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Illinois vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-69
35-29 43-40
Position#114
Record17-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game65.3
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#340
Record7-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois v Minnesota
17 Jan 2026
ILLI77
MINN67
28 Feb 2024
ILLI105
MINN97
20 Feb 2023
ILLI78
MINN69
15 Dec 2020
ILLI92
MINN65
30 Jan 2020
ILLI59
MINN51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H20/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
42-29
35-32
43-28
33-43
32-37
34-26
35-34
20-16
41-35
38-37
34-19
36-35
43-46
30-34
39-26
40-53
41-40
38-35
30-36
139.5Avg total
71.7Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.965.3140.2+9.665%
Season at home (14)77.359.8137.1+17.586%
Season away (12)72.171.8143.8+0.342%
Last 10 (10)71.767.8139.5+3.960%
Last 5 (5)73.872.2146.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.770.0138.7-1.367%
vs Similar (14)67.973.0140.9-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)79.655.7135.3+23.9100%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
60-78
60
78
-18
H16/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
39-61
39
61
-22
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A28/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
55-90
55
90
-35
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
46-81
46
81
-35
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
33-32
32-35
28-43
12-31
27-30
23-23
33-37
30-33
27-28
28-45
33-36
24-34
31-56
21-41
25-40
29-32
27-36
35-45
34-31
129.2Avg total
56.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)61.269.5130.7-8.329%
Season at home (17)61.267.7128.9-6.535%
Season away (7)61.373.9135.1-12.614%
Last 10 (10)56.972.3129.2-15.410%
Last 5 (5)57.479.2136.6-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)62.870.2133.0-7.427%
vs Similar (4)61.268.2129.5-7.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -7.1-7.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: -7.1-7.1
IllinoisMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A16/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.667.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.331.268.4+6.161%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.867.0-2.558%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.868.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.875.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.336.767.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (14)33.437.470.7-4.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.526.565.0+11.992%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#235
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/01
NCAA
Illinois
#114
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Purdue
#14
L
12-31
12
31
-19
H20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A02/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H19/02
NCAA
62.5Avg total
27.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.934.063.9-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (20)30.733.063.7-2.340%-
Last 30 away (10)28.336.164.4-7.820%-
Last 10 (10)27.135.462.5-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)27.439.466.8-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)30.034.464.4-4.531%-
vs Similar (4)29.531.260.8-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois wins
0
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
16/01/23Minnesota v Illinois60-78
05/01/22Minnesota v Illinois53-76
20/02/21Minnesota v Illinois63-94
16/12/20Illinois v Minnesota92-65
31/01/20Illinois v Minnesota59-51
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AIndiana68-71
15/02/23APenn State81-93
11/02/23HRutgers69-60
04/02/23AIowa79-81
01/02/23HNebraska72-56
28/01/23AWisconsin61-51
25/01/23HOhio State69-60
20/01/23HIndiana65-80
16/01/23AMinnesota78-60
14/01/23HMichigan State75-66
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HPenn State69-76
12/02/23HIowa56-68
05/02/23HMaryland46-81
02/02/23ARutgers55-90
28/01/23ANorthwestern61-81
26/01/23HIndiana57-61
22/01/23AMichigan56-60
20/01/23HPurdue39-61
16/01/23HIllinois60-78
12/01/23AOhio State70-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%86%42%
Points / game74.977.372.1
Allowed / game65.359.871.8
Point differential+9.6+17.5+0.3
Avg total140.2137.1143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%64%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Minnesota
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL35%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24177
Win %29%35%14%
Points / game61.261.261.3
Allowed / game69.567.773.9
Point differential-8.3-6.5-12.6
Avg total130.7128.9135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2824486%73.561.6+11.9
2 UCLA2723485%74.159.4+14.7
3 Northwestern2720774%68.561.9+6.6
4 Indiana2719870%75.867.0+8.8
5 USC2719870%72.767.0+5.7
6 Maryland2718967%70.562.7+7.8
7 Illinois2617965%74.965.3+9.6
8 Rutgers27171063%69.759.9+9.8
9 Iowa27171063%80.373.7+6.6
10 Michigan State26161062%68.065.3+2.7
11 Penn State27161159%73.368.7+4.6
12 Wisconsin26151158%64.763.2+1.4
13 Michigan27151256%73.569.2+4.3
14 Oregon28151354%70.567.2+3.3
15 Washington28151354%68.869.5-0.7
16 Nebraska28141450%66.969.1-2.1
17 Ohio State27111641%73.069.2+3.8
18 Minnesota2471729%61.269.5-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois354378
Minnesota294069
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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