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Illinois vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-97
48-45 57-52
Position#27
Record20-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game72.0
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota
USA
Position#163
Record17-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Minnesota
17 Jan 2026
ILLI77
MINN67
28 Feb 2024
ILLI105
MINN97
20 Feb 2023
ILLI78
MINN69
15 Dec 2020
ILLI92
MINN65
30 Jan 2020
ILLI59
MINN51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
46-35
32-34
44-42
38-34
32-28
41-34
46-41
34-36
39-37
41-44
39-44
47-29
50-39
43-38
42-42
48-41
41-49
44-43
51-42
165.8Avg total
86.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.872.0155.7+11.874%
Season at home (18)83.867.4151.3+16.489%
Season away (9)83.781.0164.7+2.744%
Last 10 (10)86.779.1165.8+7.670%
Last 5 (5)89.282.2171.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)76.577.6154.1-1.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.869.3155.2+16.584%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
34-39
24-34
35-27
31-45
52-29
27-27
34-34
27-32
32-24
51-38
34-52
43-35
33-49
37-37
44-33
42-34
46-45
20-28
35-45
145.6Avg total
72.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.969.8145.7+6.163%
Season at home (18)78.865.7144.4+13.183%
Season away (9)70.278.0148.2-7.822%
Last 10 (10)72.772.9145.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.079.2156.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.675.2141.8-8.620%
vs Similar (14)73.071.1144.1+1.957%
vs Weaker (11)81.366.3147.5+15.082%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.2+0.2
IllinoisMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
76.9Avg total
40.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.473.0+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.731.871.5+7.874%-
Last 30 away (11)36.638.875.5-2.255%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.176.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.083.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)34.237.671.8-3.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.132.573.6+8.689%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A25/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.833.369.1+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.631.469.0+6.363%-
Last 30 away (11)32.636.769.4-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.768.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.833.066.8+0.860%-
vs Similar (14)31.833.865.6-2.029%-
vs Weaker (11)41.832.974.7+8.973%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Illinois wins
0
Minnesota wins
DateGameScore
21/02/23Illinois v Minnesota78-69
16/01/23Minnesota v Illinois60-78
05/01/22Minnesota v Illinois53-76
20/02/21Minnesota v Illinois63-94
16/12/20Illinois v Minnesota92-65
31/01/20Illinois v Minnesota59-51
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HIowa95-85
21/02/24APenn State89-90
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
14/02/24HMichigan97-68
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
04/02/24HNebraska87-84 OT
31/01/24AOhio State87-75
27/01/24HIndiana70-62
25/01/24ANorthwestern91-96 OT
21/01/24HRutgers86-63
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24ANebraska55-73
23/02/24HOhio State88-79
18/02/24HRutgers81-70
16/02/24APurdue76-84
11/02/24AIowa85-90
07/02/24HMichigan State59-56
03/02/24HNorthwestern75-66 OT
27/01/24APenn State83-74
24/01/24HWisconsin59-61
18/01/24AMichigan State66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %74%89%44%
Points / game83.883.883.7
Allowed / game72.067.481.0
Point differential+11.8+16.4+2.7
Avg total155.7151.3164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%11%
Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %63%83%22%
Points / game75.978.870.2
Allowed / game69.865.778.0
Point differential+6.1+13.1-7.8
Avg total145.7144.4148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%61%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2825389%84.870.1+14.8
2 Illinois2720774%83.872.0+11.8
3 Nebraska2820871%77.169.5+7.6
4 Northwestern2820871%74.269.0+5.2
5 Oregon2718967%75.971.6+4.3
6 Wisconsin28181064%74.168.9+5.3
7 Minnesota27171063%75.969.8+6.1
8 Michigan State28171161%74.466.0+8.4
9 Iowa29171259%83.778.8+4.9
10 Ohio State28161257%74.069.9+4.1
11 Washington28151354%80.877.2+3.6
12 Indiana28151354%72.975.0-2.1
13 UCLA27141352%65.964.0+1.8
14 Rutgers27141352%66.166.4-0.3
15 Maryland29151452%69.364.4+4.9
16 Penn State29141548%75.874.5+1.3
17 USC27111641%74.274.8-0.6
18 Michigan2882029%74.879.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois4857105
Minnesota455297
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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