PythiaBasketballBETA
NBA 7-6 · 4/15 Eastern ConferenceThe 2026-27 Atlanta Hawks sit 7-5 overall and 7-5 in the NBA, fourth in the table of 15 teams, and have gone 4-1 over their last five games. Their net rating of 2.2 places them 11th of 30 teams, a drop from sixth a few games ago, and they split home and away play evenly at 3-3 and 4-2, with 120.3 points for and 123.0 against at home, and 116.2 for and 109.3 against on the road. Alexander-Walker Nickeil leads the squad with 19.9 points per game, while Jalen Johnson anchors the frontcourt with 8.3 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game. The Hawks will face the Milwaukee Bucks away on 16 November, with a 77% pythia win probability.
Atlanta HawksLast 20 – points for & against, every competition| Split | Total scored | Total allowed | Home scored | Home allowed | Away scored | Away allowed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 116.1 | 115.6 | 116.3 | 116.6 | 116.0 | 114.8 | 53% |
| vs Stronger (13) | 106.8 | 116.9 | 105.9 | 116.7 | 108.0 | 117.2 | 31% |
| vs Similar (6) | 118.2 | 113.8 | 119.0 | 106.5 | 117.8 | 117.5 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 126.0 | 115.1 | 129.8 | 120.4 | 122.8 | 110.7 | 73% |
| Over 229.5 (game total) | 50% of these 30 games | ||||||
Boston Celtics88%
Houston Rockets75%
Detroit Pistons73%
Los Angeles Lakers72%
San Antonio Spurs72%
Memphis Grizzlies69%
Philadelphia 76ers65%
Golden State Warriors63% Atlanta Hawks61%
Denver Nuggets60%
Miami Heat53%
Dallas Mavericks50%
Oklahoma City Thunder50%
Orlando Magic50%
Cleveland Cavaliers44%
New Orleans Pelicans41%
New York Knicks41%
Toronto Raptors41%
Brooklyn Nets40%
Phoenix Suns38%
Los Angeles Clippers36%
Indiana Pacers35%
Washington Wizards35%
Charlotte Hornets31%
Chicago Bulls31%
Utah Jazz24%
Milwaukee Bucks17%
Sacramento Kings6% Miami Heat120.4 Atlanta Hawks119.4 Memphis Grizzlies119.3
Portland Trail Blazers119.1
Minnesota Timberwolves118.3 San Antonio Spurs118.1 Los Angeles Lakers117.9 Boston Celtics117.4 Houston Rockets117.2 Chicago Bulls116.8 Toronto Raptors116.6 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6 Detroit Pistons116.3 Golden State Warriors115.8 New Orleans Pelicans115.1 Denver Nuggets114.9 Brooklyn Nets113.9 Dallas Mavericks113.4 Indiana Pacers113.2 Orlando Magic112.2 Los Angeles Clippers111.9 Philadelphia 76ers111.7 Phoenix Suns110.9 Oklahoma City Thunder110.8 Washington Wizards110.8 Utah Jazz108.8 New York Knicks108.6 Milwaukee Bucks107.1 Sacramento Kings106.6 Charlotte Hornets98.1 Boston Celtics104.3 San Antonio Spurs106.9 Houston Rockets108.4 Detroit Pistons109.2 New York Knicks109.7 Charlotte Hornets109.9 Minnesota Timberwolves110.0 Oklahoma City Thunder110.1 Golden State Warriors110.5 Memphis Grizzlies111.6 Philadelphia 76ers111.9 Portland Trail Blazers112.4 Los Angeles Lakers113.6 Denver Nuggets113.6 Orlando Magic113.8 Toronto Raptors114.0 Indiana Pacers114.4 Dallas Mavericks114.5 Washington Wizards115.3 Brooklyn Nets115.5 Los Angeles Clippers115.6 Phoenix Suns115.6 Utah Jazz116.5 Cleveland Cavaliers116.6 Atlanta Hawks116.9 Sacramento Kings119.9 Milwaukee Bucks120.1 Miami Heat120.8 New Orleans Pelicans122.0 Chicago Bulls123.7 Miami Heat241.1 Chicago Bulls240.4 New Orleans Pelicans237.1 Atlanta