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Illinois vs Iowa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:09
Final 71-59
28-32 43-27
Position#35
Record27-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game69.0
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Iowa
USA
Position#81
Record24-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAANCAA - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · Illinois v Iowa
28 Mar 2026
ILLI71
IOWA59
13 Mar 2025
ILLI106
IOWA94
25 Feb 2025
ILLI81
IOWA61
24 Feb 2024
ILLI95
IOWA85
06 Mar 2022
ILLI74
IOWA72
13 Mar 2021
ILLI82
IOWA71
29 Jan 2021
ILLI80
IOWA75
08 Mar 2020
ILLI78
IOWA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iowa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
71-51
71
51
+20
H15/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
101-65
101
65
+36
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H28/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
33-20
54-32
47-33
50-43
36-43
31-38
39-46
41-21
39-33
37-34
41-38
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
152.0Avg total
82.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.269.0153.1+15.277%
Season at home (23)85.767.3152.9+18.474%
Season away (12)81.372.2153.6+9.183%
Last 10 (10)82.869.2152.0+13.670%
Last 5 (5)82.468.6151.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.774.5148.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.567.1151.5+17.483%
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A28/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
75-84 OT
75
84
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A26/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
30-44
37-23
37-34
38-34
31-37
30-30
38-41
26-30
44-40
25-26
50-38
30-34
39-38
32-25
35-36
33-31
40-41
43-46
34-25
142.5Avg total
71.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)75.066.1141.1+8.867%
Season at home (20)78.763.0141.7+15.785%
Season away (16)70.370.1140.4+0.244%
Last 10 (10)71.870.7142.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)72.268.0140.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.071.0139.0-3.025%
vs Similar (13)67.567.2134.7+0.454%
vs Weaker (13)78.864.8143.5+14.077%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.4+0.4
IllinoisIowa
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H15/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A19/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A22/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H28/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
38.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.730.970.6+8.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.128.969.0+11.178%-
Last 30 away (12)39.133.973.0+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.969.5+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)34.428.863.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)32.737.069.7-4.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.429.470.8+12.092%-
This opponent (Iowa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IowaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A20/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.5Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.330.364.5+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.527.462.9+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)33.232.865.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)33.531.965.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.465.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)30.030.260.2-0.250%-
vs Similar (13)33.130.863.9+2.262%-
vs Weaker (13)36.829.766.5+7.162%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Illinois wins
1
Iowa wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Iowa v Illinois69-75
13/03/25Illinois v Iowa106-94
26/02/25Illinois v Iowa81-61
10/03/24Iowa v Illinois61-73
24/02/24Illinois v Iowa95-85
04/02/23Iowa v Illinois81-79
07/03/22Illinois v Iowa74-72
07/12/21Iowa v Illinois83-87
13/03/21Illinois v Iowa82-71
30/01/21Illinois v Iowa80-75
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
08/03/26AMaryland78-72
04/03/26HOregon80-54
28/02/26HMichigan70-84
22/02/26AUCLA94-95 OT
19/02/26AUSC101-65
15/02/26HIndiana71-51
Iowalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26ANebraska77-71
22/03/26AFlorida73-72
20/03/26AClemson67-61
12/03/26AOhio State69-72
11/03/26HMaryland75-64
08/03/26ANebraska75-84 OT
06/03/26HMichigan68-71
28/02/26APenn State69-71
26/02/26HOhio State74-57
22/02/26AWisconsin71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayLWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352312
Win %77%74%83%
Points / game84.285.781.3
Allowed / game69.067.372.2
Point differential+15.2+18.4+9.1
Avg total153.1152.9153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%65%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%9%17%
Iowa
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW85%
AwayLLWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %67%85%44%
Points / game75.078.770.3
Allowed / game66.163.070.1
Point differential+8.8+15.7+0.2
Avg total141.1141.7140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3734392%87.569.8+17.7
2 Nebraska3528780%77.066.1+10.8
3 Purdue3830879%82.170.3+11.8
4 Illinois3527877%84.269.0+15.2
5 Michigan State3527877%78.868.3+10.5
6 Wisconsin35241169%83.076.1+6.9
7 Iowa36241267%75.066.1+8.8
8 UCLA36241267%77.171.1+6.0
9 Ohio State34211362%79.372.6+6.7
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois284371
Iowa322759
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