Illiabum vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-54

20-14 20-6 12-18 27-16

Position#8

Record4-2

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game74.2

Illiabum 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record2-3

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game77.2

LPBRound 6

Other2016-17

Meetings · Illiabum v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illiabum winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sampaense

#11

91-84

H14/03

LPB

Maia

65-73

-8

A04/04

LPB

Barcelos

70-75

-5

H11/04

LPB

Ovarense

61-83

-22

A18/04

LPB

Ovarense

72-56

+16

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

89-86

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

67-75

-8

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

91-62

+29

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

87-73

+14

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

74-93

-19

A05/11

LPB

–

20-16

14-18

14-10

17-29

10-16

22-18

23-17

15-24

11-15

13-21

13-34

24-13

16-18

21-11

16-12

19-15

26-26

14-25

22-17

27-18

17-16

19-15

11-18

20-26

21-11

27-16

17-16

26-19

23-23

22-15

18-19

24-16

12-33

20-15

23-18

19-27

152.7Avg total

76.7Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	80.0	74.2	154.2	+5.8	67%
Season at home (2)	81.5	59.0	140.5	+22.5	100%
Season away (4)	79.2	81.8	161.0	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	76.0	152.7	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	77.8	159.4	+3.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	68.6	79.7	148.3	-11.1	11%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	78.7	78.6	157.2	+0.1	56%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	79.5	167.5	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

75-73

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

82-86

-4

H17/04

LPB

Benfica

61-96

-35

A23/04

LPB

Benfica

64-92

-28

A24/04

LPB

Benfica

62-84

-22

H30/04

LPB

Galitos

84-67

+17

H12/10

LPB

Vitoria

70-73

-3

H15/10

LPB

FC Porto

68-92

-24

H22/10

LPB

Ovarense

61-68

-7

A29/10

LPB

Maia

#12

89-86

H05/11

LPB

15-26

23-17

18-13

19-17

22-18

19-21

22-16

19-31

18-27

23-20

8-26

12-23

16-18

19-24

21-23

8-27

20-22

14-26

11-18

17-18

24-17

12-17

20-11

28-22

15-21

20-16

19-22

16-14

11-19

17-26

23-26

17-21

20-11

13-16

10-18

18-23

18-19

26-24

24-18

21-25

153.3Avg total

71.6Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	74.4	77.2	151.6	-2.8	40%
Season at home (4)	77.8	79.5	157.2	-1.8	50%
Season away (1)	61.0	68.0	129.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	81.7	153.3	-10.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	77.2	151.6	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	71.1	81.7	152.8	-10.6	18%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	84.8	76.2	161.0	+8.7	100%
vs Weaker (7)	79.9	73.0	152.9	+6.9	86%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

IlliabumLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	24.5	49.0	+0.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	18.4	35.1	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	20.1	36.9	-3.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	29%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.8	19.9	36.7	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.1	19.8	36.9	-2.8	42%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.9	36.5	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.0	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.9	20.8	36.6	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	18.4	42.6	+5.7	71%	-

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maia

34-34

A04/04

LPB

Barcelos

32-34

-2

H11/04

LPB

Ovarense

24-36

-12

A18/04

LPB

Ovarense

37-29

H12/10

LPB

Maia

#12

40-51

-11

A15/10

LPB

Oliveirense

36-31

A22/10

LPB

Electrico FC

48-27

+21

H29/10

LPB

Sampaense

#11

45-38

A02/11

LPB

Benfica

32-48

-16

A05/11

LPB

72.9Avg total

36.4Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	34.8	39.5	74.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.6	36.7	72.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	41.7	75.9	-7.6	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.4	36.4	72.9	+0.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	39.0	79.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	31.9	40.1	71.9	-8.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	42.5	44.5	87.0	-2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

38-43

-5

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

41-39

H17/04

LPB

Benfica

41-47

-6

A23/04

LPB

Benfica

35-42

-7

A24/04

LPB

Benfica

34-48

-14

H30/04

LPB

Galitos

36-34

H12/10

LPB

Vitoria

35-37

-2

H15/10

LPB

FC Porto

28-45

-17

H22/10

LPB

Ovarense

33-27

A29/10

LPB

Maia

#12

44-43

H05/11

LPB

77.0Avg total

36.5Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.3	39.2	75.6	-2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	40.1	78.1	-2.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	40.5	77.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.1	41.2	75.3	-7.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.6	36.4	77.0	+4.1	71%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	16.6	19.9	36.4	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	20.5	36.7	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.4	17.9	35.3	-0.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	15.4	19.8	35.1	-4.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.8	37.4	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	17.6	36.1	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	19.4	37.9	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	20.5	42.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	17.0	42.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	22.1	39.6	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.2	18.5	41.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	17.6	37.1	+2.0	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	37.0	39.2	76.2	-2.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	36.1	36.9	73.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.1	78.7	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.7	38.7	77.3	+0.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.8	39.4	75.2	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.2	39.9	77.1	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.1	38.1	76.2	+0.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.7	39.5	78.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	41.2	76.3	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	36.5	39.8	76.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	44.0	37.0	81.0	+7.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (7)	36.9	35.1	72.0	+1.7	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Illiabum wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/15	Lusitania v Illiabum	72-62
06/12/14	Illiabum v Lusitania	62-75
26/03/11	Lusitania v Illiabum	96-91
18/12/10	Illiabum v Lusitania	73-78

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/16	A	Benfica	74-93
02/11/16	A	Sampaense	87-73
29/10/16	H	Electrico FC	91-62
22/10/16	A	Oliveirense	67-75
15/10/16	A	Maia	89-86
12/10/16	H	Ovarense	72-56
18/04/15	A	Ovarense	61-83
11/04/15	H	Barcelos	70-75
04/04/15	A	Maia	65-73
14/03/15	H	Sampaense	91-84

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/16	H	Maia	89-86
29/10/16	A	Ovarense	61-68
22/10/16	H	FC Porto	68-92
15/10/16	H	Vitoria	70-73
12/10/16	H	Galitos	84-67
30/04/16	H	Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	A	Benfica	64-92
23/04/16	A	Benfica	61-96
17/04/16	H	Vitoria	82-86
10/04/16	H	CAB Madeira	75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illiabum

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	80.0	81.5	79.2
Allowed / game	74.2	59.0	81.8
Point differential	+5.8	+22.5	-2.5
Avg total	154.2	140.5	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	100%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	4	1
Win %	40%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.4	77.8	61.0
Allowed / game	77.2	79.5	68.0
Point differential	-2.8	-1.8	-7.0
Avg total	151.6	157.2	129.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	6	6	0	100%	82.0	67.2	+14.8
2	Galitos	5	4	1	80%	78.0	71.2	+6.8
3	FC Porto	4	3	1	75%	94.5	68.2	+26.2
4	Oliveirense	6	4	2	67%	65.3	58.0	+7.3
5	Illiabum	6	4	2	67%	80.0	74.2	+5.8
6	Ovarense	6	3	3	50%	72.0	76.3	-4.3
7	Vitoria	6	3	3	50%	72.8	77.8	-5.0
8	CAB Madeira	5	2	3	40%	73.0	69.8	+3.2
9	Lusitania	5	2	3	40%	74.4	77.2	-2.8
10	Maia	5	1	4	20%	77.2	80.2	-3.0
11	Electrico FC	6	1	5	17%	68.7	85.2	-16.5
12	Sampaense	6	0	6	0%	68.7	91.8	-23.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Illiabum	20	20	12	27	79
Lusitania	14	6	18	16	54

← all games of the day

Illiabum vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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