Illiabum vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 68-71

15-24 19-14 17-20 17-13

Position#8

Record6-4

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game72.5

Illiabum

Vitoria 🏆

Position#4

Record6-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game79.2

LPBRound 11

Other2016-17

Meetings · Illiabum v Vitoria

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

72-56

+16

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

89-86

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

67-75

-8

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

91-62

+29

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

87-73

+14

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

74-93

-19

A05/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

79-54

+25

H12/11

LPB

Galitos

59-71

-12

H27/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

71-70

A03/12

LPB

FC Porto

73-85

-12

A08/12

LPB

16-18

21-11

16-12

19-15

26-26

14-25

22-17

27-18

17-16

19-15

11-18

20-26

21-11

27-16

17-16

26-19

23-23

22-15

18-19

24-16

12-33

20-15

23-18

19-27

20-14

20-6

12-18

27-16

13-18

17-15

20-20

9-18

14-21

26-17

13-24

18-8

23-17

16-18

16-26

18-24

148.7Avg total

76.2Scored

72.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.2	72.5	148.7	+3.7	60%
Season at home (4)	75.2	60.8	136.0	+14.5	75%
Season away (6)	76.8	80.3	157.2	-3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	72.5	148.7	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	74.6	145.8	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	68.0	78.1	146.1	-10.1	15%
vs Similar (8)	76.6	76.4	153.0	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	79.5	167.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

64-85

-21

A12/10

LPB

Lusitania

#10

73-70

A15/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

90-77

+13

A22/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-93

-17

H29/10

LPB

Galitos

68-80

-12

A05/11

LPB

Oliveirense

66-62

H12/11

LPB

FC Porto

74-71

H19/11

LPB

Maia

#12

94-74

+20

A26/11

LPB

Ovarense

97-103

103

-6

H03/12

LPB

Electrico FC

104-77

104

+27

H08/12

LPB

14-23

10-19

22-24

18-19

21-15

16-20

22-19

14-16

19-21

28-20

17-19

26-17

21-25

26-20

15-22

14-26

16-17

10-22

22-16

20-25

27-15

12-16

19-15

8-16

21-14

22-14

12-24

19-19

26-19

20-26

23-10

25-19

24-19

23-27

23-32

27-25

29-25

23-22

24-17

28-13

159.8Avg total

80.6Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.6	79.2	159.8	+1.4	60%
Season at home (5)	83.4	81.2	164.6	+2.2	60%
Season away (5)	77.8	77.2	155.0	+0.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	79.2	159.8	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	77.4	164.4	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.8	84.8	160.7	-9.0	17%
vs Similar (6)	68.7	74.7	143.3	-6.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	85.0	78.8	163.8	+6.2	78%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

IlliabumVitoria

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.8	15.5	32.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.1	38.5	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.0	18.6	34.6	-2.6	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	24.5	49.0	+0.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.5	41.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	19.6	43.1	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.4	43.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	22.7	40.3	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	21.2	37.3	-5.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	19.6	42.6	+3.3	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.2	18.8	37.1	-0.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.7	36.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	15.3	35.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	14.2	34.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.3	19.8	36.1	-3.6	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.5	38.6	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	16.5	35.0	+2.0	83%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	17.2	34.8	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	56%	-

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

37-29

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

40-51

-11

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

36-31

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

48-27

+21

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

45-38

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

32-48

-16

A05/11

LPB

Lusitania

#10

40-20

+20

H12/11

LPB

Galitos

30-33

-3

H27/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-38

A03/12

LPB

FC Porto

39-35

A08/12

LPB

73.7Avg total

38.7Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	34.4	37.9	72.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.0	34.3	69.3	+0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	40.8	74.8	-6.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	35.0	73.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	34.8	71.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	32.3	38.4	70.7	-6.2	28%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.7	34.7	72.4	+3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	44.5	87.0	-2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

24-42

-18

A12/10

LPB

Lusitania

#10

37-35

A15/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

47-41

A22/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

47-45

H29/10

LPB

Galitos

26-39

-13

A05/11

LPB

Oliveirense

39-31

H12/11

LPB

FC Porto

43-28

+15

H19/11

LPB

Maia

#12

46-45

A26/11

LPB

Ovarense

47-46

H03/12

LPB

Electrico FC

52-47

H08/12

LPB

80.7Avg total

40.8Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.1	79.6	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	37.6	82.1	+7.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	40.4	77.4	-3.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.9	80.7	+0.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.4	84.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.2	39.2	75.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	33.8	38.3	72.2	-4.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.3	39.3	83.6	+5.0	78%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	26%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	16.6	18.5	35.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	21.6	37.1	-6.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.3	19.1	33.4	-4.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	16.5	33.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	28%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	18.8	38.6	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	17.0	42.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	35.9	39.0	74.9	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.1	36.2	71.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	41.3	77.7	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	37.5	75.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.8	39.3	74.1	-4.5	28%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.9	39.4	75.3	-3.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	41.9	79.9	-3.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	37.9	77.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.3	79.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.0	79.6	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.7	45.7	85.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	34.8	36.3	71.2	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illiabum wins

Vitoria wins

Date	Game	Score
28/02/15	Illiabum v Vitoria	62-66
29/11/14	Vitoria v Illiabum	78-59
19/03/11	Illiabum v Vitoria	84-79
11/12/10	Vitoria v Illiabum	79-60

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/16	A	FC Porto	73-85
03/12/16	A	CAB Madeira	71-70
27/11/16	H	Galitos	59-71
12/11/16	H	Lusitania	79-54
05/11/16	A	Benfica	74-93
02/11/16	A	Sampaense	87-73
29/10/16	H	Electrico FC	91-62
22/10/16	A	Oliveirense	67-75
15/10/16	A	Maia	89-86
12/10/16	H	Ovarense	72-56

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/16	H	Electrico FC	104-77
03/12/16	H	Ovarense	97-103
26/11/16	A	Maia	94-74
19/11/16	H	FC Porto	74-71
12/11/16	H	Oliveirense	66-62
05/11/16	A	Galitos	68-80
29/10/16	H	CAB Madeira	76-93
22/10/16	A	Sampaense	90-77
15/10/16	A	Lusitania	73-70
12/10/16	A	Benfica	64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	60%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	60%	75%	50%
Points / game	76.2	75.2	76.8
Allowed / game	72.5	60.8	80.3
Point differential	+3.7	+14.5	-3.5
Avg total	148.7	136.0	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	75%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vitoria

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	60%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LWWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Points / game	80.6	83.4	77.8
Allowed / game	79.2	81.2	77.2
Point differential	+1.4	+2.2	+0.6
Avg total	159.8	164.6	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	20%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	11	9	2	82%	84.0	67.6	+16.4
2	Benfica	11	9	2	82%	83.2	69.9	+13.3
3	Galitos	11	9	2	82%	74.8	69.8	+5.0
4	Oliveirense	11	8	3	73%	69.7	62.1	+7.6
5	Illiabum	10	6	4	60%	76.2	72.5	+3.7
6	Vitoria	10	6	4	60%	80.6	79.2	+1.4
7	Ovarense	11	5	6	45%	73.4	78.1	-4.7
8	CAB Madeira	11	4	7	36%	76.2	74.5	+1.7
9	Lusitania	11	3	8	27%	72.7	80.4	-7.6
10	Electrico FC	11	3	8	27%	71.3	82.9	-11.6
11	Maia	11	2	9	18%	75.2	82.0	-6.8
12	Sampaense	11	1	10	9%	70.6	88.5	-17.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illiabum	15	19	17	17	68
Vitoria	24	14	20	13	71

← all games of the day

Illiabum vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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