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Illinois State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 53-59
21-25 32-34
Position#240
Record15-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#225
Record15-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois State v Evansville
01 Jan 2026
ILLI73
EVAN47
02 Mar 2025
ILLI62
EVAN53
07 Mar 2024
ILLI53
EVAN59
18 Feb 2024
ILLI86
EVAN79
26 Feb 2023
ILLI72
EVAN53
21 Jan 2022
ILLI94
EVAN56
29 Jan 2020
ILLI77
EVAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-26
37-33
20-39
40-34
28-33
28-28
25-42
41-27
35-29
45-38
44-36
42-43
37-34
44-39
21-21
24-27
33-36
42-38
31-44
41-31
136.0Avg total
68.2Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.967.9134.9-1.048%
Season at home (17)68.666.3134.9+2.365%
Season away (14)64.969.9134.9-5.029%
Last 10 (10)68.267.8136.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)71.869.8141.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.872.8135.6-10.09%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.965.7134.6+3.275%
vs Weaker (3)69.066.0135.0+3.033%
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H29/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
40-30
30-32
33-30
32-27
41-43
27-32
43-41
37-37
38-41
36-44
43-42
36-36
43-52
26-24
27-41
31-40
36-45
26-38
40-45
145.2Avg total
70.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.474.1146.4-1.748%
Season at home (15)75.868.9144.7+6.967%
Season away (16)69.178.9148.1-9.831%
Last 10 (10)70.275.0145.2-4.830%
Last 5 (5)68.881.4150.2-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.680.0148.6-11.433%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.474.1144.6-3.733%
vs Weaker (6)84.760.8145.5+23.8100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: -2.6-2.6
Illinois StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H03/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A14/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
D
21-21
21
21
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A03/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
29.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.333.864.0-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.431.763.1-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)29.036.165.1-7.114%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.063.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.267.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)26.236.462.5-10.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.932.165.0+0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)31.033.364.3-2.333%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H29/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A03/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.968.7-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.331.967.2+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)32.437.670.0-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.065.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.467.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.437.669.0-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)30.833.664.3-2.833%-
vs Weaker (6)44.230.374.5+13.883%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois State wins
3
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24AValparaiso72-75
29/02/24HMissouri State75-74
25/02/24ABradley45-48
22/02/24HNorthern Iowa81-73
18/02/24HEvansville86-79
14/02/24AIndiana State80-67
11/02/24ASouthern Illinois66-69
08/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)56-61
03/02/24HBradley60-73
31/01/24AMurray State61-59
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABelmont66-83
29/02/24HIndiana State67-85
25/02/24HSouthern Illinois53-65
22/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)79-88
18/02/24AIllinois State79-86
14/02/24HDrake75-78
10/02/24AMurray State70-73
08/02/24HBradley73-70
03/02/24AValparaiso63-62
01/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)77-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLLWWW65%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %48%65%29%
Points / game66.968.664.9
Allowed / game67.966.369.9
Point differential-1.0+2.3-5.0
Avg total134.9134.9134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)75% (4)29% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Evansville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game72.475.869.1
Allowed / game74.168.978.9
Point differential-1.7+6.9-9.8
Avg total146.4144.7148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3126584%84.572.0+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Belmont32201262%78.475.8+2.6
5 Southern Illinois31191261%72.467.7+4.6
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Illinois State31151648%66.967.9-1.0
8 Evansville31151648%72.474.1-1.7
9 Murray State32122038%69.869.9-0.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)31112035%70.671.1-0.5
11 Valparaiso3272522%67.675.5-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State213253
Evansville253459
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