Horsholm vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-95

20-30 24-22 15-22 20-21

Position#9

Record1-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game89.8

Horsholm

Herlev Wolfpack 🏆

Position#4

Record6-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game83.6

BasketligaenRound 10

Other2014-15

Meetings · Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Herlev Wolfpack winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsholm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

82-92

-10

A09/10

Basketligaen

Randers

85-97

-12

H11/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

79-83

-4

A15/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

69-76

-7

A20/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

72-82

-10

H24/10

Denmark Cup

Team FOG Naestved

79-84

-5

H29/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

96-80

+16

H01/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

63-76

-13

H08/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

80-123

123

-43

H15/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-97

-20

A20/11

Basketligaen

23-29

23-20

23-21

13-22

29-27

20-24

20-20

16-26

19-19

21-24

23-16

16-24

25-23

14-13

19-16

11-24

–

20-19

13-21

19-27

27-17

26-20

29-10

23-19

18-31

12-25

17-15

13-23

21-13

24-32

14-37

29-25

13-29

13-18

22-27

18-21

24-31

167.2Avg total

78.2Scored

89.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.9	89.8	168.7	-10.9	11%
Season at home (5)	80.6	92.0	172.6	-11.4	20%
Season away (4)	76.8	87.0	163.8	-10.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	89.0	167.2	-10.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	92.0	171.0	-13.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	76.4	87.3	163.6	-10.9	21%
vs Similar (12)	78.2	81.3	159.5	-3.2	25%
vs Weaker (3)	85.3	79.7	165.0	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev Wolfpack Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

77-76

H29/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

92-82

+10

H09/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

95-69

+26

A13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

93-87

H18/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

93-87 OT

A23/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

88-95

-7

A30/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

89-95

-6

A01/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

110-82

110

+28

H08/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

84-73

+11

A16/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

70-82

-12

H20/11

Basketligaen

26-18

14-23

17-20

20-15

29-23

20-23

21-23

22-13

24-18

27-17

13-19

31-15

25-25

28-21

17-17

23-24

16-16

15-14

19-22

27-25

23-19

23-21

21-30

21-25

25-24

24-23

17-21

23-27

29-14

25-26

26-23

30-19

24-22

21-18

23-15

16-18

14-28

15-21

19-23

22-10

171.9Avg total

89.1Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	90.4	83.6	174.0	+6.9	67%
Season at home (4)	91.2	83.2	174.5	+8.0	75%
Season away (5)	89.8	83.8	173.6	+6.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	82.8	171.9	+6.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	85.4	173.6	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	78.5	89.9	168.4	-11.4	10%
vs Similar (9)	78.0	79.1	157.1	-1.1	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	88.5	78.6	167.2	+9.9	91%

This opponent (Horsholm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsholmHerlev Wolfpack

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.4	22.9	43.4	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	23.7	41.3	-6.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.7	38.3	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.3	21.5	43.7	+0.8	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.1	39.2	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.2	39.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	21.2	39.2	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	36%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.3	16.3	43.7	+11.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.1	16.9	33.0	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	73%	-

HorsholmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

46-49

-3

A09/10

Basketligaen

Randers

49-51

-2

H11/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

40-43

-3

A15/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

39-36

A20/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

33-40

-7

H29/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

55-30

+25

H01/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

29-40

-11

H08/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

38-69

-31

H15/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

35-45

-10

A20/11

Basketligaen

85.2Avg total

40.4Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.6	42.2	81.7	-2.6	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	42.2	82.8	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	42.2	80.5	-3.8	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.4	44.8	85.2	-4.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.8	82.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.4	44.4	82.8	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.5	40.2	79.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.0	40.0	85.0	+5.0	67%	-

This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

40-41

-1

H29/03

Basketligaen

Horsholm

49-46

H09/10

Basketligaen

Aalborg

#10

51-35

+16

A13/10

Basketligaen

Randers

53-46

H18/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

31-30

A23/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

46-40

A30/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

49-47

A01/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

54-40

+14

H08/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

45-40

A16/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

29-49

-20

H20/11

Basketligaen

86.1Avg total

44.7Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.2	79.5	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	42.9	84.0	-1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	37.5	74.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	41.4	86.1	+3.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.4	43.7	81.1	-6.3	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	36.0	72.2	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.4	40.5	83.9	+2.8	73%	-

This opponent (Horsholm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.5	39.5	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	19.2	38.7	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.7	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.2	39.2	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	21.2	38.9	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	24.1	41.8	-6.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	20.3	39.6	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.3	45.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.1	42.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.0	23.6	44.6	-2.6	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.3	19.5	42.7	+3.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	41.5	79.8	-3.3	24%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	42.0	80.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	40.9	78.4	-3.5	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.4	45.0	83.4	-6.6	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	47.2	88.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	37.9	42.9	80.9	-5.0	21%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.1	40.3	78.4	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	39.7	80.0	+0.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	38.5	79.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	42.5	84.3	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	42.2	85.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.0	45.0	85.0	-5.0	30%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.1	39.7	78.8	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.7	37.2	80.9	+6.5	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsholm wins

Herlev Wolfpack wins

Date	Game	Score
09/10/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	92-82
01/02/14	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	72-70
30/11/13	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	83-86 OT
30/10/13	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	87-71
25/02/12	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	79-71
07/12/11	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	80-62
17/11/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	83-94
24/09/11	Herlev Wolfpack v Horsholm	71-69
15/11/10	Horsholm v Herlev Wolfpack	68-57

Horsholmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/14	A	Sisu	77-97
15/11/14	H	Bakken Bears	80-123
08/11/14	H	Horsens	63-76
01/11/14	H	Aalborg	96-80
29/10/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	79-84
24/10/14	H	Vaerlose	72-82
20/10/14	A	Vaerlose	69-76
15/10/14	A	Svendborg	79-83
11/10/14	H	Randers	85-97
09/10/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-92

Herlev Wolfpacklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/11/14	H	Horsens	70-82
16/11/14	A	Vaerlose	84-73
08/11/14	H	Svendborg	110-82
01/11/14	A	Bakken Bears	89-95
30/10/14	A	Sisu	88-95
23/10/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	93-87 OT
18/10/14	H	Randers	93-87
13/10/14	A	Aalborg	95-69
09/10/14	H	Horsholm	92-82
29/03/14	H	Vaerlose	77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	11%
Home	LLWLL	20%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	11%	20%	0%
Points / game	78.9	80.6	76.8
Allowed / game	89.8	92.0	87.0
Point differential	-10.9	-11.4	-10.2
Avg total	168.7	172.6	163.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Herlev Wolfpack

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	67%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WWLLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	90.4	91.2	89.8
Allowed / game	83.6	83.2	83.8
Point differential	+6.9	+8.0	+6.0
Avg total	174.0	174.5	173.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	9	9	0	100%	100.6	84.0	+16.6
2	Horsens	9	7	2	78%	83.2	75.0	+8.2
3	Herlev Wolfpack	9	6	3	67%	90.4	83.6	+6.9
4	Svendborg	9	6	3	67%	82.8	84.3	-1.6
5	Randers	9	5	4	56%	93.3	85.4	+7.9
6	Sisu	9	5	4	56%	88.8	85.8	+3.0
7	Team FOG Naestved	9	4	5	44%	82.4	84.3	-1.9
8	Vaerlose	9	2	7	22%	71.7	77.7	-6.0
9	Horsholm	9	1	8	11%	78.9	89.8	-10.9
10	Aalborg	9	0	9	0%	75.9	98.1	-22.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsholm	20	24	15	20	79
Herlev Wolfpack	30	22	22	21	95

← all games of the day

Horsholm vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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