Hawks236.3 Cleveland Cavaliers233.2 Portland Trail Blazers231.5 Los Angeles Lakers231.4 Memphis Grizzlies230.9 Toronto Raptors230.6 Brooklyn Nets229.4 Denver Nuggets228.5 Minnesota Timberwolves228.3 Dallas Mavericks227.9 Indiana Pacers227.6 Los Angeles Clippers227.5 Milwaukee Bucks227.2 Sacramento Kings226.5 Phoenix Suns226.5 Golden State Warriors226.3 Washington Wizards226.1 Orlando Magic226.0 Houston Rockets225.6 Detroit Pistons225.5 Utah Jazz225.4 San Antonio Spurs225.0 Philadelphia 76ers223.6 Boston Celtics221.7 Oklahoma City Thunder220.8 New York Knicks218.4 Charlotte Hornets208.0 Los Angeles Lakers48.9% Denver Nuggets48.3% Washington Wizards47.6% Memphis Grizzlies47.4% Dallas Mavericks47.1% Indiana Pacers47.0% Phoenix Suns46.8% Minnesota Timberwolves46.8% Detroit Pistons46.7% Cleveland Cavaliers46.5% Houston Rockets46.4% Portland Trail Blazers46.4% Chicago Bulls46.3% Oklahoma City Thunder46.1% Los Angeles Clippers46.0% Golden State Warriors45.9% Miami Heat45.8% Atlanta Hawks45.4% Boston Celtics45.3% Orlando Magic45.3% Brooklyn Nets45.0% San Antonio Spurs45.0% Toronto Raptors44.9% Utah Jazz44.8% New Orleans Pelicans44.5% Philadelphia 76ers44.0% Milwaukee Bucks42.9% Charlotte Hornets42.4% Sacramento Kings42.4% New York Knicks41.8% Los Angeles Lakers58.9% Portland Trail Blazers58.6% Denver Nuggets57.9% Chicago Bulls57.1% Indiana Pacers56.3% Dallas Mavericks56.0% Washington Wizards55.7% Phoenix Suns55.5% Miami Heat55.4% Orlando Magic55.1% Atlanta Hawks54.9% Detroit Pistons54.9% Boston Celtics54.1% Houston Rockets53.8% Cleveland Cavaliers53.6% San Antonio Spurs53.4% Memphis Grizzlies53.4% Minnesota Timberwolves53.2% Brooklyn Nets53.0% Utah Jazz52.9% Toronto Raptors52.4% Golden State Warriors52.1% Milwaukee Bucks52.0% Oklahoma City Thunder51.7% Los Angeles Clippers51.6% Philadelphia 76ers51.5% New Orleans Pelicans50.8% New York Knicks50.4% Charlotte Hornets49.9% Sacramento Kings49.3% Memphis Grizzlies39.7% Golden State Warriors38.9% Los Angeles Clippers38.5% Minnesota Timberwolves37.9% Los Angeles Lakers37.0% Oklahoma City Thunder36.8% Brooklyn Nets36.4% Cleveland Cavaliers36.2% Boston Celtics35.8% Detroit Pistons35.4% Phoenix Suns35.4% Portland Trail Blazers34.9% Toronto Raptors34.9% Charlotte Hornets34.8% Houston Rockets34.7% Dallas Mavericks34.6% Indiana Pacers34.5% Orlando Magic34.4% Washington Wizards34.0% Atlanta Hawks33.8% Utah Jazz33.6% Miami Heat33.4% San Antonio Spurs33.2% Chicago Bulls33.2% Philadelphia 76ers32.8% New Orleans Pelicans32.7% Milwaukee Bucks32.7% Denver Nuggets32.5% New York Knicks31.4% Sacramento Kings29.7% Memphis Grizzlies83.9% New Orleans Pelicans81.3% Charlotte Hornets81.3% Houston Rockets80.3% San Antonio Spurs80.2% Philadelphia 76ers79.4% Los Angeles Clippers79.1% Los Angeles Lakers79.0% Dallas Mavericks78.9% Washington Wizards78.6% Chicago Bulls78.4% Atlanta Hawks78.2% Utah Jazz78.2% Cleveland Cavaliers77.9% Golden State Warriors77.6% Oklahoma City Thunder77.6% Portland Trail Blazers77.3% Boston Celtics76.1% Brooklyn Nets75.8% New York Knicks75.6% Indiana Pacers75.1% Detroit Pistons75.1% Toronto Raptors74.3% Orlando Magic74.2% Denver Nuggets73.3% Minnesota Timberwolves73.2% Miami Heat73.0% Phoenix Suns72.4% Sacramento Kings72.0% Milwaukee Bucks70.4% Atlanta HawksLeague average| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 229.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Celtics | 12 | 10 | 2 | 83% | 114.2 | 103.1 | +134 | 44% | 5-0 | 5-2 | 100% | WWWWW |
