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Illinois vs Michigan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-66
33-37 42-29
Position#114
Record11-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#108
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois v Michigan State
15 Feb 2025
ILLI65
MICH79
11 Jan 2024
ILLI71
MICH68
13 Jan 2023
ILLI75
MICH66
25 Jan 2022
ILLI56
MICH55
11 Feb 2020
ILLI69
MICH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Michigan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
73-44
73
44
+29
H30/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
A07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H10/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A05/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
43-21
34-41
32-30
37-34
31-34
38-47
21-27
36-19
32-28
27-51
44-42
47-19
38-33
27-31
33-42
30-27
49-42
34-23
42-27
137.3Avg total
72.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.963.8140.6+13.169%
Season at home (9)81.357.2138.6+24.189%
Season away (7)71.172.1143.3-1.043%
Last 10 (10)72.265.1137.3+7.160%
Last 5 (5)74.267.4141.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.770.0138.7-1.367%
vs Similar (14)71.173.6144.7-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)76.956.8133.7+20.292%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#263
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
44-35
24-42
28-28
37-38
26-32
35-35
32-23
32-18
36-32
29-24
38-30
41-30
48-38
39-17
35-39
27-18
32-35
33-31
36-34
130.7Avg total
68.6Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.364.9135.2+5.475%
Season at home (12)72.865.2138.0+7.783%
Season away (4)62.864.2127.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)68.662.1130.7+6.580%
Last 5 (5)71.659.2130.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.775.6144.3-6.929%
vs Similar (20)71.567.8139.2+3.870%
vs Weaker (3)64.360.0124.3+4.367%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +2.9+2.9
IllinoisMichigan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#180
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Texas
#34
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#291
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A05/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A11/01
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.667.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.530.569.0+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.165.2-0.954%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.565.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.263.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.336.767.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (14)34.835.970.7-1.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.125.863.8+12.385%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland
#263
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A01/12
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/12
NCAA
Penn State
#105
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Brown
#188
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A11/01
NCAA
62.6Avg total
33.1Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.363.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.329.263.4+5.174%-
Last 30 away (11)29.634.964.5-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)33.129.562.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.824.057.8+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.735.668.3-2.943%-
vs Similar (20)32.830.363.1+2.560%-
vs Weaker (3)30.727.758.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois wins
3
Michigan State wins
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ANebraska76-50
07/01/23HWisconsin79-69
05/01/23ANorthwestern60-73
30/12/22HBethune-Cookman85-52
23/12/22AMissouri71-93
17/12/22HAlabama A&M Bulldogs68-47
10/12/22HPenn State59-74
07/12/22ATexas85-78 OT
03/12/22AMaryland66-71
30/11/22HSyracuse73-44
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AWisconsin69-65
07/01/23HMichigan59-53
04/01/23HNebraska74-56
30/12/22HBuffalo89-68
21/12/22HOakland67-54
10/12/22HBrown68-50
07/12/22APenn State67-58
05/12/22HNorthwestern63-70
01/12/22ANotre Dame52-70
27/11/22HPortland78-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game76.981.371.1
Allowed / game63.857.272.1
Point differential+13.1+24.1-1.0
Avg total140.6138.6143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%89%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Michigan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game70.372.862.8
Allowed / game64.965.264.2
Point differential+5.4+7.7-1.5
Avg total135.2138.0127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1716194%75.861.1+14.6
2 UCLA1715288%77.260.1+17.1
3 Northwestern1612475%68.459.3+9.1
4 Michigan State1612475%70.364.9+5.4
5 Wisconsin1511473%68.362.9+5.4
6 Rutgers1712571%71.156.5+14.6
7 Penn State1712571%75.467.4+8.0
8 USC1712571%71.265.9+5.3
9 Illinois1611569%76.963.8+13.1
10 Maryland1611569%71.863.9+7.9
11 Iowa1711665%82.172.8+9.3
12 Ohio State1610662%78.966.2+12.7
13 Indiana1610662%79.969.3+10.6
14 Michigan169756%75.570.2+5.3
15 Washington1810856%69.468.1+1.4
16 Oregon179853%68.666.4+2.2
17 Nebraska189950%66.467.2-0.8
18 Minnesota157847%64.767.5-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois334275
Michigan State372966
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