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Illinois State vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 57-53
29-32 28-21
Position#312
Record6-18
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#138
Record15-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Illinois State v Drake
18 Jan 2027
ILLI v DRAK
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
ILLI86
DRAK76
12 Feb 2025
ILLI77
DRAK84
17 Jan 2024
ILLI56
DRAK77
26 Jan 2022
ILLI88
DRAK89
22 Feb 2020
ILLI57
DRAK53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
26-34
36-34
27-41
23-17
32-41
36-37
41-29
28-34
42-46
26-42
34-38
32-23
42-44
33-40
30-31
43-26
19-39
38-34
31-50
135.1Avg total
64.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.370.8136.1-5.525%
Season at home (11)65.863.3129.1+2.555%
Season away (13)64.877.2142.1-12.40%
Last 10 (10)64.370.8135.1-6.520%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.372.5136.8-8.316%
vs Similar (6)63.563.5127.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#162
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A19/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-31
26-35
46-26
27-24
37-25
34-44
33-32
23-26
29-42
43-37
34-24
39-36
39-35
34-48
30-52
32-45
34-40
51-40
40-22
29-47
140.8Avg total
69.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.469.5138.9-0.062%
Season at home (13)74.369.2143.5+5.185%
Season away (11)63.669.7133.4-6.136%
Last 10 (10)69.171.7140.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)74.079.0153.0-5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.068.7134.7-2.750%
vs Similar (10)66.072.6138.6-6.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)81.068.2149.2+12.8100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -4.4-4.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: -4.4-4.4
Illinois StateDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
23-17
23
17
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.162.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.927.757.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.437.268.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.931.563.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.067.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.733.364.0-2.642%-
vs Similar (6)29.231.560.7-2.317%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#162
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A23/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H20/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.633.968.4+0.745%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.133.369.3+2.853%-
Last 30 away (14)32.934.567.4-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.967.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.670.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.734.669.3+0.150%-
vs Similar (10)32.332.765.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.838.080.8+4.867%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
Drake wins
DateGameScore
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/20ALoyola Chicago69-84
16/02/20HValparaiso62-65
13/02/20ANorthern Iowa63-71
09/02/20HIndiana State74-67
06/02/20AMissouri State60-80
02/02/20AValparaiso70-80
30/01/20HEvansville77-66
25/01/20HSouthern Illinois55-58
23/01/20ABradley63-75
19/01/20HLoyola Chicago50-62
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/20HValparaiso77-75 OT
16/02/20HEvansville85-80
13/02/20AMissouri State62-97
08/02/20ANorthern Iowa73-83
06/02/20HBradley73-60
01/02/20HSouthern Illinois72-79
30/01/20AIndiana State56-58
26/01/20HMissouri State71-69
23/01/20AEvansville73-50
19/01/20ASouthern Illinois49-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %25%55%0%
Points / game65.365.864.8
Allowed / game70.863.377.2
Point differential-5.5+2.5-12.4
Avg total136.1129.1142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%85%36%
Points / game69.474.363.6
Allowed / game69.569.269.7
Point differential-0.0+5.1-6.1
Avg total138.9143.5133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)100% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2116576%76.966.8+10.1
2 Belmont2417771%79.569.4+10.0
3 Murray State2417771%74.665.2+9.4
4 Indiana State2215768%69.164.5+4.6
5 Bradley2416867%70.665.2+5.4
6 Southern Illinois2214864%62.960.1+2.8
7 Drake2415962%69.469.5-0.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)25131252%69.769.2+0.5
9 Valparaiso24111346%70.670.3+0.3
10 Illinois State2461825%65.370.8-5.5
11 Evansville2461825%67.375.9-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State292857
Drake322153
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