| 2 | Philadelphia 76ers | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 111.2 | 109.4 | +23 | 35% | 5-2 | 5-1 | 75% | WLWLW |
| 3 | Detroit Pistons | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 115.5 | 107.8 | +85 | 47% | 3-2 | 5-1 | 75% | WLLWW |
| 4 | Atlanta Hawks | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 118.2 | 116.8 | +17 | 67% | 3-3 | 4-3 | 100% | WWWLL |
| 5 | New York Knicks | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 109.8 | 103.7 | +73 | 24% | 4-3 | 2-3 | 20% | WWWLL |
| 6 | Miami Heat | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 117.2 | 120.1 | -35 | 71% | 2-3 | 4-3 | 25% | WLWWW |
| 7 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 116.8 | 115.8 | +13 | 56% | 4-2 | 2-5 | 50% | WLLWL |
| 8 | Toronto Raptors | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 114.2 | 112.8 | +17 | 53% | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0% | LWLLL |
| 9 | Orlando Magic | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42% | 108.3 | 112.8 | -53 | 44% | 1-4 | 4-3 | 100% | LLWWW |
| 10 | Indiana Pacers | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 111.2 | 113.2 | -27 | 41% | 2-5 | 3-3 | 33% | WLLWW |
| 11 | Charlotte Hornets | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.6 | 109.6 | -132 | 6% | 3-4 | 1-4 | 33% | LLLWL |
| 12 | Washington Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 110.0 | 115.8 | -75 | 41% | 2-3 | 2-6 | 50% | LLLLL |
| 13 | Brooklyn Nets | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 110.2 | 115.3 | -56 | 47% | 1-3 | 2-5 | 0% | LWLLW |
| 14 | Chicago Bulls | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 114.4 | 127.7 | -147 | 81% | 1-4 | 1-5 | 0% | LLLLW |
| 15 | Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 106.2 | 120.2 | -183 | 44% | 1-6 | 0-6 | 100% | LLLLL |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 229.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Spurs | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 119.5 | 106.2 | +172 | 28% | 5-2 | 6-0 | 50% | WWWWW |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 85% | 122.2 | 114.2 | +103 | 61% | 5-1 | 6-1 | 100% | WWWWW |
| 3 | Houston Rockets | 13 | 10 | 3 | 77% | 116.2 | 107.4 | +114 | 44% | 7-1 | 3-2 | 33% | LLWWW |
| 4 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.3 | 105.9 | +161 | 44% | 5-1 | 4-2 | 33% | WWWWW |
| 5 | Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 119.6 | 111.8 | +93 | 40% | 3-2 | 6-1 | 100% | LLWWW |
| 6 | Memphis Grizzlies | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 119.9 | 111.8 | +97 | 44% | 2-4 | 6-0 | 43% | LLWLW |
| 7 | Golden State Warriors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 116.7 | 112.4 | +56 | 42% | 6-1 | 2-4 | 50% | WWWLL |
| 8 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 13 | 8 | 5 | 62% | 111.2 | 107.4 | +49 | 17% | 5-0 | 3-5 | 40% | WWLLL |
| 9 | Denver Nuggets | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 114.5 | 113.3 | +12 | 47% | 2-2 | 4-2 | 100% | LWWLW |
