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Horsholm W vs BMS Herlev W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 68-80
20-15 19-18 15-23 14-24
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game56.0
Horsholm W
Denmark
vs
BMS Herlev W 🏆
Denmark
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.0
Allowed / game72.0
DenmarkDameligaen W· Horsholm Hallen
Women2025-26
Meetings · Horsholm W v BMS Herlev W
21 Jan 2026
HORS57
BMS 79
04 Oct 2025
HORS68
BMS 80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsholm W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsholm WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
59-48
59
48
+11
no box
H03/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#4
W
69-49
69
49
+20
no box
H13/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A17/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A21/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H24/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A28/03
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
57-70
57
70
-13
no box
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
49-71
49
71
-22
no box
H14/04
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
49-63
49
63
-14
no box
A21/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
58-56
58
56
+2
42avg 42
A27/09
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
17-10
9-8
14-18
19-12
14-11
14-6
22-20
27-19
13-16
31-22
14-13
10-15
10-17
19-16
23-13
8-23
12-21
20-12
24-18
21-21
19-8
17-9
24-27
2-22
23-18
18-17
14-13
17-18
4-22
20-8
8-23
10-22
18-23
12-12
9-6
15-18
16-13
11-16
16-9
126.0Avg total
63.3Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)58.056.0114.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)58.056.0114.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)63.362.7126.0+0.660%
Last 5 (5)58.865.0123.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.066.3125.3-7.333%
vs Similar (5)71.075.4146.4-4.460%
vs Weaker (9)76.060.4136.4+15.689%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-84
53
84
-31
37avg 46
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
50avg 46
A23/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
34avg 46
A01/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
63avg 46
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 46
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
54-56
54
56
-2
41avg 46
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-68
53
68
-15
43avg 46
A22/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
37-78
37
78
-41
25avg 46
H26/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
A05/04
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
53-72
53
72
-19
41avg 46
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
8-22
12-12
17-20
11-30
19-19
19-17
16-30
17-20
8-16
13-10
9-11
17-19
14-17
15-15
25-20
20-19
19-19
16-28
16-14
11-17
13-16
16-7
14-16
12-16
16-22
10-17
15-13
16-20
2-20
6-23
13-15
21-15
6-25
15-17
24-12
11-18
15-21
13-19
14-14
131.8Avg total
57.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)53.072.0125.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)53.072.0125.0-19.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)57.774.1131.8-16.40%
Last 5 (5)52.668.6121.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)58.775.8134.4-17.16%
vs Similar (6)65.267.3132.5-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)70.263.6133.8+6.660%
This opponent (Horsholm W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Horsholm WBMS Herlev W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Horsholm WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#5
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H03/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#4
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H13/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A21/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
L
20-44
20
44
-24
H24/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#2
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/03
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A10/04
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H14/04
Dameligaen W
Wolfpack W
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A21/04
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/09
Dameligaen W
63.5Avg total
29.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.067.7-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.935.667.5-3.738%-
Last 30 away (17)33.334.567.8-1.241%-
Last 10 (10)29.434.163.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)29.037.066.0-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.736.764.4-8.920%-
vs Similar (5)34.036.670.6-2.640%-
vs Weaker (9)41.031.872.8+9.278%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A15/02
Dameligaen W
Falcon W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/02
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
18-40
18
40
-22
H26/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/04
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H27/09
Dameligaen W
67.3Avg total
27.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)30.136.066.0-5.931%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.135.665.7-5.540%-
Last 30 away (14)30.036.466.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)27.240.167.3-12.910%-
Last 5 (5)24.638.062.6-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.138.767.8-9.722%-
vs Similar (6)30.531.862.3-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)35.228.864.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Horsholm W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsholm Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsholm W: 56.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀68%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 68% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.019.0
35.2%
40.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.0
14.3%
24.9%9.0
🏀 Free throws20.09.0
45.0%
64.7%9.0
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 55.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.515.6
36.7%
40.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.04.6
20.9%
24.9%13.8
🏀 Free throws15.110.4
68.9%
64.7%10.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsholm W
WLLLWLWWWW
BMS Herlev W
LLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#4
+0.0
Net rating
-23.4
68.5
Offensive rating
70.7
68.5
Defensive rating
94.1
31.3%
Effective FG%
34.9%
27.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
23.5%
Turnover %
27.2%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
14.3%
3-point %
20.9%
50.0%
Assist %
46.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence68.5 · 70.7Defence68.5 · 94.1Shooting31.3% · 34.9%3-point %14.3% · 20.9%Ball care23.5% · 27.2%Off. rebounds37.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Horsholm W   ■ BMS Herlev W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Horsholm W wins
0
BMS Herlev W wins
No previous meetings.
Horsholm Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25AAmager W58-56
21/04/21AWolfpack W49-63
14/04/21HWolfpack W49-71
10/04/21AWolfpack W57-70
28/03/21AAmager W81-65
24/03/21HAmager W64-74
21/03/21AAmager W62-61
17/03/21ASisu W85-70
13/03/21HAabyhoj W69-49
03/03/21HSisu W59-48
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HSisu W53-72
05/04/25ASisu W66-69
26/03/25HAabyhoj W37-78
22/03/25AAabyhoj W53-68
12/03/25HAmager W54-56
09/03/25ASisu W71-80
06/03/25AAmager W78-81 OT
01/03/25AAabyhoj W47-57
23/02/25AFalcon W65-96
15/02/25AAabyhoj W53-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsholm W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game58.0-58.0
Allowed / game56.0-56.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total114.0-114.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game53.053.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-19.0-19.0-
Avg total125.0125.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sisu W110100%72.053.0+19.0
2 Falcon W110100%65.059.0+6.0
3 Horsholm W110100%58.056.0+2.0
4 Aabyhoj W21150%62.559.0+3.5
5 Amager W2020%54.562.0-7.5
6 BMS Herlev W1010%53.072.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsholm W2019151468
BMS Herlev W1518232480
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