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Idaho State vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-79
43-37 50-42
Position#284
Record5-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#239
Record3-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game87.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho State v Denver
06 Dec 2025
IDAH93
DENV79
18 Nov 2022
IDAH69
DENV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A08/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-41
31-39
35-41
46-30
34-25
37-43
21-34
36-39
34-43
40-40
22-30
33-34
40-32
49-19
34-38
47-46
39-18
43-32
25-29
43-30
140.1Avg total
71.8Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.167.0140.1+6.156%
Season at home (4)83.264.0147.2+19.275%
Season away (5)65.069.4134.4-4.440%
Last 10 (10)71.868.3140.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)75.061.6136.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.5152.3-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.270.9142.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)78.363.5141.7+14.882%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A09/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A22/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
73-103
73
103
-30
A25/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
59-101
59
101
-42
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
34-27
32-48
30-32
37-42
36-42
28-37
42-47
38-38
37-35
28-37
51-47
41-33
42-48
28-56
45-47
27-37
32-64
48-43
45-46
158.6Avg total
74.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.687.4163.0-11.838%
Season at home (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
Season away (6)72.287.7159.8-15.533%
Last 10 (10)74.584.1158.6-9.640%
Last 5 (5)77.491.6169.0-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)71.580.8152.3-9.324%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.776.7150.3-3.067%
vs Weaker (2)69.079.0148.0-10.00%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
Idaho StateDenver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A04/12
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.467.6+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.133.270.2+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)30.933.664.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.164.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.461.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.336.567.8-5.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.834.668.4-0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)36.129.665.7+6.573%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A09/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
28-56
28
56
-28
A25/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A27/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/12
NCAA
75.7Avg total
35.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.437.270.6-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.236.572.8-0.258%-
Last 30 away (18)31.437.769.2-6.322%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.675.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.275.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)32.738.170.9-5.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.834.770.5+1.267%-
vs Weaker (2)25.036.561.5-11.50%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Idaho State wins
2
Denver wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Denver v Idaho State95-82 OT
19/11/22Idaho State v Denver69-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AUMKC68-59
28/11/25HCS Northridge82-50
26/11/25HSam Houston St.81-84
21/11/25HJustice College89-51
19/11/25ASanta Clara55-64
16/11/25ASeattle74-83
09/11/25ASan Diego State57-73
08/11/25ASan Diego Toreros71-68
05/11/25HGilbert Buccaneers81-71
10/03/25HMontana State60-80
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HEast. Washington93-89
27/11/25AWyoming59-101
25/11/25AArizona73-103
22/11/25AColorado State83-81
15/11/25HUTSA Roadrunners79-84
09/11/25AMontana State75-73
07/11/25AWashington70-84
04/11/25ASeattle73-84
07/03/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)62-80
01/03/25HSouth Dakota St.78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game73.183.265.0
Allowed / game67.064.069.4
Point differential+6.1+19.2-4.4
Avg total140.1147.2134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%50%33%
Points / game75.686.072.2
Allowed / game87.486.587.7
Point differential-11.8-0.5-15.5
Avg total163.0172.5159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado98189%87.270.6+16.7
2 Idaho96367%81.772.0+9.7
3 Portland State85362%81.872.2+9.5
4 Northern Arizona74357%78.475.6+2.9
5 Idaho State95456%73.167.0+6.1
6 Weber State84450%87.572.2+15.2
7 Montana State94544%80.469.7+10.8
8 Montana94544%82.475.1+7.3
9 Sacramento State104640%76.478.0-1.6
10 East. Washington92722%78.483.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St96367%80.667.2+13.3
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)106460%76.673.4+3.2
3 South Dakota Coyotes95456%83.279.2+4.0
4 South Dakota St.105550%72.966.5+6.4
5 Denver83538%75.687.4-11.8
6 Nebraska O.114736%75.779.4-3.6
7 Oral Roberts103730%76.482.4-6.0
8 North Dakota103730%73.079.1-6.1
9 UMKC91811%66.983.6-16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho State435093
Denver374279
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