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Illinois State vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 62-65
43-26 19-39
Position#312
Record6-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#173
Record10-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Illinois State v Valparaiso
16 Jan 2027
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
ILLI86
VALP64
01 Feb 2025
ILLI86
VALP78
14 Jan 2024
ILLI50
VALP59
21 Jan 2023
ILLI51
VALP71
09 Feb 2022
ILLI78
VALP75
24 Jan 2021
ILLI66
VALP70
23 Jan 2021
ILLI60
VALP69
03 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
02 Jan 2021
ILLI v VALP
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
ILLI62
VALP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#57
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-29
31-36
43-47
31-37
24-28
26-34
36-34
27-41
23-17
32-41
36-37
41-29
28-34
42-46
26-42
34-38
32-23
42-44
33-40
30-31
134.6Avg total
63.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)65.370.5135.8-5.227%
Season at home (10)66.263.1129.3+3.160%
Season away (12)64.576.7141.2-12.20%
Last 10 (10)63.870.8134.6-7.020%
Last 5 (5)68.872.8141.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.473.4138.8-7.917%
vs Similar (6)63.563.5127.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
32-27
42-36
36-52
32-35
54-42
16-36
44-31
36-23
31-42
26-37
43-43
34-28
46-42
19-34
32-29
35-39
33-31
28-16
27-22
135.9Avg total
68.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.670.4141.0+0.345%
Season at home (10)71.163.8134.9+7.370%
Season away (12)70.275.8146.1-5.625%
Last 10 (10)68.067.9135.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)64.664.2128.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.274.5137.7-11.30%
vs Similar (11)67.168.2135.3-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)78.967.8146.7+11.189%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -4.1-4.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
Illinois StateValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#57
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H19/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
23-17
23
17
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
30.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.232.362.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.227.656.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)31.437.769.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.163.3-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.035.266.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.034.164.1-4.133%-
vs Similar (6)29.231.560.7-2.317%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#138
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
16-36
16
36
-20
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/01
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
W
28-16
28
16
+12
H13/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
30.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.165.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.829.963.8+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.136.767.9-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)30.231.862.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)28.430.859.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.037.568.5-6.517%-
vs Similar (11)31.532.563.9-1.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.331.367.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
02/02/20Valparaiso v Illinois State80-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20ANorthern Iowa63-71
09/02/20HIndiana State74-67
06/02/20AMissouri State60-80
02/02/20AValparaiso70-80
30/01/20HEvansville77-66
25/01/20HSouthern Illinois55-58
23/01/20ABradley63-75
19/01/20HLoyola Chicago50-62
17/01/20ADrake74-84
11/01/20AIndiana State52-65
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/20HSouthern Illinois55-38
09/02/20ALoyola Chicago68-70
06/02/20HNorthern Iowa51-63
02/02/20HIllinois State80-70
30/01/20ABradley69-80
26/01/20HEvansville67-65
24/01/20AMissouri State60-67
19/01/20HIndiana State86-77
16/01/20ANorthern Iowa78-88
11/01/20HDrake66-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%60%0%
Points / game65.366.264.5
Allowed / game70.563.176.7
Point differential-5.2+3.1-12.2
Avg total135.8129.3141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%70%25%
Points / game70.671.170.2
Allowed / game70.463.875.8
Point differential+0.3+7.3-5.6
Avg total141.0134.9146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa1916384%77.866.0+11.8
2 Murray State2216673%76.065.6+10.4
3 Indiana State2014670%69.864.2+5.6
4 Belmont2316770%79.469.5+9.9
5 Bradley2315865%70.164.7+5.4
6 Southern Illinois2113862%62.660.4+2.1
7 Drake2213959%68.468.7-0.4
8 Illinois (Chi.)23111248%69.270.2-1.0
9 Valparaiso22101245%70.670.4+0.3
10 Illinois State2261627%65.370.5-5.2
11 Evansville2261627%67.475.8-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State431962
Valparaiso263965
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