PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois State vs UAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-83
39-43 45-40
Position#141
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#91
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/03
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H05/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
107-52
107
52
+55
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
44-39
21-21
24-27
33-36
42-38
31-44
41-31
21-25
32-34
31-29
34-38
42-31
35-37
40-37
45-38
44-23
63-29
36-43
32-33
139.5Avg total
72.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.467.6148.0+12.860%
Season at home (3)85.764.7150.3+21.067%
Season away (2)72.572.0144.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.866.7139.5+6.150%
Last 5 (5)80.467.6148.0+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.872.9136.7-9.110%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.566.4135.9+3.169%
vs Weaker (4)78.562.5141.0+16.050%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H15/03
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A16/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H17/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A22/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H10/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#580
W
109-64
109
64
+45
H19/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
39-29
38-30
55-53
43-27
42-42
29-35
36-34
24-38
38-29
56-40
42-44
37-36
45-36
25-26
40-42
49-30
60-34
43-43
38-46
153.7Avg total
81.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.874.0156.8+8.850%
Season at home (5)86.475.2161.6+11.260%
Season away (1)65.068.0133.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)81.272.5153.7+8.760%
Last 5 (5)87.075.4162.4+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.374.4148.8-0.156%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.374.5151.9+2.867%
vs Weaker (5)86.479.0165.4+7.480%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +4.6+4.6
Illinois StateUAB
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A03/03
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H05/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#671
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H17/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
33.6Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.264.5-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.831.863.6-0.150%-
Last 30 away (12)30.835.265.9-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.365.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.671.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.336.764.0-9.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.231.664.8+1.656%-
vs Weaker (4)34.230.865.0+3.550%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#255
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H15/03
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A16/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H17/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A22/03
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H08/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/11
NCAA
Aub.-Montgomery
#580
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Longwood
#151
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
37.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.771.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.836.373.1+0.556%-
Last 30 away (12)35.134.869.8+0.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.671.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.077.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.234.065.2-2.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.336.472.7-0.147%-
vs Weaker (5)41.837.679.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
UAB wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AMcNeese State68-76
17/11/24HTrinity (IL)107-52
13/11/24HOhio85-75
08/11/24ANorth Dakota St77-68
05/11/24HUT Martin65-67
08/03/24HEvansville53-59
03/03/24AValparaiso72-75
29/02/24HMissouri State75-74
25/02/24ABradley45-48
22/02/24HNorthern Iowa81-73
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HLongwood81-89
19/11/24HAub.-Montgomery109-64
16/11/24AHigh Point65-68
10/11/24HSE Louisiana82-72
08/11/24HSouthern Miss98-84
05/11/24HVermont62-67
22/03/24ASan Diego State65-69
17/03/24HTemple85-69
16/03/24ASouth Florida93-83
15/03/24HWichita State72-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game80.485.772.5
Allowed / game67.664.772.0
Point differential+12.8+21.0+0.5
Avg total148.0150.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UAB
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%60%0%
Points / game82.886.465.0
Allowed / game74.075.268.0
Point differential+8.8+11.2-3.0
Avg total156.8161.6133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake550100%75.457.0+18.4
2 Bradley65183%80.370.8+9.5
3 Belmont54180%83.275.2+8.0
4 Murray State53260%84.665.0+19.6
5 Illinois State53260%80.467.6+12.8
6 Northern Iowa53260%79.667.4+12.2
7 Indiana State53260%84.073.4+10.6
8 Illinois (Chi.)74357%86.474.0+12.4
9 Valparaiso42250%79.567.0+12.5
10 Southern Illinois52340%76.275.2+1.0
11 Evansville62433%71.877.0-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State550100%83.471.0+12.4
2 Memphis440100%81.270.8+10.5
3 East Carolina76186%81.369.1+12.1
4 Rice65183%71.564.5+7.0
5 North Texas54180%69.657.2+12.4
6 Tulane64267%77.763.7+14.0
7 Temple53260%78.271.0+7.2
8 Tulsa53260%86.681.2+5.4
9 Charlotte53260%72.672.6+0.0
10 Florida Atlantic74357%90.379.9+10.4
11 UAB63350%82.874.0+8.8
12 South Florida63350%79.278.5+0.7
13 UTSA Roadrunners31233%79.781.0-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State394584
UAB434083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.