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Illinois State vs UMass Lowell Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-72
42-30 40-42
Position#311
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#200
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass Lowell winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#196
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-42
34-38
32-23
42-44
33-40
30-31
43-26
19-39
38-34
31-50
29-32
28-21
33-28
34-39
34-27
37-33
36-38
29-37
25-42
42-52
138.2Avg total
65.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)65.972.3138.2-6.430%
Last 5 (5)66.271.2137.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)64.472.8137.2-8.417%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.265.0133.2+3.260%
vs Weaker (1)62.063.0125.0-1.00%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#120
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A06/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H08/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A21/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
77-94
77
94
-17
H29/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A04/03
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
40-43
27-25
23-35
34-32
37-31
31-26
43-41
32-36
52-50
39-35
49-34
37-57
40-37
29-24
34-30
38-38
37-51
24-30
52-38
145.5Avg total
72.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.872.7145.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)75.874.8150.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.183.0154.1-11.912%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.573.7150.1+2.860%
vs Weaker (3)80.779.3160.0+1.367%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +1.7+1.7
Illinois StateUMass Lowell
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#196
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A25/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.9Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.232.763.9-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.327.457.7+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)32.137.369.4-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.266.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.464.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)30.733.664.3-2.939%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.231.663.8+0.640%-
vs Weaker (1)36.023.059.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#120
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A15/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H29/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A04/03
NCAA
Hartford
#189
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#224
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A25/11
NCAA
65.8Avg total
32.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)34.536.170.6-1.642%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.436.874.2+0.662%-
Last 30 away (13)31.635.567.1-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)32.133.765.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.870.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.439.570.9-8.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.433.869.2+1.653%-
vs Weaker (3)38.338.777.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
0
UMass Lowell wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/20AOhio State67-94
06/03/20ADrake65-75
29/02/20AEvansville71-60
27/02/20HBradley71-74 OT
22/02/20HDrake57-53
20/02/20ALoyola Chicago69-84
16/02/20HValparaiso62-65
13/02/20ANorthern Iowa63-71
09/02/20HIndiana State74-67
06/02/20AMissouri State60-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/20ASan Francisco76-68
07/03/20AHartford75-89
04/03/20ANew Hampshire63-54
29/02/20HVermont77-94
27/02/20HAlbany88-69
21/02/20ABinghamton84-86
15/02/20AHartford74-67
13/02/20HMaine Black Bears71-63
08/02/20HUMBC Retrievers50-60
06/02/20AStony Brook70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game94.0-94.0
Point differential-27.0--27.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
UMass Lowell
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont330100%81.768.7+13.0
2 Drake220100%74.561.5+13.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)110100%65.061.0+4.0
4 Bradley32167%61.756.7+5.0
5 Valparaiso1010%71.077.0-6.0
6 Northern Iowa3030%74.080.3-6.3
7 Evansville2020%52.571.5-19.0
8 Illinois State1010%67.094.0-27.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Hampshire110100%93.054.0+39.0
2 UMass Lowell110100%76.068.0+8.0
3 Bryant University1010%84.085.0-1.0
4 UMBC Retrievers1010%62.070.0-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State424082
UMass Lowell304272
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