| 10 | Dallas Mavericks | 12 | 7 | 5 | 58% | 113.2 | 112.2 | +12 | 31% | 5-2 | 2-3 | 60% | LWWWL |
| 11 | Phoenix Suns | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 111.7 | 116.1 | -48 | 44% | 5-3 | 0-3 | 50% | WWLWW |
| 12 | New Orleans Pelicans | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 116.5 | 125.6 | -119 | 59% | 3-5 | 1-4 | 60% | LLLLL |
| 13 | Los Angeles Clippers | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 112.3 | 117.5 | -58 | 50% | 3-3 | 0-5 | 67% | LLWLW |
| 14 | Sacramento Kings | 12 | 1 | 11 | 8% | 108.2 | 120.9 | -153 | 41% | 0-7 | 1-4 | 0% | LLLLL |
| 15 | Utah Jazz | 13 | 1 | 12 | 8% | 107.5 | 118.6 | -145 | 35% | 1-6 | 0-6 | 67% | LLLLL |
Atlanta HawksLast 20 – Full game points for & against| Full game | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the game | Over 229.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 116.1 | 115.6 | 231.8 | +0.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 116.3 | 116.6 | 232.9 | -0.3 | 57% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 116.0 | 114.8 | 230.8 | +1.2 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 116.2 | 119.2 | 235.4 | -3.0 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 122.8 | 121.4 | 244.2 | +1.4 | 60% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 106.8 | 116.9 | 223.8 | -10.1 | 31% | 31% |
| vs Similar (6) | 118.2 | 113.8 | 232.0 | +4.3 | 67% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 126.0 | 115.1 | 241.1 | +10.9 | 73% | 73% |
| Game total (line 229.5) | Team points (line 114.5) | Margin (win) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away |
| Overall (18) | 236.3 | 242.2 | 231.6 | 119.4 | 119.8 | 119.1 | +2.4 | -2.8 | +6.6 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 239.8 | 245.0 | 234.5 | 117.5 | 118.5 | 116.5 | -4.8 | -8.0 | -1.5 |
| vs Similar (8) | 233.9 | 235.4 | 231.3 | 118.0 | 116.4 | 120.7 | +2.1 | -2.6 | +10.0 |
| vs Weaker (6) | 237.3 | 271.0 | 230.6 | 122.5 | 139.0 | 119.2 | +7.7 | +7.0 | +7.8 |
| % over line / win | 67% | 75% | 60% | 61% | 50% | 70% | 61% | 50% | 70% |
| % under line / loss | 33% | 25% | 40% | 39% | 50% | 30% | 39% | 50% | 30% |
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 54.4 | 30.3 | 54.0% | 60.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 41.2 | 13.1 | 35.1% | 39.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 16.0 | 77.2% | 16.0 |
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games| Shot type | Opponents' Attempts per game | Opponents' Made per game | Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 52.9 | 32.1 | 54.0% | 64.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.4 | 12.8 | 35.1% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 28.0 | 21.8 | 77.2% | 21.8 |
| Player | Comp | GP | GS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander-Walker Nickeil | NBA | 17 | 0 | 28.8 | 19.7 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 42.2% | 37.5% |
| Daniels Dyson | NBA | 17 | 0 | 27.8 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 45.5% | 14.8% |
| Okongwu Onyeka | NBA | 17 | 0 | 26.8 | 13.1 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 50.9% | 33.3% |
| Wiggins Aaron | NBA | 17 | 0 | 23.7 | 13.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 45.9% | 43.1% |
