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Hungary vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-83
15-17 22-19 9-28 16-19
Position#35
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.0
Hungary
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Arena Savaria
Other2023
Meetings · Hungary v Italy
25 Feb 2024
HUNG62
ITAL83
17 Sep 2018
HUNG63
ITAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hungary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHungary
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
L
85-95
85
95
-10
no box
A01/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
88-103
88
103
-15
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A04/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
71-106
71
106
-35
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
60avg 60
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
23-28
17-28
22-22
16-29
17-25
27-34
28-15
17-21
22-21
14-25
21-11
18-22
15-26
19-27
12-12
19-22
20-32
19-27
13-25
18-23
20-29
26-10
14-21
18-21
18-12
31-10
16-26
16-14
15-26
14-23
19-26
19-23
27-14
17-23
24-17
19-16
18-17
14-16
14-21
161.6Avg total
75.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)65.070.0135.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)75.985.7161.6-9.820%
Last 5 (5)75.477.6153.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)69.581.1150.6-11.532%
vs Similar (8)81.074.0155.0+7.075%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 84
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
20-22
15-14
27-18
13-16
20-13
19-15
20-24
23-17
20-23
18-17
20-10
19-13
20-25
17-31
26-18
20-23
28-16
25-21
17-23
23-19
17-23
19-20
19-14
25-15
14-21
12-11
22-10
26-18
16-28
18-21
22-20
18-15
23-27
19-28
25-19
24-24
26-15
18-17
19-24
158.4Avg total
81.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.576.9158.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)81.077.8158.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.182.0163.1-0.944%
vs Similar (14)86.384.3170.6+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.171.9158.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.7+3.7
HungaryItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A01/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H03/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#20
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
81.6Avg total
37.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.474.9-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.739.875.5-4.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.974.2-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.843.881.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.539.873.3-6.327%-
vs Similar (8)41.038.279.2+2.875%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#34
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
81.2Avg total
41.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.239.483.7+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)40.740.781.4+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.481.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.940.981.8+0.033%-
vs Similar (14)40.840.581.3+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.438.086.4+10.4100%-
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hungarytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.0
43.2%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.07.0
46.7%
71.4%7.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.0 pts a game · 5% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.025.0
61.0%
50.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.0
40.7%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws10.04.0
40.0%
71.4%4.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hungary
LWLWLLLLLL
Italy
WLLWWWLWWW
#35
League position
#9
-10.2
Net rating
+13.2
91.4
Offensive rating
127.9
101.6
Defensive rating
114.7
45.2%
Effective FG%
61.0%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
19.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
38.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.15
32.0%
3-point %
40.7%
83.3%
Assist %
69.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 127.9Defence101.6 · 114.7Shooting45.2% · 61.0%3-point %32.0% · 40.7%Ball care19.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds31.7% · 38.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Hungary   ■ Italy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hungary wins
2
Italy wins
DateGameScore
22/02/19Italy v Hungary75-41
17/09/18Hungary v Italy63-69
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24AIceland65-70
26/02/23HBosnia & Herzegovina87-77
23/02/23ALithuania64-89
14/11/22HCzech Republic83-69
11/11/22ABosnia & Herzegovina78-83
07/09/22HGermany71-106
06/09/22HLithuania64-87
04/09/22AFrance74-78
03/09/22HSlovenia88-103
01/09/22ABosnia & Herzegovina85-95
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HTurkey87-80
09/09/23HSlovenia85-89
07/09/23HLatvia82-87
03/09/23HPuerto Rico73-57
01/09/23ASerbia78-76
29/08/23APhilippines90-83
27/08/23HDominican Republic82-87
25/08/23AAngola81-67
26/02/23ASpain72-68
23/02/23HUkraine85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hungary
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total135.0-135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Italy
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
3 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
4 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
5 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
6 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
7 Belgium220100%66.556.5+10.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Latvia220100%71.563.5+8.0
10 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
11 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
12 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
13 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
14 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
15 Bulgaria129375%79.472.2+7.2
16 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
17 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
18 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
19 Slovakia128467%73.268.8+4.4
20 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
21 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
22 Germany21150%73.564.0+9.5
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain2020%64.068.5-4.5
35 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hungary152291662
Italy1719281983
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