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Maia vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 73-88
17-20 17-22 20-20 19-26
Position#3
Record10-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#9
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game70.3
PortugalProligaRound 12· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2023-24
Meetings · Maia v Illiabum
20 Mar 2027
MAIA v ILLI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MAIA75
ILLI79
22 Nov 2025
MAIA71
ILLI64
05 Oct 2024
MAIA65
ILLI78
20 Jan 2024
MAIA73
ILLI88
13 Nov 2022
MAIA79
ILLI75
02 Nov 2019
MAIA76
ILLI72
15 Oct 2016
MAIA86
ILLI89
04 Apr 2015
MAIA73
ILLI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
47avg 66
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
75avg 66
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 66
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
63avg 66
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 66
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 66
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
68avg 66
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 66
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 66
H13/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
45avg 66
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
19-24
14-18
21-21
22-11
15-20
21-15
23-17
23-16
17-28
16-14
19-13
19-22
15-23
28-17
27-15
23-12
13-19
16-13
23-25
16-22
18-14
26-22
22-18
38-10
16-20
18-21
14-30
22-17
17-22
26-16
11-17
18-28
14-15
26-14
20-17
20-28
21-26
13-25
14-19
154.3Avg total
77.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.074.3153.3+4.791%
Season at home (5)77.273.2150.4+4.0100%
Season away (6)80.575.2155.7+5.383%
Last 10 (10)77.776.6154.3+1.180%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.381.8157.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.876.6155.3+2.275%
vs Weaker (11)86.780.7167.5+6.073%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 66
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
55avg 66
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
49avg 66
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
69avg 66
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 66
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
85avg 66
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
no box
A17/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
88-57
88
57
+31
78avg 66
H06/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
59avg 66
H13/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
15-9
13-18
26-23
21-22
20-7
27-24
16-10
18-15
25-10
16-30
15-19
11-22
20-15
15-21
17-23
18-13
19-14
23-17
26-11
20-15
16-21
20-19
18-8
26-18
18-15
26-12
9-15
25-20
17-12
21-25
19-25
24-12
19-17
14-20
31-8
17-26
16-22
15-13
22-13
148.1Avg total
79.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.170.3150.4+9.873%
Season at home (6)74.266.3140.5+7.867%
Season away (5)87.275.0162.2+12.280%
Last 10 (10)79.668.5148.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)81.068.4149.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.567.5128.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.378.2159.5+3.262%
vs Weaker (14)83.469.8153.2+13.679%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.4+4.4
MaiaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
77.8Avg total
37.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.179.2+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.738.678.3+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)40.439.579.9+0.959%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.977.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.039.378.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.838.877.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (11)42.639.582.2+3.173%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A28/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A05/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H13/01
Proliga
70.0Avg total
38.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.437.577.9+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)38.735.273.9+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.870.0+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.675.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.541.070.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.937.877.7+2.254%-
vs Weaker (14)40.834.375.1+6.571%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.2
46.5%
50.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.9
29.8%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.412.6
72.4%
69.3%12.6
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.7
52.5%
50.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.4%
31.2%22.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.8%
69.3%16.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWWWWWWWWL
Illiabum
LWWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#9
+0.6
Net rating
+14.1
98.5
Offensive rating
99.5
97.9
Defensive rating
85.4
45.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
30.4%
42.7%
Assist %
50.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 99.5Defence97.9 · 85.4Shooting45.9% · 49.8%3-point %29.8% · 30.4%Ball care19.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Maia   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
5
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Illiabum v Maia63-81
21/01/23Illiabum v Maia72-67
13/11/22Maia v Illiabum79-75
01/02/20Illiabum v Maia93-60
02/11/19Maia v Illiabum76-72
30/12/16Illiabum v Maia86-65
15/10/16Maia v Illiabum86-89
04/04/15Maia v Illiabum73-65
20/12/14Illiabum v Maia71-58
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ACD Povoa68-98
13/01/24HVasco Da Gama78-74
06/01/24HGalitos Aveiro76-72
16/12/23ABraga86-81
09/12/23ALusitania82-76
07/12/23HAcademica75-69
02/12/23ASampaense89-77
25/11/23HSangalhos75-71
18/11/23AIlliabum81-63
05/11/23AVasco Da Gama67-85
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HSangalhos70-74
06/01/24HSampaense88-57
17/12/23AVasco Da Gama94-88 OT
09/12/23HGalitos Aveiro79-60
03/12/23HBraga74-63
25/11/23AAcademica86-55
18/11/23HMaia63-81
05/11/23ASangalhos87-81 OT
28/10/23ASampaense84-63
21/10/23HVasco Da Gama71-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game79.077.280.5
Allowed / game74.373.275.2
Point differential+4.7+4.0+5.3
Avg total153.3150.4155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game80.174.287.2
Allowed / game70.366.375.0
Point differential+9.8+7.8+12.2
Avg total150.4140.5162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %18%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz12120100%87.875.6+12.2
2 Maia1110191%79.074.3+4.7
3 Galitos Barreiro129375%81.177.7+3.4
4 Illiabum118373%80.170.3+9.8
5 Braga118373%80.373.3+7.0
6 CAB Madeira127558%83.979.7+4.2
7 Sangalhos127558%75.672.4+3.2
8 Vasco Da Gama116555%85.082.5+2.5
9 Barreirense116555%77.979.0-1.1
10 Santo Andre126650%83.482.0+1.4
11 Galitos Aveiro114736%75.776.5-0.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B123925%72.178.8-6.8
13 Imortal B112918%71.578.7-7.3
14 Ginasio Olhanense1221017%76.283.2-6.9
15 Academica111109%64.578.3-13.7
16 Sampaense121118%75.887.8-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia1717201973
Illiabum2022202688
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