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Illinois vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-70
36-28 50-42
Position#21
Record16-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#316
Record5-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Illinois v Nebraska
19 Jan 2027
ILLI v NEBR
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
ILLI80
NEBR83
16 Mar 2024
ILLI98
NEBR87
04 Feb 2024
ILLI87
NEBR84
31 Jan 2023
ILLI72
NEBR56
02 Mar 2021
ILLI v NEBR
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
ILLI86
NEBR70
24 Feb 2020
ILLI71
NEBR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#150
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
94-63
94
63
+31
A20/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-32
29-34
28-43
53-44
42-28
37-37
43-41
37-34
34-41
34-27
36-23
39-37
33-34
33-32
38-26
35-40
48-33
46-30
26-36
46-45
147.5Avg total
76.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.369.1150.5+12.273%
Season at home (12)81.264.6145.8+16.683%
Season away (10)81.574.6156.1+6.960%
Last 10 (10)76.970.6147.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)78.268.4146.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similar (5)69.472.8142.2-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.867.1146.9+12.679%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A09/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
H13/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-46
42-38
22-34
34-32
30-45
31-34
27-30
21-31
34-33
32-33
35-35
27-26
28-32
22-32
33-40
38-39
37-40
21-35
38-39
45-47
136.9Avg total
63.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.673.3142.9-3.824%
Season at home (13)75.472.0147.4+3.431%
Season away (8)60.175.5135.6-15.412%
Last 10 (10)63.773.2136.9-9.510%
Last 5 (5)64.873.0137.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)66.176.7142.8-10.513%
vs Similar (6)69.276.2145.3-7.017%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -3.4-3.4
IllinoisNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#150
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A24/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
36.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.669.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.330.467.8+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)35.735.170.9+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.769.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.231.969.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#220
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H10/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#159
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Illinois
#21
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
31.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.536.870.3-3.317%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.335.872.1+0.529%-
Last 30 away (13)29.838.167.9-8.20%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.469.2-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.271.4-3.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.936.869.7-4.017%-
vs Similar (6)32.038.370.3-6.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Illinois wins
0
Nebraska wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21Nebraska v Illinois72-77 OT
25/02/20Illinois v Nebraska71-59
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21AMichigan State72-81
20/02/21AMinnesota94-63
17/02/21HNorthwestern73-66
13/02/21ANebraska77-72 OT
06/02/21HWisconsin75-60
03/02/21AIndiana75-71 OT
30/01/21HIowa80-75
20/01/21HPenn State79-65
16/01/21HOhio State81-87
11/01/21HMaryland63-66
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/21HPenn State83-86
20/02/21HPurdue58-75
18/02/21AMaryland71-79
17/02/21AMaryland50-64
14/02/21APenn State62-61
13/02/21HIllinois72-77 OT
11/02/21HWisconsin48-61
09/02/21AMinnesota61-79
06/02/21AMichigan State56-66
10/01/21HIndiana76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game81.381.281.5
Allowed / game69.164.674.6
Point differential+12.2+16.6+6.9
Avg total150.5145.8156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Nebraska
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL31%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %24%31%12%
Points / game69.675.460.1
Allowed / game73.372.075.5
Point differential-3.8+3.4-15.4
Avg total142.9147.4135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1716194%79.266.2+13.0
2 USC2319483%75.764.1+11.6
3 Ohio State2318578%78.569.6+8.9
4 UCLA2116576%73.467.7+5.7
5 Iowa2317674%86.472.8+13.6
6 Oregon1914574%73.366.5+6.7
7 Illinois2216673%81.369.1+12.2
8 Wisconsin2416867%69.862.7+7.1
9 Purdue2315865%70.866.3+4.6
10 Rutgers2213959%71.067.8+3.2
11 Maryland24141058%69.765.3+4.4
12 Michigan State2112957%71.371.7-0.4
13 Minnesota23131057%74.373.6+0.7
14 Indiana23121152%72.169.9+2.2
15 Penn State2081240%73.474.2-0.8
16 Northwestern2061430%71.771.9-0.2
17 Nebraska2151624%69.673.3-3.8
18 Washington2351822%66.076.5-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois365086
Nebraska284270
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