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Illawarra Hawks 2 vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 91-99
26-29 20-20 25-23 20-27
Position#2
Record17-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#1
Record17-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game78.1
AustraliaNBL1 EastNBL1 East - Final
Other2025
Meetings · Illawarra Hawks 2 v Canberra
16 Aug 2025
ILLA91
CANB99
17 May 2025
ILLA85
CANB78
23 Jul 2023
ILLA91
CANB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra Hawks 2AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#3
W
102-72
102
72
+30
H15/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H21/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A28/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
122-90
122
90
+32
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A06/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
129-110
129
110
+19
H13/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
101-80
101
80
+21
A19/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
116-76
116
76
+40
H26/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H09/08
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
25-18
17-24
34-15
30-23
14-22
24-18
30-32
23-22
23-18
21-25
18-28
36-29
30-17
30-23
26-21
30-28
24-21
21-25
28-27
23-22
25-46
33-20
31-32
32-31
35-22
36-27
26-30
16-28
40-19
19-17
26-16
30-10
36-14
27-22
23-30
23-15
21-22
30-22
24-30
199.2Avg total
106.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)96.487.0183.4+9.477%
Season at home (12)104.488.9193.3+15.592%
Season away (10)86.884.7171.5+2.160%
Last 10 (10)106.692.6199.2+14.080%
Last 5 (5)111.295.0206.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.884.6170.3+1.256%
vs Weaker (21)97.586.0183.5+11.581%
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#8
W
102-90
102
90
+12
A14/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
96-64
96
64
+32
A15/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
98-52
98
52
+46
H21/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H28/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H05/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A13/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H19/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A26/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H09/08
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
22-18
24-18
24-25
21-13
24-15
30-17
21-19
22-16
29-10
20-10
27-16
22-23
18-23
25-21
28-18
19-22
23-12
29-10
30-25
18-24
18-28
23-25
30-27
17-21
20-16
18-15
25-17
19-12
13-25
27-17
17-17
28-28
16-10
19-16
25-18
25-11
19-31
16-27
24-7
165.9Avg total
90.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.778.1168.8+12.677%
Season at home (11)97.277.3174.5+19.9100%
Season away (11)84.278.9163.1+5.355%
Last 10 (10)90.775.2165.9+15.590%
Last 5 (5)83.478.4161.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.583.0157.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.085.0172.0+2.067%
vs Weaker (22)92.476.1168.5+16.386%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +6.2+6.2
Illawarra Hawks 2Canberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra Hawks 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A28/06
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A06/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
48-68
48
68
-20
H12/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H13/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A19/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
66-24
66
24
+42
H26/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/08
NBL1 East
98.4Avg total
54.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.143.490.5+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.844.794.5+5.150%-
Last 30 away (14)44.041.985.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)54.244.298.4+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)56.245.8102.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.842.784.4-0.933%-
vs Weaker (21)49.443.793.1+5.762%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A15/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H21/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H28/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H05/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A12/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A26/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/08
NBL1 East
81.2Avg total
42.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.640.286.8+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.840.989.8+7.978%-
Last 30 away (12)43.239.182.3+4.267%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.781.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.038.079.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.542.788.2+2.867%-
vs Weaker (22)47.439.787.1+7.777%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illawarra Hawks 2 wins
2
Canberra wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HBA CoE98-89
26/07/25HSydney Comets116-76
19/07/25AInner West Bulls101-80
13/07/25HHornsby S.129-110
12/07/25HSutherland Sharks112-120
06/07/25ANorths Bears103-101
05/07/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits122-90
28/06/25ACanberra85-93
21/06/25HInner West Bulls98-95
15/06/25HBA CoE102-72
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HSutherland Sharks84-76
26/07/25ABA CoE88-72
19/07/25HMaitland M.76-71
13/07/25AHills Hornets80-69
12/07/25ABankstown Bruins89-104
05/07/25HSydney Comets101-69
28/06/25HIllawarra Hawks 293-85
21/06/25HCentral Coast Crusaders98-52
15/06/25APenrith P.96-64
14/06/25AManly W.102-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks 2
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %77%92%60%
Points / game96.4104.486.8
Allowed / game87.088.984.7
Point differential+9.4+15.5+2.1
Avg total183.4193.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%58%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%100%55%
Points / game90.797.284.2
Allowed / game78.177.378.9
Point differential+12.6+19.9+5.3
Avg total168.8174.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra2217577%90.778.1+12.6
2 Illawarra Hawks 22217577%96.487.0+9.4
3 BA CoE2316770%84.775.6+9.1
4 Norths Bears2213959%81.278.5+2.6
5 Sydney Comets2213959%78.478.2+0.1
6 Bankstown Bruins2112957%88.884.7+4.1
7 Sutherland Sharks23131057%86.382.2+4.1
8 Manly W.21111052%85.484.9+0.5
9 Newcastle Falcons20101050%82.381.0+1.4
10 Central Coast Crusaders2091145%82.288.0-5.8
11 Hills Hornets2081240%77.580.2-2.8
12 Maitland M.2071335%88.990.0-1.1
13 Inner West Bulls2071335%83.388.1-4.8
14 Hornsby S.2071335%84.291.0-6.8
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits2051525%80.994.1-13.2
16 Penrith P.2031715%75.189.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illawarra Hawks 22620252091
Canberra2920232799
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