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Illiabum vs Barreirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game83.9
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illiabum v Barreirense
12 Dec 2026
ILLI v BARR
upcoming
01 Dec 2019
ILLI69
BARR82
03 Feb 2018
ILLI95
BARR83
27 Nov 2010
ILLI79
BARR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barreirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
77avg 65
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
74avg 65
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
51avg 65
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
52avg 65
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
48avg 65
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 65
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
53avg 65
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-68
63
68
-5
53avg 65
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
82-63
82
63
+19
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
17-20
20-15
15-16
21-27
23-27
16-17
14-17
15-13
8-21
17-13
20-29
18-22
21-16
20-21
26-16
19-24
10-14
19-11
9-12
14-16
22-18
21-25
18-11
18-26
12-21
20-26
20-26
14-12
8-18
18-14
23-24
20-23
24-15
18-12
20-13
23-26
23-19
23-18
18-22
148.3Avg total
72.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.174.4148.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)77.574.5152.0+3.075%
Season away (3)69.774.3144.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)72.975.4148.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)75.477.0152.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.872.8137.6-8.020%
vs Similar (14)69.673.4142.9-3.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.568.1150.6+14.582%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
51-58
51
58
-7
no box
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
72-76
72
76
-4
no box
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
47avg 66
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
61avg 66
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 66
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
49avg 66
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
89avg 66
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-17
9-6
15-19
20-16
13-24
22-20
19-9
22-17
21-22
17-13
17-18
17-23
21-22
10-22
12-12
20-15
10-22
14-19
18-17
29-13
22-20
29-21
22-19
18-30
9-22
14-29
16-16
26-25
20-28
23-23
23-11
29-23
17-23
25-24
11-17
15-29
11-18
18-19
17-17
18-21
151.5Avg total
72.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.083.9158.9-8.929%
Season at home (3)83.082.0165.0+1.067%
Season away (4)69.085.2154.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)72.479.1151.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)71.882.4154.2-10.618%
vs Similar (10)76.975.7152.6+1.240%
vs Weaker (3)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
IlliabumBarreirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H09/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/05
Proliga
Academica
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A24/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H14/11
Proliga
75.0Avg total
35.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.873.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.8+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.135.169.2-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.675.0-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.874.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.033.062.0-4.040%-
vs Similar (14)35.038.273.2-3.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.734.077.7+9.791%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#9
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A26/04
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/05
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A10/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H17/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A24/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.6Avg total
33.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.377.8-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.380.6-2.036%-
Last 30 away (16)34.041.375.3-7.312%-
Last 10 (10)33.241.474.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.483.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.943.479.4-7.518%-
vs Similar (10)36.538.374.8-1.830%-
vs Weaker (3)39.339.378.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 65.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.4
48.3%
52.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.7
29.5%
30.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
67.3%13.9
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
30.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
67.3%16.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
WWLLWLWLLW
Barreirense
LLWLWLLLWL
#7
League position
#13
-3.7
Net rating
-1.0
83.3
Offensive rating
93.7
87.0
Defensive rating
94.7
46.9%
Effective FG%
46.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.5%
3-point %
29.5%
64.5%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence83.3 · 93.7Defence87.0 · 94.7Shooting46.9% · 46.4%3-point %29.5% · 29.5%Ball care18.4% · 18.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Illiabum   ■ Barreirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Illiabum wins
3
Barreirense wins
DateGameScore
01/12/19Illiabum v Barreirense69-82
20/01/19Barreirense v Illiabum84-70
03/02/18Illiabum v Barreirense95-83
11/11/17Barreirense v Illiabum83-87
27/02/11Barreirense v Illiabum90-79
27/11/10Illiabum v Barreirense79-77
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGinasio Olhanense87-85
07/11/26ABarcelos82-63
31/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-68
24/10/26ASampaense70-99
17/10/26HGalitos Barreiro75-70
10/10/26ACB Queluz57-61
03/10/26HAcademica85-75
16/05/26ACAB Madeira60-76
09/05/26HCAB Madeira74-88
01/05/26HGinasio76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASanto Andre64-75
07/11/26ALusitania68-93
31/10/26HMaia95-85
24/10/26AGalomar65-92
17/10/26HGinasio Olhanense91-90
10/10/26ABarcelos79-81 OT
03/10/26HGalitos Aveiro63-71
04/05/25HMaia72-76
27/04/25HGalitos Aveiro76-70
26/04/25ASanto Andre51-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.177.569.7
Allowed / game74.474.574.3
Point differential-0.3+3.0-4.7
Avg total148.6152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barreirense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game75.083.069.0
Allowed / game83.982.085.2
Point differential-8.9+1.0-16.2
Avg total158.9165.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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