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Hottur vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 83-84
22-24 15-20 25-29 21-11
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 4· MVA-hollin Egilsstodum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hottur v Thorl
06 Mar 2025
HOTT103
THOR95
26 Oct 2023
HOTT83
THOR84
28 Jan 2023
HOTT83
THOR86
03 May 2021
HOTT85
THOR100
01 Dec 2017
HOTT71
THOR80
06 Mar 2016
HOTT93
THOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
L
88-109
88
109
-21
no box
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
W
89-75 OT
89
75
+14
no box
A17/02
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 81
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
71-107
71
107
-36
57avg 81
A20/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
20-28
20-26
23-27
20-14
20-27
18-20
14-11
21-24
16-19
20-32
24-15
14-25
16-19
28-18
28-25
26-31
21-20
17-21
20-17
15-22
21-24
30-19
32-20
22-19
11-16
25-23
21-22
29-24
21-16
25-26
29-21
24-17
14-16
15-21
27-19
15-32
23-26
19-23
14-26
174.2Avg total
86.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.089.0174.0-4.067%
Season at home (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)87.597.0184.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)86.088.2174.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)86.486.4172.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.789.2169.9-8.531%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.287.0170.2-3.817%
vs Weaker (9)84.678.1162.7+6.467%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H15/04
Premier league
Haukar
#4
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A17/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
A21/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
no box
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
94-103
94
103
-9
no box
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
no box
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
66avg 75
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 75
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
84avg 75
H19/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-19
26-21
22-23
19-23
22-21
30-28
24-21
16-20
28-20
18-11
21-24
28-28
28-23
18-13
18-19
12-20
18-21
13-22
22-28
27-22
15-37
27-24
25-20
21-22
23-32
16-24
35-24
25-15
20-29
23-33
13-19
22-17
19-22
19-20
24-21
20-20
17-22
27-16
20-23
175.3Avg total
86.7Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.085.7168.7-2.767%
Season at home (2)82.588.5171.0-6.050%
Season away (1)84.080.0164.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.788.6175.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)87.692.4180.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)92.992.0184.9+0.953%
vs Weaker (10)100.686.8187.4+13.880%
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
HotturThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/02
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/03
Premier league
Breidablik
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A05/10
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A20/10
Premier league
84.1Avg total
39.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.5-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.140.678.7-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)41.444.585.9-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.784.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.543.982.5-5.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.745.085.7-4.317%-
vs Weaker (9)40.239.279.4+1.056%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Haukar
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A17/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H24/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A27/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H30/04
Premier league
Valur
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A02/05
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Premier league
87.8Avg total
42.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.089.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.642.988.5+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)45.245.090.2+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.287.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.689.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)44.045.389.3-1.347%-
vs Weaker (10)48.141.689.7+6.560%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.0
50.6%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.5
36.8%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.512.0
82.8%
74.4%12.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
51.2%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.2%
34.2%29.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
74.4%14.7
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hottur
LWWLWLLLWL
Thorl
WWLLLLWWWW
#8
League position
#4
-15.5
Net rating
-3.4
105.9
Offensive rating
104.8
121.4
Defensive rating
108.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.5%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
15.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
30.2%
52.4%
Assist %
62.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 104.8Defence121.4 · 108.1Shooting52.5% · 49.5%3-point %36.8% · 30.2%Ball care19.2% · 15.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Hottur   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hottur wins
7
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Hottur v Thorl83-86
20/10/22Thorl v Hottur89-91
03/05/21Hottur v Thorl85-100
07/02/21Thorl v Hottur97-89
02/03/18Thorl v Hottur94-66
01/12/17Hottur v Thorl71-80
06/03/16Hottur v Thorl93-104
11/12/15Thorl v Hottur85-61
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23ANjardvik71-107
12/10/23HBreidablik80-73
05/10/23AGrindavik104-87
30/03/23HIR Reykjavik79-80
23/03/23ABreidablik98-85
16/03/23HKeflavik84-89
11/03/23AGrindavik86-87
05/03/23HValur81-90
17/02/23AStjarnan89-75 OT
13/02/23ATindastoll88-109
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23HHaukar84-81
12/10/23AStjarnan84-80
06/10/23HValur81-96
02/05/23AValur95-102
30/04/23HValur94-103
27/04/23AValur65-91
24/04/23HValur92-83
21/04/23AValur83-75
17/04/23AHaukar95-93
15/04/23HHaukar94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hottur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game85.080.087.5
Allowed / game89.073.097.0
Point differential-4.0+7.0-9.5
Avg total174.0153.0184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game83.082.584.0
Allowed / game85.788.580.0
Point differential-2.7-6.0+4.0
Avg total168.7171.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik330100%97.381.7+15.7
2 Tindastoll330100%93.783.0+10.7
3 Valur32167%94.077.3+16.7
4 Alftanes32167%80.773.3+7.3
5 Keflavik32167%95.398.0-2.7
6 Thorl32167%83.085.7-2.7
7 Hottur32167%85.089.0-4.0
8 Haukar31233%98.087.0+11.0
9 Stjarnan31233%86.085.0+1.0
10 Grindavik3030%87.398.7-11.3
11 Hamar3030%82.3100.3-18.0
12 Breidablik3030%75.799.3-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hottur2215252183
Thorl2420291184
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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