PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Illinois State vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 81-64
39-28 42-36
Position#269
Record7-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#312
Record6-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
90-106
90
106
-16
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H15/12
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-41
40-36
39-42
49-46
33-34
43-48
34-49
56-57
39-32
42-39
32-34
32-30
30-32
25-29
36-32
45-39
46-22
35-41
37-29
48-35
156.7Avg total
79.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.377.9158.2+2.458%
Season at home (9)78.875.4154.2+3.367%
Season away (3)85.085.3170.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)79.876.9156.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)76.266.6142.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.779.2150.9-7.527%
vs Similar (14)65.767.3133.0-1.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)94.791.3186.0+3.367%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#172
L
44-96
44
96
-52
A13/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#3
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H16/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H17/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H17/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H24/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#388
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A11/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
10-33
34-63
31-29
31-36
42-35
36-29
28-33
32-24
29-40
29-37
35-28
44-45
37-25
38-40
29-34
42-40
42-24
36-49
26-27
24-41
136.7Avg total
65.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.470.7139.1-2.455%
Season at home (8)69.966.9136.8+3.062%
Season away (3)64.381.0145.3-16.733%
Last 10 (10)65.571.2136.7-5.750%
Last 5 (5)70.670.6141.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.377.2144.5-9.833%
vs Similar (11)71.074.5145.5-3.545%
vs Weaker (10)76.669.9146.5+6.780%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: -5.8-5.8
Illinois StateUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.165.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.034.966.9-2.922%-
Last 30 away (12)31.532.864.2-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.769.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.637.868.5-7.29%-
vs Similar (14)29.531.961.4-2.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.735.375.0+4.367%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#172
L
10-33
10
33
-23
A13/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Denver
#300
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#363
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#103
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H21/11
NCAA
Lamar
#365
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#388
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#42
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A11/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#331
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/12
NCAA
61.7Avg total
30.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.633.269.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.132.170.2+6.174%-
Last 30 away (11)33.935.169.0-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)30.930.861.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.827.661.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.031.861.8-1.850%-
vs Similar (11)34.635.570.2-0.936%-
vs Weaker (10)38.933.172.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
UTSA Roadrunners wins
DateGameScore
21/12/19UTSA Roadrunners v Illinois State89-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HBall State85-64
15/12/21HQuincy Hawks81-63
11/12/21AChicago State81-71
04/12/21HJackson State55-61
02/12/21HMissouri State79-74 OT
28/11/21HPurdue Northwest81-71
24/11/21HBuffalo90-106
24/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens76-82
21/11/21HBucknell105-100 OT
17/11/21HMurray State65-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HUTRGV50-68
11/12/21ASam Houston St.78-73
03/12/21AGrand Canyon71-74
30/11/21HSt. Mary's (TX)75-65
24/11/21HLamar79-73
21/11/21HTexas A&M-CC58-77
17/11/21HIUPUI60-57
17/11/21HDenver78-64
16/11/21HTX A&M Commerce62-65
13/11/21AOklahoma44-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %58%67%33%
Points / game80.378.885.0
Allowed / game77.975.485.3
Point differential+2.4+3.3-0.3
Avg total158.2154.2170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %25%22%33%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %55%62%33%
Points / game68.469.964.3
Allowed / game70.766.981.0
Point differential-2.4+3.0-16.7
Avg total139.1136.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State1110191%86.065.1+20.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake128467%75.766.8+8.9
4 Southern Illinois117464%65.458.5+6.9
5 Illinois State127558%80.377.9+2.4
6 Valparaiso126650%73.066.5+6.5
7 Indiana State126650%73.271.9+1.3
8 Bradley115645%70.566.8+3.7
9 Northern Iowa94544%71.367.9+3.4
10 Illinois (Chi.)114736%67.769.1-1.4
11 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB129375%80.861.2+19.5
2 East Carolina129375%72.668.4+4.2
3 Wichita State118373%66.061.4+4.6
4 North Texas107370%65.955.1+10.8
5 Rice117464%80.974.3+6.6
6 Memphis106460%77.769.2+8.5
7 Florida Atlantic127558%76.668.2+8.3
8 Tulsa116555%69.266.8+2.4
9 Temple116555%66.067.6-1.6
10 Charlotte116555%70.873.1-2.3
11 UTSA Roadrunners116555%68.470.7-2.4
12 South Florida94544%56.757.4-0.8
13 Tulane93633%72.172.6-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State394281
UTSA Roadrunners283664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.