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Illiabum vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-90
24-14 18-27 21-28 23-21
Position#9
Record12-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game73.3
Illiabum
Portugal
vs
CA Queluz 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record16-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.1
PortugalProliga· Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illiabum v CA Queluz
30 Mar 2024
ILLI86
CA Q90
04 Mar 2023
ILLI92
CA Q90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 67
A20/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
67-69
67
69
-2
41avg 67
H27/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
61-60
61
60
+1
no box
A04/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
69-66
69
66
+3
64avg 67
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
79avg 67
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
72avg 67
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 67
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
73-83
73
83
-10
69avg 67
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
63avg 67
A21/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-17
20-20
26-19
23-19
19-21
13-16
12-13
9-15
20-6
13-20
19-19
19-24
15-29
11-19
19-17
14-7
20-20
22-19
13-20
21-14
21-30
19-17
23-19
20-17
19-19
18-16
20-30
17-23
18-15
23-21
16-26
15-21
29-18
8-22
21-22
10-22
18-14
18-17
21-14
150.0Avg total
73.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.973.3150.2+3.657%
Season at home (10)74.371.5145.8+2.850%
Season away (11)79.374.9154.2+4.464%
Last 10 (10)73.476.6150.0-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.081.8158.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
vs Similar (19)79.178.0157.1+1.158%
vs Weaker (8)84.077.1161.1+6.950%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
80avg 77
A12/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
99avg 77
H20/01
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
68avg 77
A27/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 77
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
58avg 77
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
60avg 77
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 77
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 77
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
80-68
80
68
+12
81avg 77
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
81-54
81
54
+27
80avg 77
H24/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
14-14
22-17
26-24
20-15
24-19
27-21
32-20
22-29
19-24
23-23
21-26
21-20
20-22
14-13
24-21
24-13
14-21
16-27
15-11
19-30
24-17
15-27
17-18
17-20
19-19
16-18
30-20
12-24
19-17
22-18
16-15
16-21
16-19
28-12
20-16
20-12
15-10
24-16
22-16
157.0Avg total
80.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.776.1159.8+7.680%
Season at home (10)85.573.9159.4+11.690%
Season away (10)81.978.3160.2+3.670%
Last 10 (10)80.476.6157.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.473.0150.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.091.8184.8+1.225%
vs Similar (9)82.485.8168.2-3.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.274.6158.8+9.681%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
IlliabumCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A04/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A02/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/03
Proliga
73.7Avg total
36.9Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.781.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)37.435.372.7+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.873.7+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.676.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.337.371.7-3.033%-
vs Similar (19)38.537.676.1+0.953%-
vs Weaker (8)41.639.280.9+2.462%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A27/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H24/03
Proliga
76.1Avg total
37.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.180.6+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.982.9-2.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.776.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.239.885.0+5.575%-
vs Similar (9)40.646.487.0-5.922%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.537.177.6+3.456%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.8
51.1%
50.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.7
30.9%
31.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.118.0
74.7%
69.3%18.0
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.1
30.1%
31.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.912.6
63.3%
69.3%12.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Illiabum
LLLLWWLWLW
CA Queluz
WWLWLLWLWW
#9
League position
#1
-4.5
Net rating
+4.2
94.5
Offensive rating
99.5
98.9
Defensive rating
95.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
22.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.9%
3-point %
30.1%
58.8%
Assist %
67.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 99.5Defence98.9 · 95.4Shooting49.3% · 49.0%3-point %30.9% · 30.1%Ball care22.8% · 18.5%Off. rebounds20.9% · 29.4%Free throws0.43 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Illiabum   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illiabum wins
2
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24CA Queluz v Illiabum82-77
02/04/23CA Queluz v Illiabum103-87
04/03/23Illiabum v CA Queluz92-90
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24ACAB Madeira77-79 OT
16/03/24HSanto Andre73-83
09/03/24HGalitos Barreiro74-85
02/03/24ACA Queluz77-82
24/02/24HCAB Madeira84-80
17/02/24ASanto Andre69-66
10/02/24ABraga64-89
04/02/24ABraga61-60
27/01/24HAcademica67-69
20/01/24AMaia88-73
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HBraga81-54
16/03/24AMaia80-68
10/03/24ASangalhos69-74
02/03/24HIlliabum82-77
25/02/24ABraga75-92
18/02/24HMaia69-72
04/02/24HCAB Madeira79-76
27/01/24AGalitos Barreiro85-102
20/01/24HGinasio Olhanense103-75
12/01/24ABenfica Lisboa B81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL57%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game76.974.379.3
Allowed / game73.371.574.9
Point differential+3.6+2.8+4.4
Avg total150.2145.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %14%0%27%
CA Queluz
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game83.785.581.9
Allowed / game76.173.978.3
Point differential+7.6+11.6+3.6
Avg total159.8159.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz2016480%83.776.1+7.6
2 Galitos Barreiro2116576%83.476.8+6.6
3 Maia2115671%77.676.0+1.7
4 Illiabum2112957%76.973.3+3.6
5 CAB Madeira2112957%81.778.3+3.4
6 Santo Andre2112957%81.478.2+3.2
7 Sangalhos2112957%75.273.0+2.2
8 Barreirense2112957%75.676.7-1.0
9 Braga22121055%78.075.0+3.0
10 Vasco Da Gama21111052%84.882.6+2.2
11 Galitos Aveiro2191243%76.976.5+0.4
12 Benfica Lisboa B2191243%71.775.7-4.0
13 Imortal B2181338%76.477.7-1.3
14 Academica2151624%63.775.0-11.4
15 Ginasio Olhanense2141719%77.383.7-6.4
16 Sampaense2131814%73.483.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Illiabum2418212386
CA Queluz1427282190
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