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Illinois State vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 85-64
37-29 48-35
Position#269
Record6-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#237
Record4-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game79.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
90-106
90
106
-16
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
35-47
25-41
40-36
39-42
49-46
33-34
43-48
34-49
56-57
39-32
42-39
32-34
32-30
30-32
25-29
36-32
45-39
46-22
35-41
161.9Avg total
81.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.979.2159.1+0.755%
Season at home (8)78.076.9154.9+1.162%
Season away (3)85.085.3170.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)81.180.8161.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.468.0143.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.880.1150.8-9.325%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.267.5131.8-3.323%
vs Weaker (3)94.791.3186.0+3.367%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
50-96
50
96
-46
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
45-38
41-41
30-41
44-21
29-48
28-34
32-39
33-35
41-50
47-41
42-45
45-26
52-49
33-44
47-49
23-45
27-51
53-30
32-28
157.6Avg total
76.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.479.7155.1-4.244%
Season at home (4)82.271.8154.0+10.575%
Season away (5)70.086.0156.0-16.020%
Last 10 (10)76.880.8157.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)80.281.6161.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.383.2154.5-11.815%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.575.1151.6+1.555%
vs Weaker (5)81.266.0147.2+15.2100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -6.1-6.1
Illinois StateBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#286
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#345
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A11/12
NCAA
Quincy Hawks
#406
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H15/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
35.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.334.465.7-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.735.367.0-3.618%-
Last 30 away (13)30.833.264.1-2.446%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)36.630.467.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.037.967.9-7.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.932.161.0-3.231%-
vs Weaker (3)39.735.375.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#40
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#355
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H13/11
NCAA
Florida Intl
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/11
NCAA
Weber State
#106
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#220
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A21/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H27/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#189
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#155
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A08/12
NCAA
Indiana-Kokomo
#452
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H12/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
38.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.771.7+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.431.271.6+9.171%-
Last 30 away (16)33.937.871.8-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.873.9+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.837.571.4-3.715%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.535.073.5+3.573%-
vs Weaker (5)38.427.866.2+10.660%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
13/12/20Ball State v Illinois State82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/21HQuincy Hawks81-63
11/12/21AChicago State81-71
04/12/21HJackson State55-61
02/12/21HMissouri State79-74 OT
28/11/21HPurdue Northwest81-71
24/11/21HBuffalo90-106
24/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens76-82
21/11/21HBucknell105-100 OT
17/11/21HMurray State65-77
12/11/21AEastern Michigan98-103 OT
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HIndiana-Kokomo85-58
08/12/21AXavier50-96
02/12/21AWestern Illinois80-93
27/11/21HIndiana State97-75
21/11/21AUMass89-86
19/11/21HWeber State74-85
19/11/21AFlorida Intl60-73
13/11/21HNebraska O.73-69
10/11/21AGeorgia Southern71-82
11/03/21AToledo89-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %55%62%33%
Points / game79.978.085.0
Allowed / game79.276.985.3
Point differential+0.7+1.1-0.3
Avg total159.1154.9170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %27%25%33%
Ball State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game75.482.270.0
Allowed / game79.771.886.0
Point differential-4.2+10.5-16.0
Avg total155.1154.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State109190%85.964.0+21.9
2 Belmont1310377%80.571.8+8.8
3 Drake117464%75.367.9+7.4
4 Southern Illinois106460%64.458.8+5.6
5 Illinois State116555%79.979.2+0.7
6 Valparaiso115645%73.567.5+6.0
7 Bradley115645%70.566.8+3.7
8 Indiana State115645%72.872.2+0.6
9 Northern Iowa83538%70.968.9+2.0
10 Evansville124833%61.865.8-4.0
11 Illinois (Chi.)103730%68.470.0-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ohio108280%72.366.2+6.1
2 Akron107370%73.059.3+13.7
3 Toledo107370%76.469.1+7.3
4 Buffalo96367%83.670.0+13.6
5 Kent State95456%69.959.4+10.4
6 Bowling Green95456%77.274.7+2.6
7 UMass116555%79.878.5+1.4
8 Miami (Ohio)105550%78.267.4+10.8
9 Eastern Michigan105550%73.777.8-4.1
10 Ball State94544%75.479.7-4.2
11 Western Michigan104640%67.878.6-10.8
12 Northern Illinois93633%56.367.7-11.3
13 Central Michigan101910%63.583.6-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State374885
Ball State293564
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