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UMKC vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 59-68
29-25 30-43
Position#368
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#284
Record4-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UMKC v Idaho State
03 Dec 2025
UMKC59
IDAH68
29 Nov 2022
UMKC65
IDAH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A02/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Evangel
#381
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
91-105
91
105
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
45-81
45
81
-36
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
31-34
29-23
44-33
26-40
35-30
35-39
45-35
34-48
44-53
47-52
44-53
26-38
29-33
28-51
17-30
35-42
32-38
23-35
38-47
145.5Avg total
67.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.184.9153.0-16.714%
Season at home (2)85.589.5175.0-4.050%
Season away (5)61.283.0144.2-21.80%
Last 10 (10)67.078.5145.5-11.520%
Last 5 (5)63.883.8147.6-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.286.7152.8-20.50%
vs Similar (14)65.969.9135.9-4.021%
vs Weaker (9)74.267.4141.7+6.867%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A08/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
37-38
29-41
31-39
35-41
46-30
34-25
37-43
21-34
36-39
34-43
40-40
22-30
33-34
40-32
49-19
34-38
47-46
39-18
43-32
143.5Avg total
72.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.868.0141.8+5.850%
Season at home (4)83.264.0147.2+19.275%
Season away (4)64.272.0136.2-7.825%
Last 10 (10)72.970.6143.5+2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.266.4142.6+9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.5152.3-8.70%
vs Similar (12)71.270.9142.1+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.563.1141.6+15.582%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +3.9+3.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: +3.9+3.9
UMKCIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Evangel
#381
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A20/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A25/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A29/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
31.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.967.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.632.767.3+1.962%-
Last 30 away (17)30.936.667.5-5.724%-
Last 10 (10)31.139.971.0-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.843.675.4-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.244.376.5-12.20%-
vs Similar (14)30.633.664.1-3.036%-
vs Weaker (9)35.430.265.7+5.278%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H10/03
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#389
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A08/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A09/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H28/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.367.8+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.832.969.6+3.959%-
Last 30 away (13)31.433.965.3-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.667.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.266.0+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.336.567.8-5.217%-
vs Similar (12)33.834.668.4-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.729.566.3+7.282%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMKC wins
1
Idaho State wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22UMKC v Idaho State65-75
23/11/21Idaho State v UMKC58-74
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AWeber State61-82
25/11/25ALindenwood67-80
20/11/25ATCU45-81
15/11/25ATexas55-71
11/11/25HIona91-105
08/11/25ASouthern Illinois78-101
04/11/25HEvangel80-74
07/03/25ANebraska O.61-70
06/03/25HOral Roberts73-56
02/03/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)59-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HCS Northridge82-50
26/11/25HSam Houston St.81-84
21/11/25HJustice College89-51
19/11/25ASanta Clara55-64
16/11/25ASeattle74-83
09/11/25ASan Diego State57-73
08/11/25ASan Diego Toreros71-68
05/11/25HGilbert Buccaneers81-71
10/03/25HMontana State60-80
04/03/25HNorthern Arizona79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMKC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %14%50%0%
Points / game68.185.561.2
Allowed / game84.989.583.0
Point differential-16.7-4.0-21.8
Avg total153.0175.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game73.883.264.2
Allowed / game68.064.072.0
Point differential+5.8+19.2-7.8
Avg total141.8147.2136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)96367%76.972.4+4.4
2 North Dakota St85362%80.566.6+13.9
3 South Dakota Coyotes85362%84.879.5+5.2
4 South Dakota St.84450%71.664.9+6.8
5 North Dakota93633%74.777.9-3.2
6 Oral Roberts93633%77.681.3-3.8
7 Nebraska O.93633%78.182.6-4.4
8 Denver72529%73.187.1-14.0
9 UMKC71614%68.184.9-16.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado87188%88.870.6+18.1
2 Portland State64267%87.074.5+12.5
3 Northern Arizona64267%81.275.7+5.5
4 Idaho74357%80.172.7+7.4
5 Montana84450%83.874.4+9.4
6 Idaho State84450%73.868.0+5.8
7 Weber State73443%86.973.1+13.7
8 Sacramento State104640%76.478.0-1.6
9 Montana State83538%80.269.1+11.1
10 East. Washington71614%75.384.3-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMKC293059
Idaho State254368
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