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Italy vs Hungary Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 75-41
15-9 19-6 18-18 23-8
Position#14
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game70.9
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#33
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.9
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Italy v Hungary
23 Feb 2025
ITAL67
HUNG71
22 Feb 2019
ITAL75
HUNG41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hungary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#50
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
101-50
101
50
+51
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
101-82
101
82
+19
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A02/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
19-21
18-14
17-14
35-12
12-13
29-11
25-14
24-21
15-20
13-24
20-13
15-19
15-19
19-20
17-23
15-23
25-25
15-17
25-22
16-26
20-8
24-17
11-11
25-25
29-27
19-13
28-17
20-14
19-14
13-23
17-12
20-24
22-11
11-18
17-12
18-31
23-21
24-21
13-21
151.2Avg total
78.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.270.9150.1+8.370%
Season at home (5)79.671.4151.0+8.280%
Season away (5)78.870.4149.2+8.460%
Last 10 (10)78.872.4151.2+6.460%
Last 5 (5)77.873.2151.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.076.0146.0-6.050%
vs Similar (4)72.074.5146.5-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.567.1145.6+11.476%
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A24/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H26/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A23/02
World Cup
Poland
#19
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H26/02
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A28/06
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H01/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A14/09
World Cup
Italy
#14
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H17/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A29/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
H02/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
13-8
11-17
20-31
20-21
15-15
24-15
25-25
19-19
18-22
16-16
22-23
12-14
20-18
24-12
8-13
29-19
10-20
18-13
24-13
14-19
10-18
13-18
13-18
21-13
20-21
13-11
20-14
14-20
14-19
23-13
12-17
15-22
23-22
12-18
19-12
12-15
22-14
22-24
22-25
142.0Avg total
71.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.170.9142.0+0.250%
Season at home (5)70.472.2142.6-1.860%
Season away (5)71.869.6141.4+2.240%
Last 10 (10)71.170.9142.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)69.472.2141.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)62.469.8132.2-7.420%
vs Similar (3)78.073.0151.0+5.067%
vs Weaker (2)82.570.5153.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
ItalyHungary
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#50
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H23/02
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A26/02
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/06
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/07
World Cup
Czech Republic
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#56
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/09
Friendly International
Poland
#19
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H14/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/12
World Cup
80.0Avg total
41.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.836.173.9+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.137.777.8+2.455%-
Last 30 away (14)36.034.870.8+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.780.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.282.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.037.570.5-4.525%-
vs Similar (4)37.538.075.5-0.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.035.374.3+3.765%-
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#19
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A24/11
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/02
World Cup
Poland
#19
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H26/02
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/06
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H01/07
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/09
World Cup
Italy
#14
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H17/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A29/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H02/12
World Cup
69.0Avg total
33.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)33.735.369.0-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.634.665.2-4.020%-
Last 30 away (5)36.836.072.8+0.840%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.369.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.034.264.2-4.220%-
vs Similar (3)37.735.773.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (2)37.037.574.5-0.50%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Italy wins
0
Hungary wins
DateGameScore
17/09/18Hungary v Italy63-69
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18APoland78-94
29/11/18HLithuania70-65
17/09/18AHungary69-63
14/09/18HPoland101-82
08/09/18HGermany71-62
07/09/18HCzech Republic80-87
01/07/18ANetherlands66-81
28/06/18HCroatia72-78
26/02/18ARomania101-50
23/02/18HNetherlands80-62
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18HNetherlands91-86 OT
29/11/18ACroatia69-74
17/09/18HItaly63-69
14/09/18ANetherlands74-59
01/07/18HLithuania50-73
28/06/18AKosovo81-65
26/02/18HPoland64-57
23/02/18ALithuania75-80
26/11/17HKosovo84-76
24/11/17APoland60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game79.279.678.8
Allowed / game70.971.470.4
Point differential+8.3+8.2+8.4
Avg total150.1151.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hungary
World Cup 2019
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game71.170.471.8
Allowed / game70.972.269.6
Point differential+0.2-1.8+2.2
Avg total142.0142.6141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria990100%99.165.6+33.6
2 Australia1110191%89.258.4+30.8
3 Lithuania1110191%83.066.3+16.7
4 Greece1110191%82.174.3+7.8
5 New Zealand109190%94.170.8+23.3
6 Argentina98189%87.668.9+18.7
7 Tunisia1210283%77.855.8+22.0
8 Canada119282%92.770.7+22.0
9 Germany119282%86.772.5+14.2
10 France119282%77.764.7+13.0
11 South Korea119282%88.977.7+11.2
12 Venezuela119282%75.567.5+8.0
13 Spain119282%77.571.8+5.7
14 Senegal108280%74.368.0+6.3
15 Angola129375%69.162.3+6.8
16 Puerto Rico86275%82.878.0+4.8
17 Uruguay86275%69.970.5-0.6
18 Brazil118373%77.065.8+11.2
19 Turkey118373%74.266.5+7.7
20 Czech Republic118373%74.973.4+1.5
21 Italy107370%79.270.9+8.3
22 Russia117464%79.570.6+8.9
23 Japan117464%81.172.4+8.7
24 Iran117464%73.267.0+6.2
25 Dominican Republic117464%83.377.3+6.0
26 Poland117464%79.473.6+5.7
27 Montenegro117464%76.774.6+2.1
28 Lebanon106460%80.670.5+10.1
29 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
30 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
31 China116555%83.170.5+12.6
32 Serbia116555%81.572.6+8.8
33 Jordan116555%86.579.2+7.3
34 Latvia116555%78.576.4+2.1
35 Philippines116555%79.778.2+1.5
36 Finland116555%76.176.0+0.1
37 Bulgaria158753%76.777.2-0.5
38 Hungary105550%71.170.9+0.2
39 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
40 Central African Republic105550%68.070.3-2.3
41 Ukraine115645%74.973.4+1.5
42 Israel115645%77.279.7-2.5
43 Georgia115645%77.380.4-3.1
44 Ivory Coast94544%64.262.8+1.4
45 Panama94544%72.873.7-0.9
46 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
47 Netherlands156940%78.174.9+3.2
48 Estonia156940%69.175.9-6.9
49 Croatia114736%72.173.4-1.3
50 Kazakhstan114736%68.579.1-10.6
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina1761135%75.679.7-4.1
52 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
58 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
59 Mali103730%68.177.8-9.7
60 Rwanda103730%67.883.3-15.5
61 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
62 Mexico82625%72.075.5-3.5
63 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
64 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
65 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
66 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
67 Slovenia112918%74.982.2-7.3
68 Chile112918%61.675.7-14.1
69 United States Virgin Islands112918%72.887.0-14.2
70 Qatar112918%62.284.6-22.5
71 Syria112918%66.790.7-24.0
72 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
73 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
74 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
75 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
76 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
77 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
78 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy1519182375
Hungary9618841
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