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BMS Herlev W vs Falcon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 62-77
19-20 20-18 10-20 13-19
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game58.8
Allowed / game66.2
BMS Herlev W
Denmark
vs
Falcon W 🏆
Denmark
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game61.0
DenmarkDameligaen W· Rosenlund Ny Hal
Women2025-26
Meetings · BMS Herlev W v Falcon W
11 Apr 2026
BMS 82
FALC67
25 Oct 2025
BMS 62
FALC77
21 Dec 2024
BMS 67
FALC91
21 Sep 2024
BMS 81
FALC86
23 Mar 2024
BMS 68
FALC57
22 Oct 2023
BMS 55
FALC106
04 Mar 2023
BMS 89
FALC68
03 Dec 2022
BMS 57
FALC64
02 Apr 2022
BMS 78
FALC92
06 Mar 2022
BMS 54
FALC90
09 Feb 2022
BMS 74
FALC72
19 Jan 2022
BMS 55
FALC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BMS Herlev W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Falcon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BMS Herlev WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
63avg 46
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 46
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
54-56
54
56
-2
41avg 46
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
53-68
53
68
-15
43avg 46
A22/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
37-78
37
78
-41
25avg 46
H26/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
A05/04
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
53-72
53
72
-19
41avg 46
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
80-68
80
68
+12
62avg 46
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
55-65
55
65
-10
55avg 46
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
30avg 46
A18/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
14-17
15-15
25-20
20-19
19-19
16-28
16-14
11-17
13-16
16-7
14-16
12-16
16-22
10-17
15-13
16-20
2-20
6-23
13-15
21-15
6-25
15-17
24-12
11-18
15-21
13-19
14-14
15-20
18-19
23-15
24-14
15-15
22-21
9-16
9-13
14-10
9-14
9-19
15-17
129.1Avg total
59.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)58.866.2125.0-7.525%
Season at home (2)54.068.5122.5-14.50%
Season away (2)63.564.0127.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)59.469.7129.1-10.310%
Last 5 (5)60.266.8127.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)57.775.2132.8-17.56%
vs Similar (4)59.065.8124.8-6.80%
vs Weaker (7)68.363.7132.0+4.657%
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
W
88-75
88
75
+13
87avg 70
H22/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
77avg 70
A27/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
63avg 70
H29/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
67-65
67
65
+2
65avg 70
A06/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 70
H10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
80-73 OT
80
73
+7
83avg 70
A12/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
65-59
65
59
+6
54avg 70
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
67avg 70
H04/10
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 70
H09/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
W
82-61
82
61
+21
69avg 70
A12/10
Dameligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
20-16
19-28
26-12
22-20
18-19
27-19
13-23
12-22
14-24
23-13
29-16
12-16
17-15
16-8
22-26
21-13
15-15
19-18
20-19
20-13
22-14
14-26
13-16
17-15
21-12
11-10
16-22
13-22
23-11
23-15
16-10
23-12
11-12
16-16
15-26
22-17
17-22
20-12
23-10
143.3Avg total
75.5Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.861.0132.8+10.875%
Season at home (3)68.361.0129.3+7.367%
Season away (1)82.061.0143.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.567.8143.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)73.463.4136.8+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)71.166.2137.3+4.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)80.263.2143.4+17.090%
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
BMS Herlev WFalcon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BMS Herlev WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager W
#4
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/03
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#4
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H12/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
18-40
18
40
-22
H26/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A05/04
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/10
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A18/10
Dameligaen W
64.9Avg total
28.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)29.435.865.2-6.428%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.935.865.7-5.940%-
Last 30 away (14)28.835.864.6-7.014%-
Last 10 (10)28.636.364.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)29.235.664.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.738.767.4-9.922%-
vs Similar (4)28.231.059.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (6)32.829.762.5+3.233%-
This opponent (Falcon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Falcon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sisu W
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A27/03
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H29/03
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A06/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A12/04
Dameligaen W
Aabyhoj W
#2
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H27/09
Dameligaen W
Sisu W
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/10
Dameligaen W
Horsholm W
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H09/10
Dameligaen W
Amager W
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/10
Dameligaen W
69.2Avg total
36.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.133.272.3+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.930.968.8+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.635.876.4+4.850%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.969.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.067.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)36.634.270.8+2.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.232.873.0+7.567%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BMS Herlev Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev W: 56.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.915.9
37.9%
40.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.34.9
22.0%
24.9%14.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.1
68.2%
64.7%10.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Falcon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Falcon W: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
54%
25%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.021.6
46.0%
40.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.9
30.6%
24.9%17.7
🏀 Free throws22.314.0
62.8%
64.7%14.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 33%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BMS Herlev W
LLWLLLLLLL
Falcon W
WLWWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#1
-14.2
Net rating
+9.6
72.4
Offensive rating
91.3
86.6
Defensive rating
81.7
36.2%
Effective FG%
45.9%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.6%
28.4%
Turnover %
26.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
22.0%
3-point %
30.6%
45.7%
Assist %
61.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence72.4 · 91.3Defence86.6 · 81.7Shooting36.2% · 45.9%3-point %22.0% · 30.6%Ball care28.4% · 26.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 38.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ BMS Herlev W   ■ Falcon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BMS Herlev W wins
8
Falcon W wins
DateGameScore
23/02/25Falcon W v BMS Herlev W96-65
21/12/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W67-91
26/10/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W58-48
21/09/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W81-86
23/03/24BMS Herlev W v Falcon W68-57
04/02/24Falcon W v BMS Herlev W76-73
22/10/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W55-106
08/10/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W98-59
04/03/23BMS Herlev W v Falcon W89-68
26/01/23Falcon W v BMS Herlev W70-62
BMS Herlev Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AAmager W47-60
12/10/25HAabyhoj W55-65
04/10/25AHorsholm W80-68
27/09/25HSisu W53-72
05/04/25ASisu W66-69
26/03/25HAabyhoj W37-78
22/03/25AAabyhoj W53-68
12/03/25HAmager W54-56
09/03/25ASisu W71-80
06/03/25AAmager W78-81 OT
Falcon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25AAmager W82-61
09/10/25HHorsholm W65-66
04/10/25HSisu W75-58
27/09/25HAabyhoj W65-59
12/04/25AAabyhoj W80-73 OT
10/04/25HAabyhoj W75-65
06/04/25AAabyhoj W67-65
29/03/25HSisu W78-75
27/03/25ASisu W80-81
22/03/25HSisu W88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BMS Herlev W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game58.854.063.5
Allowed / game66.268.564.0
Point differential-7.5-14.5-0.5
Avg total125.0122.5127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Falcon W
Dameligaen W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game71.868.382.0
Allowed / game61.061.061.0
Point differential+10.8+7.3+21.0
Avg total132.8129.3143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Falcon W43175%71.861.0+10.8
2 Aabyhoj W43175%67.060.2+6.8
3 Sisu W42250%71.267.0+4.2
4 Horsholm W42250%63.572.0-8.5
5 Amager W41325%57.563.2-5.8
6 BMS Herlev W41325%58.866.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BMS Herlev W1920101362
Falcon W2018201977
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