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Michigan State vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-72
36-26 45-46
Position#159
Record11-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#21
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Michigan State v Illinois
07 Feb 2026
MICH85
ILLI82
19 Jan 2025
MICH80
ILLI78
10 Feb 2024
MICH88
ILLI80
19 Feb 2022
MICH74
ILLI79
23 Feb 2021
MICH81
ILLI72
02 Jan 2020
MICH76
ILLI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
58-88
58
88
-30
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-22
40-23
31-16
23-39
20-26
17-41
30-42
32-37
43-48
35-36
34-22
32-34
32-24
28-34
27-46
31-42
27-30
38-45
26-30
52-41
130.4Avg total
62.6Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.871.7142.5-0.955%
Season at home (11)74.268.4142.5+5.873%
Season away (9)66.775.8142.4-9.133%
Last 10 (10)62.667.8130.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)65.469.6135.0-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.976.4145.2-7.525%
vs Similar (13)68.868.2137.0+0.769%
vs Weaker (9)78.070.0148.0+8.067%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#265
W
81-56
81
56
+25
A08/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
75-71 OT
75
71
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
94-63
94
63
+31
A20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-43
53-13
34-32
29-34
28-43
53-44
42-28
37-37
43-41
37-34
34-41
34-27
36-23
39-37
33-34
33-32
38-26
35-40
48-33
46-30
145.9Avg total
77.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.868.6150.3+13.276%
Season at home (12)81.264.6145.8+16.683%
Season away (9)82.673.9156.4+8.767%
Last 10 (10)77.868.1145.9+9.780%
Last 5 (5)78.866.4145.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
vs Similar (6)68.873.2142.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.166.5146.6+13.683%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +6.8+6.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +6.8+6.8
Michigan StateIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#136
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Purdue
#97
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H09/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#136
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H13/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A20/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
29.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.566.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.132.167.3+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)31.134.966.0-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)29.830.660.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)29.230.459.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.036.570.5-2.525%-
vs Similar (13)31.228.559.7+2.862%-
vs Weaker (9)35.038.273.2-3.244%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#265
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H16/01
NCAA
Penn State
#226
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H20/01
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Indiana
#220
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#265
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A20/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
36.4Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.869.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.631.068.6+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)36.535.171.5+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)36.434.470.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.469.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (6)35.837.273.0-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.731.769.4+6.070%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Michigan State wins
0
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
12/02/20Illinois v Michigan State69-70
03/01/20Michigan State v Illinois76-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21AIndiana78-71
17/02/21APurdue65-75
13/02/21HIowa58-88
10/02/21HPenn State60-58
06/02/21HNebraska66-56
03/02/21AIowa78-84
31/01/21AOhio State62-79
29/01/21ARutgers37-67
09/01/21HPurdue54-55
06/01/21HRutgers68-45
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21AMinnesota94-63
17/02/21HNorthwestern73-66
13/02/21ANebraska77-72 OT
06/02/21HWisconsin75-60
03/02/21AIndiana75-71 OT
30/01/21HIowa80-75
20/01/21HPenn State79-65
16/01/21HOhio State81-87
11/01/21HMaryland63-66
08/01/21ANorthwestern81-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game70.874.266.7
Allowed / game71.768.475.8
Point differential-0.9+5.8-9.1
Avg total142.5142.5142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %76%83%67%
Points / game81.881.282.6
Allowed / game68.664.673.9
Point differential+13.2+16.6+8.7
Avg total150.3145.8156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan1716194%79.266.2+13.0
2 USC2319483%75.764.1+11.6
3 Ohio State2318578%78.569.6+8.9
4 Illinois2116576%81.868.6+13.2
5 UCLA2116576%73.467.7+5.7
6 Iowa2317674%86.472.8+13.6
7 Oregon1914574%73.366.5+6.7
8 Wisconsin2416867%69.862.7+7.1
9 Purdue2315865%70.866.3+4.6
10 Maryland24141058%69.765.3+4.4
11 Rutgers2112957%70.968.0+2.8
12 Minnesota23131057%74.373.6+0.7
13 Michigan State2011955%70.871.7-0.9
14 Indiana22121055%72.569.7+2.8
15 Penn State1971237%72.773.8-1.1
16 Northwestern2061430%71.771.9-0.2
17 Nebraska2051525%68.972.7-3.8
18 Washington2251723%66.175.5-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State364581
Illinois264672
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