Iceland U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2023

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 86-98

22-25 28-25 15-33 21-15

Position#14

Record2-3

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game83.4

Iceland U20

Italy U20 🏆

Position#6

Record2-3

FormLWLLW

Points / game65.2

Allowed / game62.4

EuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals

Other2023

Meetings · Iceland U20 v Italy U20

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iceland U20 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Italy U20 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iceland U20Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Romania U20

#15

93-67

+26

H17/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Luxembourg U20

#18

97-55

+42

A19/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Sweden U20

77-71

A22/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Finland U20

94-77

+17

H23/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Serbia U20

67-81

-14

A24/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Slovenia U20

#11

70-68

H08/07

EuroBasket U20

Germany U20

81-83

-2

A09/07

EuroBasket U20

France U20

45-110

110

-65

H10/07

EuroBasket U20

Greece U20

75-83

-8

A12/07

EuroBasket U20

Montenegro U20

#13

99-73

+26

A13/07

EuroBasket U20

19-15

21-18

30-19

23-15

25-8

24-9

25-22

23-16

18-19

12-11

24-13

23-28

23-15

22-14

22-25

27-23

16-23

22-16

12-17

17-25

17-21

19-14

18-22

16-11

20-20

21-23

24-24

16-16

11-20

6-35

13-23

15-32

24-24

21-17

11-24

19-18

18-16

24-23

37-16

20-18

156.6Avg total

79.8Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	74.0	83.4	157.4	-9.4	40%
Season at home (2)	57.5	89.0	146.5	-31.5	50%
Season away (3)	85.0	79.7	164.7	+5.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	76.8	156.6	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	83.4	157.4	-9.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	69.2	86.8	156.0	-17.7	11%
vs Similar (3)	82.0	63.7	145.7	+18.3	67%
vs Weaker (8)	88.1	66.5	154.6	+21.6	100%

This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Israel U20

82-83 OT

-1

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

Croatia U20

#10

72-88

-16

H20/07

EuroBasket U20

Czech Republic U20

#14

71-70

H21/07

EuroBasket U20

Germany U20

67-59

A23/07

EuroBasket U20

Slovenia U20

#11

81-78

H24/07

EuroBasket U20

Belgium U20

64-72

-8

A08/07

EuroBasket U20

Israel U20

66-50

+16

H09/07

EuroBasket U20

Turkey U20

#10

52-55

-3

A10/07

EuroBasket U20

Serbia U20

72-75

-3

A12/07

EuroBasket U20

Poland U20

#15

72-60

+12

H13/07

EuroBasket U20

18-15

25-26

13-15

17-17

20-32

12-14

15-25

25-17

16-18

19-17

18-15

18-20

21-19

23-6

11-24

12-10

15-18

19-19

25-22

22-19

22-15

15-18

17-21

10-18

14-15

21-17

15-8

16-10

8-8

13-14

16-14

15-19

15-16

14-21

25-22

18-16

15-22

27-5

12-18

18-15

138.9Avg total

69.9Scored

69.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.2	62.4	127.6	+2.8	40%
Season at home (2)	69.0	55.0	124.0	+14.0	100%
Season away (3)	62.7	67.3	130.0	-4.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.9	69.0	138.9	+0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	65.2	62.4	127.6	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.4	82.6	157.0	-8.2	0%
vs Similar (14)	73.5	72.8	146.3	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	71.2	62.7	133.9	+8.5	73%

This opponent (Iceland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Iceland U20Italy U20

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	18.2	35.2	-1.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	16%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	15.3	36.7	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	15.8	36.4	+4.9	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	17.6	35.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	15.2	30.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	17.5	13.0	30.5	+4.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	17.8	36.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.4	40.6	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.9	22.1	40.0	-4.1	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	14.7	34.3	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.5	13.8	33.2	+5.8	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.6	35.3	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	15.7	34.5	+3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	55%	-

Iceland U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Romania U20

#15

40-33

H17/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Luxembourg U20

#18

49-17

+32

A19/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Sweden U20

30-30

A22/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Finland U20

45-29

+16

H23/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Serbia U20

38-39

-1

A24/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Slovenia U20

#11

36-35

H08/07

EuroBasket U20

Germany U20

41-43

-2

A09/07

EuroBasket U20

France U20

17-55

-38

H10/07

EuroBasket U20

Greece U20

45-41

A12/07

EuroBasket U20

Montenegro U20

#13

42-39

A13/07

EuroBasket U20

74.4Avg total

38.3Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.7	74.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.5	38.9	74.4	-3.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.1	36.8	74.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.1	74.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	42.6	78.8	-6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.9	42.4	77.4	-7.5	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	30.0	71.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.1	29.5	69.6	+10.6	75%	-

