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Incarnate Word vs Houston Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-64
34-36 40-28
Position#190
Record10-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#304
Record10-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Houston Christian
03 Jan 2026
INCA73
HOUS56
01 Feb 2025
INCA74
HOUS64
27 Jan 2024
INCA79
HOUS75
11 Feb 2023
INCA78
HOUS84
20 Jan 2022
INCA65
HOUS68
08 Jan 2022
INCA60
HOUS50
09 Mar 2021
INCA68
HOUS80
27 Jan 2021
INCA57
HOUS73
04 Mar 2020
INCA76
HOUS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
101-57
101
57
+44
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
99-48
99
48
+51
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-23
51-34
52-21
47-27
26-18
29-31
30-39
28-33
36-41
40-40
30-40
52-48
26-33
37-36
37-33
41-52
32-43
31-43
38-20
36-38
144.2Avg total
74.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.070.2146.2+5.948%
Season at home (11)84.067.2151.2+16.864%
Season away (10)67.373.5140.8-6.230%
Last 10 (10)74.969.3144.2+5.640%
Last 5 (5)72.077.2149.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.676.9140.5-13.212%
vs Similar (10)71.680.5152.1-8.90%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.565.5148.1+17.082%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
45-77
45
77
-32
A20/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A22/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H11/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H14/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A25/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-35
22-42
23-30
23-32
36-29
25-34
40-26
43-47
41-36
40-40
20-39
39-36
27-24
39-33
45-32
31-40
37-38
49-38
29-26
41-36
136.6Avg total
67.3Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.270.6138.8-2.448%
Season at home (11)72.268.6140.8+3.555%
Season away (10)63.872.7136.5-8.940%
Last 10 (10)67.369.3136.6-2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.468.4139.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.379.0145.3-12.625%
vs Similar (6)69.369.7139.0-0.333%
vs Weaker (3)85.071.3156.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -2.6-2.6
Incarnate WordHouston Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schreiner Mountaineers
#626
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H19/12
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#615
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H29/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H14/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H18/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.369.1+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.732.870.5+4.956%-
Last 30 away (14)31.436.067.4-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)35.731.166.8+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.866.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.235.963.1-8.612%-
vs Similar (10)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.029.870.8+11.282%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#70
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A20/12
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A22/12
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H14/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A28/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.1Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.568.6-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.936.070.9-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)30.934.965.9-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)32.131.563.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.863.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.137.169.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (6)31.232.864.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (3)39.729.769.3+10.067%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86
20/01/25HUTRGV78-85
18/01/25HTexas A&M-CC63-69
14/01/25HNicholls State82-88
11/01/25AHouston Christian76-81
07/01/25ALamar58-72
04/01/25AStephen F. Austin55-49
29/12/24HTexas Lutheran99-48
19/12/24HSchreiner Mountaineers101-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25ASE Louisiana70-62
25/01/25ANew Orleans86-76
21/01/25HTexas A&M-CC76-72
18/01/25HUTRGV66-57
14/01/25HMcNeese State59-75
11/01/25HIncarnate Word81-76
07/01/25AStephen F. Austin83-73
05/01/25ALamar61-63
22/12/24ANorth Texas46-62
20/12/24ATexas A&M45-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game76.084.067.3
Allowed / game70.267.273.5
Point differential+5.9+16.8-6.2
Avg total146.2151.2140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game68.272.263.8
Allowed / game70.668.672.7
Point differential-2.4+3.5-8.9
Avg total138.8140.8136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2216673%77.465.0+12.3
2 Texas A&M-CC2314961%79.469.1+10.3
3 UTRGV2213959%78.372.5+5.8
4 Lamar2213959%71.867.0+4.8
5 Nicholls State2213959%74.069.5+4.5
6 SE Louisiana2213959%72.268.4+3.8
7 Incarnate Word21101148%76.070.2+5.9
8 Houston Christian21101148%68.270.6-2.4
9 Northwestern St.22101245%69.369.4-0.1
10 Stephen F. Austin2291341%64.464.9-0.5
11 New Orleans2241818%69.783.0-13.4
12 TX A&M Commerce2231914%64.378.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word344074
Houston Christian362864
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