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Braga vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 89-64
24-19 29-15 19-11 17-19
Position#8
Record10-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game71.9
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Illiabum
Portugal
Position#9
Record10-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game69.6
PortugalProligaRound 14· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2023-24
Meetings · Braga v Illiabum
05 Apr 2025
BRAG76
ILLI82
13 Dec 2024
BRAG67
ILLI71
14 Apr 2024
BRAG72
ILLI76
10 Feb 2024
BRAG89
ILLI64
04 Feb 2024
BRAG60
ILLI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illiabum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 72
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 72
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 72
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 72
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 72
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
55avg 72
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 72
A13/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 72
H20/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
78avg 72
A27/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H04/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
15-32
15-16
16-16
26-22
10-38
20-16
21-18
30-14
20-12
13-14
17-10
11-15
19-14
29-13
25-28
17-17
16-18
23-12
22-17
17-18
24-22
20-26
22-11
23-16
15-9
6-20
20-13
19-19
147.5Avg total
75.8Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.371.9151.2+7.471%
Season at home (7)81.471.9153.3+9.671%
Season away (7)77.172.0149.1+5.171%
Last 10 (10)75.871.7147.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)75.664.8140.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.470.6147.0+5.875%
vs Weaker (6)83.273.7156.8+9.567%
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIlliabum
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
L
63-81
63
81
-18
49avg 66
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
86-55
86
55
+31
69avg 66
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 66
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
85avg 66
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
94-88 OT
94
88
+6
no box
A17/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
88-57
88
57
+31
78avg 66
H06/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
59avg 66
H13/01
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 66
A20/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
67-69
67
69
-2
41avg 66
H27/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
61-60
61
60
+1
no box
A04/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-15
15-21
17-23
18-13
19-14
23-17
26-11
20-15
16-21
20-19
18-8
26-18
18-15
26-12
9-15
25-20
17-12
21-25
19-25
24-12
19-17
14-20
31-8
17-26
16-22
15-13
22-13
20-17
22-17
20-20
26-19
23-19
19-21
13-16
12-13
9-15
20-6
13-20
19-19
145.0Avg total
77.0Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.469.6148.0+8.771%
Season at home (7)73.166.7139.9+6.457%
Season away (7)83.672.6156.1+11.086%
Last 10 (10)77.068.0145.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.866.6141.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)60.567.5128.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.476.6157.0+3.867%
vs Weaker (12)83.871.4155.2+12.467%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.5+4.5
BragaIlliabum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A13/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H04/02
Proliga
75.0Avg total
36.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)36.638.274.8-1.738%-
Last 30 at home (8)34.140.074.1-5.925%-
Last 30 away (8)39.036.575.5+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.575.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.069.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.635.872.4+0.925%-
vs Weaker (6)39.337.376.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H18/11
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A17/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H13/01
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
29-21
29
21
+8
A04/02
Proliga
71.6Avg total
37.9Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.576.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.638.078.6+2.647%-
Last 30 away (13)38.234.572.7+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.771.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.472.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.541.070.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.336.475.7+2.960%-
vs Weaker (12)41.435.276.7+6.267%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
31.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.410.1
61.6%
69.3%10.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illiabumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illiabum: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.7
54.4%
50.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.9
30.3%
31.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
69.3%17.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWWWWLLWLW
Illiabum
WLWLWWWWWL
#8
League position
#9
+4.9
Net rating
+15.5
103.1
Offensive rating
100.2
98.2
Defensive rating
84.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
21.6%
Turnover %
22.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.5%
3-point %
30.3%
46.4%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 100.2Defence98.2 · 84.7Shooting50.8% · 50.9%3-point %33.5% · 30.3%Ball care21.6% · 22.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 27.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Braga   ■ Illiabum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
2
Illiabum wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Braga v Illiabum60-61
03/12/23Illiabum v Braga74-63
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HIlliabum60-61
27/01/24AVasco Da Gama89-75
20/01/24HGalitos Aveiro78-65
13/01/24ASampaense90-72
06/01/24AAcademica61-51
16/12/23HMaia81-86
10/12/23AFC Porto72-86
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
Illiabumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ABraga61-60
27/01/24HAcademica67-69
20/01/24AMaia88-73
13/01/24HSangalhos70-74
06/01/24HSampaense88-57
17/12/23AVasco Da Gama94-88 OT
09/12/23HGalitos Aveiro79-60
03/12/23HBraga74-63
25/11/23AAcademica86-55
18/11/23HMaia63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game79.381.477.1
Allowed / game71.971.972.0
Point differential+7.4+9.6+5.1
Avg total151.2153.3149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illiabum
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%57%86%
Points / game78.473.183.6
Allowed / game69.666.772.6
Point differential+8.7+6.4+11.0
Avg total148.0139.9156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%43%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz1413193%87.077.5+9.5
2 Galitos Barreiro1511473%82.076.9+5.1
3 Maia1511473%77.775.3+2.5
4 Illiabum1410471%78.469.6+8.7
5 Braga1410471%79.371.9+7.4
6 Sangalhos149564%75.970.4+5.5
7 CAB Madeira148657%83.678.5+5.1
8 Santo Andre148657%83.180.7+2.4
9 Barreirense148657%78.479.1-0.7
10 Vasco Da Gama147750%83.282.9+0.4
11 Galitos Aveiro146843%77.776.9+0.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1441029%73.679.5-5.9
13 Imortal B1431121%73.179.8-6.7
14 Ginasio Olhanense1421214%76.484.0-7.6
15 Academica1421214%63.477.9-14.6
16 Sampaense141137%75.687.9-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2429191789
Illiabum1915111964
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