PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Iceland vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-95
12-27 13-22 29-16 17-30
Position#25
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game71.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Laugardalsholl
Other2023
Meetings · Iceland v Italy
02 Jul 2026
ICEL83
ITAL102
22 Nov 2024
ICEL71
ITAL95
24 Feb 2022
ICEL107
ITAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
87-95
87
95
-8
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
H01/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
57-87
57
87
-30
no box
A24/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
69avg 68
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 68
A25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
17-26
17-21
25-21
16-20
5-15
26-16
20-15
15-26
13-25
17-18
12-18
14-19
22-22
27-14
17-25
17-26
21-19
25-15
22-28
18-14
15-21
20-16
19-28
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
154.6Avg total
74.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.570.5143.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)75.076.0151.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)74.580.1154.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)71.675.4147.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.785.5155.2-15.80%
vs Similar (11)85.586.1171.5-0.645%
vs Weaker (13)83.071.9154.9+11.192%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
73-57
73
57
+16
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 85
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
W
83-62
83
62
+21
86avg 85
A25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
20-13
19-15
20-24
23-17
20-23
18-17
20-10
19-13
20-25
17-31
26-18
20-23
28-16
25-21
17-23
23-19
17-23
19-20
19-14
25-15
14-21
12-11
22-10
26-18
16-28
18-21
22-20
18-15
23-27
19-28
25-19
24-24
26-15
18-17
19-24
17-15
19-22
28-9
19-16
156.9Avg total
81.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)87.080.0167.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.375.6156.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.075.0157.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.182.0163.1-0.944%
vs Similar (14)86.384.3170.6+2.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.670.6157.1+16.0100%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
IcelandItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#77
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H01/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A24/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
75.7Avg total
34.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.877.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.775.3+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.240.980.1-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.775.7-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.472.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.242.877.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (11)40.041.381.3-1.327%-
vs Weaker (13)40.234.875.0+5.569%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A29/08
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Turkey
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
Hungary
#35
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
79.9Avg total
41.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.082.4+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.539.584.0+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.440.580.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.879.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.940.981.8+0.033%-
vs Similar (14)40.840.581.3+0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.937.785.6+10.186%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.0
48.0%
50.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.0
33.3%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.5
88.5%
71.4%11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Italy: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.0 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.023.0
60.5%
50.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.0
41.5%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws8.55.0
58.8%
71.4%5.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iceland
LWWLLLWLWL
Italy
WWLLWWWLWW
#25
League position
#9
+2.9
Net rating
+20.6
104.2
Offensive rating
123.4
101.3
Defensive rating
102.8
48.8%
Effective FG%
61.2%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
40.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.13
33.3%
3-point %
41.5%
65.4%
Assist %
73.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 123.4Defence101.3 · 102.8Shooting48.8% · 61.2%3-point %33.3% · 41.5%Ball care15.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 40.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.13Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Iceland   ■ Italy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iceland wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
27/02/22Italy v Iceland95-87
24/02/22Iceland v Italy107-105 OT
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80
14/11/22AUkraine72-79
11/11/22HGeorgia85-88
27/08/22HUkraine91-88 OT
24/08/22ASpain57-87
01/07/22HNetherlands67-66
27/02/22AItaly87-95
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AHungary83-62
22/02/24HTurkey87-80
09/09/23HSlovenia85-89
07/09/23HLatvia82-87
03/09/23HPuerto Rico73-57
01/09/23ASerbia78-76
29/08/23APhilippines90-83
27/08/23HDominican Republic82-87
25/08/23AAngola81-67
26/02/23ASpain72-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.570.075.0
Allowed / game70.565.076.0
Point differential+2.0+5.0-1.0
Avg total143.0135.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.087.083.0
Allowed / game71.080.062.0
Point differential+14.0+7.0+21.0
Avg total156.0167.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
6 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
7 Portugal97278%82.871.9+10.9
8 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
9 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
10 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
11 Czech Republic32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
13 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
14 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
15 Slovenia32167%83.078.0+5.0
16 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
17 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
18 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
19 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
22 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
34 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
35 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
36 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
37 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Netherlands3030%80.089.3-9.3
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iceland1213291771
Italy2722163095
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.