| Johnson Jalen | NBA | 13 | 0 | 30.5 | 18.7 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 45.5% | 21.3% |
| McCollum CJ | NBA | 16 | 0 | 24.1 | 13.1 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 41.8% | 37.0% |
| Dort Luguentz | NBA | 15 | 0 | 23.1 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 36.7% | 35.7% |
| K. Flemings | NBA | 12 | 0 | 20.2 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 52.2% | 40.0% |
| Landale Jock | NBA | 14 | 0 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 48.7% | 31.4% |
| Kispert Corey | NBA | 10 | 0 | 14.6 | 8.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 47.1% | 42.6% |
| A. Newell | NBA | 10 | 0 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 0.9 | 42.9% | 13.6% |
| Dennis RayJ | NBA | 6 | 0 | 13.8 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 48.6% | 20.0% |
| Wilson Jalen | NBA | 4 | 0 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Z. Ejiofor | NBA | 4 | 0 | 13.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 70.6% | 40.0% |
| Finney-Smith Dorian | NBA | 5 | 0 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 46.2% | 40.0% |
| K. Gilbert | NBA | 2 | 0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 33.3% | - |
| Metric | 2022-23 n=93 | 2023-24 n=88 | 2024-25 n=86 | 2025-26 n=92 | 2026-27 n=18 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored / game | 118.0 | 117.7 | 117.7 | 117.2 | 119.4 | |
| Points allowed / game | 117.9 | 120.0 | 119.5 | 116.4 | 116.9 | |
| Game total | 235.9 | 237.7 | 237.2 | 233.7 | 236.3 | |
| Over 219.5 | 84% | 78% | 81% | 72% | 89% | |
| Over 229.5 | 66% | 58% | 71% | 55% | 67% | |
| Over 239.5 | 40% | 44% | 41% | 36% | 39% | |
| Team points over 114.5 | 63% | 53% | 62% | 63% | 61% | |
| Win % | 49% | 44% | 47% | 54% | 61% | |
| Home win % | 57% | 55% | 51% | 57% | 50% | |
| Away win % | 43% | 34% | 42% | 52% | 70% | |
| Margin / game | +0.1 | -2.3 | -1.8 | +0.8 | +2.4 | |
| Won by 10+ | 23% | 17% | 23% | 36% | 17% | |
| Close games won (5 or fewer) | 54% | 52% | 58% | 55% | 100% | |
| Overtime % | 6% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 6% | |
| 1st half total | 120.3 | 118.8 | 120.5 | 118.8 | 121.4 | |
| Won the 1st half | 52% | 48% | 48% | 53% | 56% | |
| 3-point attempt rate | 34% | 41% | 42% | 43% | 45% | |
| Effective FG% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 53% | |
| Pace | 103.3 | 102.9 | 105.0 | 103.7 | 107.7 |
| Date | Game | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov | Chicago Bulls v Atlanta Hawks NBA | 125-117 OT | L |
| 10 Nov | Atlanta Hawks v Los Angeles Lakers NBA | 114-124 | L |
| 08 Nov | Atlanta Hawks v Brooklyn Nets NBA | 124-121 | W |
| 07 Nov | Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards NBA | 139-132 | W |
| 05 Nov | Washington Wizards v Atlanta Hawks NBA | 105-120 | W |
| 03 Nov | Indiana Pacers v Atlanta Hawks NBA | 104-108 | W |
| 31 Oct | New Orleans Pelicans v Atlanta Hawks NBA | 121-99 | L |
| 30 Oct | Atlanta Hawks v Cleveland Cavaliers NBA | 114-111 | W |
| 28 Oct | Atlanta Hawks v Miami Heat NBA | 117-129 | L |
| 27 Oct | Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks NBA | 120-110 | L |
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