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Illinois vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-110
37-54 30-56
Position#100
Record17-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game72.4
Illinois
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record23-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H24/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
42-44
35-38
35-53
43-21
40-53
31-40
39-30
36-42
51-37
29-37
44-45
46-35
49-39
31-25
52-53
41-37
24-42
41-47
33-48
159.4Avg total
78.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.972.4156.4+11.563%
Season at home (17)84.869.1153.9+15.771%
Season away (10)82.478.1160.5+4.350%
Last 10 (10)78.281.2159.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)78.081.6159.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)61.084.0145.0-23.00%
vs Similar (14)82.676.2158.8+6.464%
vs Weaker (14)85.866.4152.2+19.471%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
50-26
39-28
40-34
48-29
35-22
28-34
33-37
41-27
47-25
40-45
37-23
46-31
41-35
30-42
38-23
40-34
49-34
57-36
43-29
37-33
144.6Avg total
81.9Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.060.8141.8+20.288%
Season at home (17)82.660.6143.2+21.988%
Season away (9)77.961.1139.0+16.889%
Last 10 (10)81.962.7144.6+19.290%
Last 5 (5)83.664.0147.6+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)70.351.0121.3+19.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)80.361.4141.7+19.085%
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +6.7+6.7
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +12.5+12.52nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +6.7+6.7
IllinoisDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H26/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#158
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A08/02
NCAA
UCLA
#66
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.231.872.0+8.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.830.472.2+11.478%-
Last 30 away (12)37.833.871.6+3.958%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.872.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.273.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)29.033.062.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.334.673.9+4.764%-
vs Weaker (14)42.728.871.5+13.986%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A18/02
NCAA
70.1Avg total
41.3Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.828.267.0+10.690%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.827.567.3+12.390%-
Last 30 away (10)36.829.766.5+7.190%-
Last 10 (10)41.328.870.1+12.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.628.870.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.725.360.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.328.667.8+10.789%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois wins
0
Duke wins
DateGameScore
09/12/20Duke v Illinois68-83
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AWisconsin74-95
16/02/25HMichigan State65-79
12/02/25HUCLA83-78
08/02/25AMinnesota95-74
06/02/25ARutgers73-82
02/02/25HOhio State87-79
31/01/25ANebraska74-80 OT
26/01/25HNorthwestern83-74
24/01/25HMaryland70-91
19/01/25AMichigan State78-80
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/25AVirginia80-62
15/02/25HStanford106-70
13/02/25HCalifornia78-57
08/02/25AClemson71-77
06/02/25ASyracuse83-54
01/02/25HNorth Carolina87-70
28/01/25HNC State74-64
25/01/25AWake Forest63-56
19/01/25ABoston College88-63
15/01/25HMiami (FL)89-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL63%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %63%71%50%
Points / game83.984.882.4
Allowed / game72.469.178.1
Point differential+11.5+15.7+4.3
Avg total156.4153.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%20%
Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game81.082.677.9
Allowed / game60.860.661.1
Point differential+20.2+21.9+16.8
Avg total141.8143.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%76%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State2722581%79.067.2+11.7
2 Maryland2721678%83.767.3+16.4
3 Wisconsin2721678%81.770.9+10.8
4 Michigan2620677%80.871.2+9.7
5 Oregon2820871%76.671.8+4.8
6 UCLA2719870%75.064.7+10.2
7 Purdue2719870%78.270.0+8.2
8 Illinois27171063%83.972.4+11.5
9 Nebraska27171063%75.772.0+3.7
10 Indiana26151158%75.673.2+2.5
11 Ohio State27151256%78.872.0+6.8
12 Iowa27151256%83.979.5+4.4
13 USC26141254%76.473.5+2.9
14 Penn State28151354%79.473.0+6.4
15 Northwestern27141352%73.469.7+3.7
16 Minnesota27141352%68.569.3-0.7
17 Rutgers27131448%76.075.9+0.1
18 Washington26121446%72.574.6-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2623388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2722581%77.566.5+11.0
3 Louisville2721678%79.969.4+10.4
4 SMU Mustangs2720774%82.271.7+10.5
5 Wake Forest2719870%70.767.4+3.3
6 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
7 North Carolina28171161%80.976.3+4.6
8 Pittsburgh27161159%77.171.2+6.0
9 Florida State27161159%75.571.4+4.1
10 Georgia Tech27131448%73.873.3+0.5
11 Virginia27131448%64.566.1-1.6
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame27121544%73.371.9+1.4
14 Virginia Tech27121544%69.171.7-2.6
15 Boston College27121544%70.974.7-3.8
16 NC State27111641%70.169.8+0.3
17 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
18 Miami (FL)2762122%74.679.7-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois373067
Duke5456110
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