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Illinois State vs Northwestern St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-70
30-38 37-32
Position#303
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game63.7
Allowed / game62.3
vs
Position#75
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
37-40
32-31
32-41
23-33
27-26
24-49
45-41
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
30-40
35-38
40-33
28-38
28-16
26-33
32-32
37-35
133.0Avg total
65.3Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.762.3126.0+1.367%
Season at home (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
Season away (2)61.558.0119.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)65.367.7133.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)62.863.6126.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.976.2146.1-6.421%
vs Similar (10)68.767.4136.1+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)77.261.8139.0+15.575%
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#344
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
49-73
49
73
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
46-24
36-35
40-48
29-41
33-39
38-31
49-46
37-49
43-36
23-43
44-37
23-42
26-31
30-38
49-30
32-32
35-37
29-31
35-32
146.1Avg total
71.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.868.2133.0-3.550%
Season at home (2)73.068.5141.5+4.550%
Season away (2)56.568.0124.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)71.974.2146.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)65.270.6135.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)71.682.9154.5-11.317%
vs Similar (4)74.871.8146.5+3.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)78.068.0146.0+10.050%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
Illinois StateNorthwestern St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#110
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
63.9Avg total
30.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.967.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.333.068.3+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)31.134.966.0-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)30.933.063.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)30.629.860.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)32.037.069.0-5.029%-
vs Similar (10)32.433.165.5-0.740%-
vs Weaker (4)36.028.264.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Northwestern St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northwestern St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#344
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#139
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H26/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H05/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#303
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A10/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Ouachita Baptist
#379
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/11
NCAA
TCU
#96
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A15/11
NCAA
70.1Avg total
31.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.639.272.8-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.935.372.2+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)31.142.273.3-11.218%-
Last 10 (10)31.938.270.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)27.437.264.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.840.773.5-7.826%-
vs Similar (4)35.236.872.0-1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.028.569.5+12.550%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois State wins
0
Northwestern St. wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Northwestern St. v Illinois State67-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22ANorthwestern St.69-67
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49
08/11/22HWestern Illinois68-71
04/03/22ANorthern Iowa65-78
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66
24/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-90
22/02/22HLoyola Chicago50-59
19/02/22ABradley64-72
16/02/22HNorthern Iowa70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/22ATCU64-63
13/11/22HIllinois State67-69
10/11/22HOuachita Baptist79-68
08/11/22ATexas Tech49-73
10/03/22AMcNeese State67-80
05/03/22HSE Louisiana80-85
26/02/22HNew Orleans87-77
25/02/22HNicholls State62-80
19/02/22ATexas A&M-CC76-83
18/02/22AIncarnate Word88-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game63.768.061.5
Allowed / game62.371.058.0
Point differential+1.3-3.0+3.5
Avg total126.0139.0119.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern St.
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game64.873.056.5
Allowed / game68.268.568.0
Point differential-3.5+4.5-11.5
Avg total133.0141.5124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State330100%88.066.3+21.7
2 Drake220100%80.060.0+20.0
3 Bradley32167%81.368.0+13.3
4 Illinois (Chi.)32167%70.759.3+11.3
5 Murray State32167%82.074.3+7.7
6 Southern Illinois32167%69.364.7+4.7
7 Illinois State32167%63.762.3+1.3
8 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
9 Valparaiso31233%75.079.0-4.0
10 Belmont31233%73.078.3-5.3
11 Evansville31233%68.074.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTRGV32167%83.759.0+24.7
2 Stephen F. Austin32167%79.760.0+19.7
3 Lamar32167%75.769.0+6.7
4 Texas A&M-CC32167%70.063.7+6.3
5 SE Louisiana32167%78.374.7+3.7
6 McNeese State21150%84.064.5+19.5
7 Northwestern St.42250%64.868.2-3.5
8 New Orleans21150%59.076.0-17.0
9 Incarnate Word31233%68.066.7+1.3
10 TX A&M Commerce31233%70.075.3-5.3
11 Houston Christian31233%72.085.3-13.3
12 Nicholls State2020%71.598.0-26.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State303767
Northwestern St.383270
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