PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 122-113
24-23 40-37 30-26 28-27
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks
26 Oct 2026
HOU120
ATL110
20 Mar 2026
HOU117
ATL95
06 Oct 2025
HOU122
ATL113
25 Mar 2025
HOU121
ATL114
20 Dec 2023
HOU127
ATL134
25 Nov 2022
HOU128
ATL122
10 Apr 2022
HOU114
ATL130
16 Mar 2021
HOU107
ATL119
30 Nov 2019
HOU158
ATL111
25 Feb 2019
HOU119
ATL111
25 Mar 2018
HOU118
ATL99
02 Feb 2017
HOU108
ATL113
29 Dec 2015
HOU115
ATL121
20 Dec 2014
HOU97
ATL104
27 Nov 2013
HOU113
ATL84
31 Dec 2012
HOU123
ATL104
31 Dec 2011
HOU95
ATL84
03 Apr 2011
HOU114
ATL109
25 Jan 2010
HOU95
ATL102
09 Dec 2008
HOU92
ATL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
117-134
117
134
-17
107avg 104
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
109-140
109
140
-31
95avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
111-126
111
126
-15
102avg 104
H13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
85-95
85
95
-10
73avg 104
H21/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 104
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-104
93
104
-11
81avg 104
A27/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-109
106
109
-3
96avg 104
A29/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
131-116
131
116
+15
127avg 104
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 104
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 104
H05/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-36
23-35
33-34
26-29
32-38
24-40
31-29
22-33
23-36
29-29
19-37
40-24
21-18
13-29
26-22
25-26
28-18
32-28
27-25
22-23
22-18
27-28
22-23
22-35
26-28
31-22
23-32
26-27
40-24
36-25
31-31
24-36
25-21
28-27
33-36
29-23
19-23
20-28
23-19
27-33
219.3Avg total
106.5Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.5112.8219.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)106.8107.8214.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)126.5124.0250.5+2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)105.9111.4217.2-5.529%
vs Weaker (14)122.2107.6229.8+14.693%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
113-127
113
127
-14
104avg 111
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
118-120
118
120
-2
108avg 111
A03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
105-121
105
121
-16
94avg 111
H05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
147-134
147
134
+13
152avg 111
H06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
112-119
112
119
-7
103avg 111
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
133-109
133
109
+24
140avg 111
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
124-110
124
110
+14
120avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
117-105
117
105
+12
117avg 111
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
95-120
95
120
-25
83avg 111
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
102avg 111
H18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
27-31
30-40
29-30
34-32
38-35
24-34
22-19
31-38
22-40
27-30
25-13
41-28
40-36
38-43
28-27
31-30
26-36
27-26
28-27
33-14
36-31
34-29
30-35
29-26
31-40
31-19
33-25
31-24
27-22
34-38
25-21
17-32
30-29
26-18
22-41
24-33
29-29
24-24
29-20
236.6Avg total
117.8Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.8118.8236.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)116.6113.4230.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)120.0127.4247.4-7.429%
vs Similar ◀ (15)116.6120.1236.7-3.533%
vs Weaker (8)129.9116.1246.0+13.888%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Houston RocketsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A10/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A12/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H13/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H24/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A29/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
76-49
76
49
+27
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H05/05
NBA
108.5Avg total
53.4Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.655.5113.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.954.6113.4+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)56.156.5112.6-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)53.455.1108.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.848.8103.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.558.0123.5+7.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)53.455.2108.6-1.943%-
vs Weaker (14)60.655.4116.0+5.364%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H01/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-78
53
78
-25
H05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H06/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A10/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H13/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A15/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H18/04
NBA
121.6Avg total
60.4Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.060.7122.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.359.1120.4+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)62.862.8125.6+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)60.461.2121.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)57.456.0113.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.765.3126.0-4.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)60.761.1121.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (8)65.555.8121.2+9.888%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.126.4
49.7%
54.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.312.4
38.4%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.5
69.9%
78.1%16.5
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.829.4
55.7%
54.8%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.414.0
36.5%
35.8%42.0
🏀 Free throws21.717.0
78.3%
78.1%17.0
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LWWLLWLLLL
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWWLWLLL
#8
League position
#12
-6.5
Net rating
-1.0
110.1
Offensive rating
114.7
116.6
Defensive rating
115.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.4%
3-point %
36.5%
55.4%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 114.7Defence116.6 · 115.6Shooting52.7% · 55.3%3-point %38.4% · 36.5%Ball care13.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Houston Rockets wins
6
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/25HGolden State Warriors89-103
03/05/25AGolden State Warriors115-107
30/04/25HGolden State Warriors131-116
29/04/25AGolden State Warriors106-109
27/04/25AGolden State Warriors93-104
24/04/25HGolden State Warriors109-94
21/04/25HGolden State Warriors85-95
13/04/25HDenver Nuggets111-126
12/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers109-140
10/04/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-134
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25HMiami Heat114-123 OT
15/04/25AOrlando Magic95-120
13/04/25HOrlando Magic117-105
11/04/25APhiladelphia 76ers124-110
10/04/25ABrooklyn Nets133-109
08/04/25AOrlando Magic112-119
06/04/25HUtah Jazz147-134
05/04/25HNew York Knicks105-121
03/04/25ADallas Mavericks118-120
01/04/25HPortland Trail Blazers113-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets24403028122
Atlanta Hawks23372627113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.