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Illiabum vs Barreirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.5
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Barreirense
12 Dec 2026
ILLI v BARR
upcoming
01 Dec 2019
ILLI69
BARR82
03 Feb 2018
ILLI95
BARR83
27 Nov 2010
ILLI79
BARR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barreirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
77-40
77
40
+37
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
30-19
23-13
17-23
24-7
17-7
23-15
13-11
11-16
18-16
18-8
12-23
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
143.2Avg total
72.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Season at home (2)80.072.5152.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)63.580.0143.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)72.470.8143.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)69.476.2145.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.577.0138.5-15.50%
vs Similar (12)69.671.0140.6-1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.068.9151.9+14.183%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A23/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H29/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A24/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
20-18
25-15
25-15
19-22
20-21
20-16
24-19
26-25
23-22
12-28
21-19
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
21-22
17-13
17-18
17-23
21-22
10-22
12-12
20-15
10-22
14-19
18-17
29-13
22-20
29-21
22-19
18-30
9-22
14-29
16-16
26-25
152.4Avg total
74.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.583.5158.0-9.025%
Season at home (2)77.080.5157.5-3.550%
Season away (2)72.086.5158.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.677.8152.4-3.240%
Last 5 (5)74.082.0156.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.778.9147.6-10.313%
vs Similar (12)77.576.2153.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (3)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
IlliabumBarreirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H04/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
41-14
41
14
+27
A19/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A25/04
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#5
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
72.3Avg total
36.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.171.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.275.3+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.435.068.4-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.072.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.438.269.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.336.765.0-8.317%-
vs Similar (12)35.136.671.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.632.875.4+9.883%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A23/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H29/03
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/04
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#13
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A24/10
Proliga
74.7Avg total
34.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.575.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.638.977.5-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.440.273.6-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)34.040.774.7-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.475.8-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.941.175.0-7.127%-
vs Similar (12)37.837.775.4+0.142%-
vs Weaker (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.3
51.1%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.65.6
30.1%
29.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
66.2%13.2
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.6
46.2%
52.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
29.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws26.218.0
68.7%
66.2%18.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LWLWLLWLWW
Barreirense
LWLLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#14
+0.4
Net rating
-0.5
87.5
Offensive rating
93.7
87.1
Defensive rating
94.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
45.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
30.1%
3-point %
29.6%
61.8%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 93.7Defence87.1 · 94.2Shooting49.1% · 45.6%3-point %30.1% · 29.6%Ball care17.9% · 19.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Illiabum   ■ Barreirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illiabum wins
3
Barreirense wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Illiabum v Barreirense69-82
20/01/19Barreirense v Illiabum84-70
03/02/18Illiabum v Barreirense95-83
11/11/17Barreirense v Illiabum83-87
27/02/11Barreirense v Illiabum90-79
27/11/10Illiabum v Barreirense79-77
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
25/04/26APortimonense59-63
19/04/26AImortal B77-40
04/04/26HGinasio Olhanense91-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AGalomar65-92
17/10/26HGinasio Olhanense91-90
10/10/26ABarcelos79-81 OT
03/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-71
04/05/25HMaia72-76
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58
05/04/25ALusitania82-94
29/03/25HGinasio83-78
23/03/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.880.063.5
Allowed / game76.272.580.0
Point differential-4.5+7.5-16.5
Avg total148.0152.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barreirense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.577.072.0
Allowed / game83.580.586.5
Point differential-9.0-3.5-14.5
Avg total158.0157.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos43175%74.260.0+14.2
2 Lusitania43175%78.870.2+8.5
3 Galitos Aveiro43175%77.272.2+5.0
4 Santo Andre43175%77.572.8+4.8
5 CB Queluz43175%71.870.2+1.5
6 Galomar32167%79.768.7+11.0
7 Maia32167%82.081.7+0.3
8 Sampaense42250%83.277.2+6.0
9 Galitos Barreiro42250%71.573.2-1.8
10 Vasco Da Gama42250%83.084.8-1.8
11 Illiabum42250%71.876.2-4.5
12 Ginasio Olhanense41325%83.890.0-6.2
13 Barcelos41325%67.075.8-8.8
14 Barreirense41325%74.583.5-9.0
15 Benfica Lisboa B41325%65.074.5-9.5
16 Academica4040%74.281.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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