This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Israel U20

43-41

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

Croatia U20

#10

32-46

-14

H20/07

EuroBasket U20

Czech Republic U20

#14

35-35

H21/07

EuroBasket U20

Germany U20

44-25

+19

A23/07

EuroBasket U20

Slovenia U20

#11

34-37

-3

H24/07

EuroBasket U20

Belgium U20

37-33

A08/07

EuroBasket U20

Israel U20

35-32

H09/07

EuroBasket U20

Turkey U20

#10

21-22

-1

A10/07

EuroBasket U20

Serbia U20

29-37

-8

A12/07

EuroBasket U20

Poland U20

#15

42-27

+15

H13/07

EuroBasket U20

68.7Avg total

35.2Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	34.8	72.2	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	35.4	73.6	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.7	34.2	70.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	33.5	68.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	30.2	63.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	41.4	79.0	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.1	36.4	73.6	+0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	37.5	29.7	67.3	+7.8	64%	-

This opponent (Iceland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.5	21.3	38.8	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.7	22.6	38.3	-6.8	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	20.0	44.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	16.9	41.4	+7.6	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	16.3	32.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	18.1	36.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	16.8	15.0	31.8	+1.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.5	21.8	40.3	-3.4	37%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	13.7	30.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.5	20.1	43.6	+3.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.7	19.0	34.7	-3.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	16.1	33.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	15.6	31.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	24.6	44.0	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	16.4	34.1	+1.2	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	27%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.4	79.9	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	41.9	78.7	-5.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.9	40.9	80.9	-1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.7	82.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.8	78.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.2	44.4	78.6	-10.2	11%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	33.7	74.7	+7.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	48.0	37.0	85.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	35.6	70.7	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	33.9	69.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	37.1	71.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	34.5	68.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	32.2	64.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.8	41.2	78.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.7	35.6	71.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	33.6	33.0	66.6	+0.6	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Iceland U20 wins

Italy U20 wins

Date	Game	Score
16/07/18	Iceland U20 v Italy U20	56-81

Iceland U20last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/23	A	Montenegro U20	99-73
12/07/23	A	Greece U20	75-83
10/07/23	H	France U20	45-110
09/07/23	A	Germany U20	81-83
08/07/23	H	Slovenia U20	70-68
24/07/22	A	Serbia U20	67-81
23/07/22	H	Finland U20	94-77
22/07/22	A	Sweden U20	77-71
19/07/22	A	Luxembourg U20	97-55
17/07/22	H	Romania U20	93-67

Italy U20last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/23	H	Poland U20	72-60
12/07/23	A	Serbia U20	72-75
10/07/23	A	Turkey U20	52-55
09/07/23	H	Israel U20	66-50
08/07/23	A	Belgium U20	64-72
24/07/22	H	Slovenia U20	81-78
23/07/22	A	Germany U20	67-59
21/07/22	H	Czech Republic U20	71-70
20/07/22	H	Croatia U20	72-88
18/07/22	H	Israel U20	82-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iceland U20

EuroBasket U20 2023

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	74.0	57.5	85.0
Allowed / game	83.4	89.0	79.7
Point differential	-9.4	-31.5	+5.3
Avg total	157.4	146.5	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Italy U20

EuroBasket U20 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	100%	0%
Points / game	65.2	69.0	62.7
Allowed / game	62.4	55.0	67.3
Point differential	+2.8	+14.0	-4.7
Avg total	127.6	124.0	130.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	France U20	5	5	0	100%	88.4	59.4	+29.0
2	Spain U20	5	4	1	80%	78.6	59.4	+19.2
3	Belgium U20	5	4	1	80%	73.2	64.8	+8.4
4	Greece U20	5	4	1	80%	76.4	69.4	+7.0
5	Lithuania U20	6	4	2	67%	73.0	64.2	+8.8
6	Serbia U20	6	4	2	67%	72.5	69.2	+3.3
7	Germany U20	6	4	2	67%	70.2	69.8	+0.3
8	Israel U20	5	3	2	60%	64.8	64.4	+0.4
9	Turkey U20	6	3	3	50%	64.0	72.7	-8.7
10	Italy U20	5	2	3	40%	65.2	62.4	+2.8
11	Iceland U20	5	2	3	40%	74.0	83.4	-9.4
12	Croatia U20	6	2	4	33%	70.0	76.3	-6.3
13	Slovenia U20	5	1	4	20%	64.2	69.4	-5.2
14	Montenegro U20	6	1	5	17%	69.3	82.0	-12.7
15	Estonia U20	6	1	5	17%	65.8	82.5	-16.7
16	Poland U20	6	0	6	0%	60.7	72.3	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Iceland U20	22	28	15	21	86
Italy U20	25	25	33	15	98

← all games of the day

Iceland U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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