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Houston Christian vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 81-75
31-41 50-34
Position#297
Record7-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#287
Record9-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Houston Christian v Incarnate Word
02 Jan 2027
HOUS v INCA
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
HOUS81
INCA75
11 Jan 2025
HOUS81
INCA76
10 Feb 2024
HOUS86
INCA83
19 Jan 2023
HOUS78
INCA89
09 Mar 2022
HOUS74
INCA64
24 Feb 2022
HOUS82
INCA68
03 Mar 2021
HOUS72
INCA67
29 Jan 2020
HOUS82
INCA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H06/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
51-68
51
68
-17
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
28-45
22-31
42-48
28-41
33-48
32-36
24-37
27-41
38-40
28-43
39-42
29-23
27-41
31-37
50-33
41-44
41-36
24-31
27-37
141.8Avg total
65.1Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.874.5143.2-5.735%
Season at home (9)72.172.1144.2+0.056%
Season away (11)66.176.4142.5-10.318%
Last 10 (10)65.176.7141.8-11.620%
Last 5 (5)67.473.4140.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.574.3134.8-13.80%
vs Similar (9)72.470.6143.0+1.956%
vs Weaker (4)74.264.8139.0+9.575%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
58-80
58
80
-22
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
28-38
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
36-32
37-24
29-44
38-36
19-28
32-35
19-28
27-28
30-34
46-40
29-38
29-42
22-37
49-42
136.9Avg total
67.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.072.1148.1+3.945%
Season at home (11)85.068.9153.9+16.182%
Season away (9)64.976.0140.9-11.10%
Last 10 (10)67.669.3136.9-1.740%
Last 5 (5)60.470.4130.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.475.3139.8-10.911%
vs Similar (9)67.169.7136.8-2.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.867.2151.0+16.792%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +2.1+2.1
Houston ChristianIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H06/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
29-23
29
23
+6
A13/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H17/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H24/01
NCAA
66.2Avg total
30.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.264.5-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.832.966.7+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)29.433.462.8-4.041%-
Last 10 (10)30.236.066.2-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.666.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.233.662.8-4.431%-
vs Similar (9)33.033.166.1-0.156%-
vs Weaker (4)34.532.867.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#77
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Lamar
#286
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
19-28
19
28
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/01
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H24/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
29.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.466.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.032.470.4+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)27.734.362.0-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)29.933.763.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)23.833.056.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.336.363.7-9.022%-
vs Similar (9)29.030.859.8-1.822%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.833.172.9+6.875%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HUTRGV51-68
20/01/26HNorthwestern St.82-80
17/01/26HEast Texas A&M81-70
13/01/26ALamar56-64
10/01/26AStephen F. Austin67-85
06/01/26HTexas A&M-CC65-81
03/01/26AIncarnate Word56-73
30/12/25AIowa State61-89
18/12/25ANicholls State64-79
16/12/25HMcNeese State68-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HTexas A&M-CC71-79
19/01/26HEast Texas A&M58-80
17/01/26HNorthwestern St.76-74
13/01/26AStephen F. Austin46-56
11/01/26ALamar51-63
06/01/26AUTRGV67-80
03/01/26HHouston Christian73-56
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
16/12/25ATCU65-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%56%18%
Points / game68.872.166.1
Allowed / game74.572.176.4
Point differential-5.7+0.0-10.3
Avg total143.2144.2142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%82%0%
Points / game76.085.064.9
Allowed / game72.168.976.0
Point differential+3.9+16.1-11.1
Avg total148.1153.9140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2118386%78.165.5+12.6
2 McNeese State2117481%83.167.8+15.3
3 Texas A&M-CC21111052%73.066.8+6.2
4 Lamar21111052%72.669.0+3.7
5 UTRGV1991047%72.768.4+4.4
6 Incarnate Word2091145%76.072.1+3.9
7 New Orleans2291341%76.380.1-3.9
8 Nicholls State2181338%74.076.9-2.8
9 Houston Christian2071335%68.874.5-5.7
10 Northwestern St.2061430%72.576.9-4.3
11 SE Louisiana2161529%65.369.7-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Houston Christian315081
Incarnate Word413475
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