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Drake vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-65
38-36 37-29
Position#138
Record15-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game68.8
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#312
Record8-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Drake v Illinois State
29 Dec 2025
DRAK56
ILLI73
15 Jan 2025
DRAK66
ILLI62
02 Jan 2024
DRAK88
ILLI71
22 Feb 2023
DRAK82
ILLI51
12 Jan 2022
DRAK86
ILLI75
01 Feb 2021
DRAK95
ILLI60
31 Jan 2021
DRAK78
ILLI76
05 Mar 2020
DRAK75
ILLI65
16 Jan 2020
DRAK84
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#57
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
43-70
43
70
-27
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
23-26
29-42
43-37
34-24
39-36
39-35
34-48
30-52
32-45
34-40
51-40
40-22
29-47
32-29
21-28
28-31
32-33
18-30
25-40
137.7Avg total
65.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.568.8136.3-1.356%
Season at home (14)72.169.3141.4+2.879%
Season away (13)62.568.3130.8-5.831%
Last 10 (10)65.472.3137.7-6.930%
Last 5 (5)63.669.2132.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)63.668.4132.0-4.842%
vs Similar (9)65.872.4138.2-6.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.066.6143.6+10.486%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
41-29
28-34
42-46
26-42
34-38
32-23
42-44
33-40
30-31
43-26
19-39
38-34
31-50
29-32
28-21
33-28
34-39
34-27
37-33
137.4Avg total
67.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.469.9135.3-4.530%
Season at home (13)65.563.3128.8+2.254%
Season away (14)65.376.0141.3-10.77%
Last 10 (10)67.470.0137.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)66.067.2133.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)64.271.7135.9-7.419%
vs Similar (5)68.265.0133.2+3.260%
vs Weaker (2)55.556.5112.0-1.00%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -3.2-3.2
DrakeIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#57
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#162
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H20/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#312
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
18-30
18
30
-12
H29/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
31.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.867.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.733.569.2+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)32.434.166.5-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.733.765.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.430.460.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.833.966.7-1.242%-
vs Similar (9)32.032.864.8-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.336.778.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#338
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#196
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#57
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#173
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H16/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#66
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Drake
#138
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Bradley
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#338
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A29/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.432.163.4-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.627.858.4+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)32.336.969.2-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.365.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.429.464.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.733.063.7-2.343%-
vs Similar (5)32.231.663.8+0.640%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Drake wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20HNorthern Iowa43-70
26/02/20ALoyola Chicago60-64
22/02/20AIllinois State53-57
20/02/20HValparaiso77-75 OT
16/02/20HEvansville85-80
13/02/20AMissouri State62-97
08/02/20ANorthern Iowa73-83
06/02/20HBradley73-60
01/02/20HSouthern Illinois72-79
30/01/20AIndiana State56-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AEvansville71-60
27/02/20HBradley71-74 OT
22/02/20HDrake57-53
20/02/20ALoyola Chicago69-84
16/02/20HValparaiso62-65
13/02/20ANorthern Iowa63-71
09/02/20HIndiana State74-67
06/02/20AMissouri State60-80
02/02/20AValparaiso70-80
30/01/20HEvansville77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%79%31%
Points / game67.572.162.5
Allowed / game68.869.368.3
Point differential-1.3+2.8-5.8
Avg total136.3141.4130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)100% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayLLLLW7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%54%7%
Points / game65.465.565.3
Allowed / game69.963.376.0
Point differential-4.5+2.2-10.7
Avg total135.3128.8141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)29% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2419579%76.465.1+11.3
2 Belmont2720774%78.869.0+9.8
3 Murray State2619773%74.664.9+9.7
4 Indiana State2518772%69.364.2+5.0
5 Bradley27171063%70.966.4+4.4
6 Southern Illinois25141156%62.561.9+0.6
7 Drake27151256%67.568.8-1.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)28151354%70.968.7+2.2
9 Valparaiso27131448%71.570.7+0.8
10 Illinois State2781930%65.469.9-4.5
11 Evansville2762122%66.775.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake383775
Illinois State362965
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