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Horsholm W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 57-79
13-19 19-17 14-25 11-18
Position#6
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game78.7
Horsholm W
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W 🏆
Denmark
Position#4
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game70.4
DenmarkDameligaen W· Horsholm Hallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Horsholm W v BMS Herlev W
21 Jan 2026
HORS57
BMS 79
04 Oct 2025
HORS68
BMS 80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsholm WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#5
W
58-56
58
56
+2
42avg 51
A27/09
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
52avg 51
H04/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 51
A09/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
62-87
62
87
-25
no box
A10/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
71-105
71
105
-34
62avg 51
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
65-73
65
73
-8
58avg 51
H01/11
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
60-69
60
69
-9
48avg 51
H05/11
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
44-98
44
98
-54
29avg 51
A29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 51
A20/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H14/01
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
16-13
11-16
16-9
20-15
19-18
15-23
14-24
12-23
12-11
16-16
26-15
13-24
13-21
17-17
19-25
22-27
17-26
15-24
17-28
17-20
13-8
24-24
11-21
16-26
16-13
14-17
14-13
12-24
14-32
9-22
9-20
18-17
14-17
22-26
17-26
12-19
25-19
19-18
25-12
143.3Avg total
64.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.678.7143.3-14.130%
Season at home (4)68.572.5141.0-4.025%
Season away (6)62.082.8144.8-20.833%
Last 10 (10)64.678.7143.3-14.130%
Last 5 (5)64.278.8143.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)61.272.8134.0-11.626%
vs Similar (3)76.778.3155.0-1.767%
vs Weaker (3)65.755.3121.0+10.3100%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
L
53-72
53
72
-19
41avg 48
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
80-68
80
68
+12
62avg 48
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
55-65
55
65
-10
55avg 48
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
30avg 48
A18/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
57avg 48
H25/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
54-92
54
92
-38
41avg 48
H01/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
72-65
72
65
+7
70avg 48
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
74-70
74
70
+4
65avg 48
A14/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
55avg 48
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H17/01
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
15-21
13-19
14-14
15-20
18-19
23-15
24-14
15-15
22-21
9-16
9-13
14-10
9-14
9-19
15-17
19-20
20-18
10-20
13-19
10-27
21-11
12-27
11-27
22-18
22-11
10-21
18-15
14-20
20-14
17-18
23-18
19-16
10-21
17-20
14-14
20-5
29-20
23-23
15-16
134.8Avg total
64.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.470.4134.8-6.040%
Season at home (6)63.872.5136.3-8.733%
Season away (4)65.267.2132.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)64.470.4134.8-6.040%
Last 5 (5)69.472.4141.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)58.776.0134.7-17.29%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.463.7135.1+7.757%
This opponent (Horsholm W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Horsholm WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Horsholm WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/09
Dameligaen W
BMS Herlev W
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A09/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A10/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A26/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H01/11
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/11
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A29/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A20/12
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H14/01
Dameligaen W
70.7Avg total
31.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.437.167.5-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.236.567.7-5.333%-
Last 30 away (18)29.937.567.4-7.622%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.170.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.070.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.038.767.7-9.717%-
vs Similar (3)35.339.374.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (3)38.024.762.7+13.3100%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A18/10
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/10
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/11
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/11
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/12
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A18/12
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H17/01
Dameligaen W
68.4Avg total
34.5Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.336.367.6-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.436.770.1-3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)29.235.965.1-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.968.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.670.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.438.568.8-8.127%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.129.064.1+6.143%-
This opponent (Horsholm W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsholm Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsholm W: 61.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.118.0
40.8%
40.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.4
26.1%
24.9%16.1
🏀 Free throws17.49.8
56.1%
64.7%9.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 59.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.616.6
39.0%
40.1%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.64.5
23.0%
24.9%13.5
🏀 Free throws19.712.4
62.9%
64.7%12.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsholm W
WLLLLLLWLW
BMS Herlev W
WLWWLLLLWL
#6
League position
#4
-19.4
Net rating
-13.9
73.5
Offensive rating
71.5
92.9
Defensive rating
85.5
40.3%
Effective FG%
37.5%
43.5%
Opp. effective FG%
41.1%
27.9%
Turnover %
31.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.1%
3-point %
23.0%
51.9%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence73.5 · 71.5Defence92.9 · 85.5Shooting40.3% · 37.5%3-point %26.1% · 23.0%Ball care27.9% · 31.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Horsholm W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Horsholm W wins
1
BMS Herlev W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Horsholm W v BMS Herlev W68-80
Horsholm Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HSisu W81-68
20/12/25AAabyhoj W71-86
29/11/25AFalcon W44-98
05/11/25HAmager W60-69
01/11/25HAabyhoj W65-73
26/10/25ASisu W71-105
10/10/25ASisu W62-87
09/10/25AFalcon W66-65
04/10/25HBMS Herlev W68-80
27/09/25AAmager W58-56
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HAmager W87-64
18/12/25AFalcon W60-71
14/12/25ASisu W74-70
29/11/25HAabyhoj W72-65
01/11/25HSisu W54-92
25/10/25HFalcon W62-77
18/10/25AAmager W47-60
12/10/25HAabyhoj W55-65
04/10/25AHorsholm W80-68
27/09/25HSisu W53-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %30%25%33%
Points / game64.668.562.0
Allowed / game78.772.582.8
Point differential-14.1-4.0-20.8
Avg total143.3141.0144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game64.463.865.2
Allowed / game70.472.567.2
Point differential-6.0-8.7-2.0
Avg total134.8136.3132.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W109190%77.461.6+15.8
2 Sisu W106460%78.066.1+11.9
3 Aabyhoj W106460%71.468.0+3.4
4 BMS Herlev W104640%64.470.4-6.0
5 Horsholm W103730%64.678.7-14.1
6 Amager W102820%59.270.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsholm W1319141157
BMS Herlev W1917251879
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