.984.3
Point differential+13.7+16.9+10.8
Avg total182.9186.7179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game77.680.374.9
Allowed / game81.377.784.8
Point differential-3.7+2.5-9.9
Avg total158.9158.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Randers2219386%89.975.2+14.7
2 Bakken Bears2117481%95.276.6+18.6
3 Team FOG Naestved2116576%98.384.6+13.7
4 Horsens2215768%86.381.0+5.3
5 Svendborg22121055%88.484.8+3.6
6 Herlev Wolfpack22111150%77.681.3-3.7
7 Vaerlose2281436%79.182.7-3.6
8 Copenhagen2281436%83.291.0-7.9
9 Bears Academy2271532%73.780.5-6.9
10 Amager2151624%81.094.5-13.5
11 Holbaek-Stenhus211205%69.890.3-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Team FOG Naestved22293218101
Herlev Wolfpack2515211879
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