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Illinois vs Nebraska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 98-87
40-51 58-36
Position#27
Record24-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.0
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Nebraska
USA
Position#62
Record23-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Illinois v Nebraska
19 Jan 2027
ILLI v NEBR
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
ILLI80
NEBR83
16 Mar 2024
ILLI98
NEBR87
04 Feb 2024
ILLI87
NEBR84
31 Jan 2023
ILLI72
NEBR56
02 Mar 2021
ILLI v NEBR
upcoming
25 Feb 2021
ILLI86
NEBR70
24 Feb 2020
ILLI71
NEBR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nebraska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-44
39-44
47-29
50-39
43-38
42-42
48-41
41-49
44-43
51-42
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
40-34
31-43
39-29
34-32
31-29
46-45
166.6Avg total
86.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.773.0156.7+10.875%
Season at home (21)83.969.6153.5+14.386%
Season away (11)83.479.4162.7+4.055%
Last 10 (10)86.380.3166.6+6.070%
Last 5 (5)83.478.4161.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.078.1156.1-0.144%
vs Weaker (21)87.372.7160.0+14.686%
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A22/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A29/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
37-39
31-47
37-33
45-25
34-34
28-22
40-27
51-31
34-39
28-20
45-35
37-39
32-39
37-25
30-31
50-43
35-27
50-27
43-39
144.1Avg total
77.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.369.2146.5+8.172%
Season at home (20)79.565.2144.7+14.395%
Season away (12)73.676.0149.6-2.433%
Last 10 (10)77.167.0144.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)77.465.0142.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.072.0160.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.776.9150.6-3.347%
vs Weaker (14)79.663.1142.7+16.693%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +8.0+8.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
IllinoisNebraska
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#154
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/03
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.234.774.9+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.933.274.1+7.879%-
Last 30 away (11)39.037.376.3+1.773%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.978.9+5.190%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.137.174.2+0.044%-
vs Weaker (21)41.633.675.2+8.090%-
This opponent (Nebraska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H10/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A22/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A10/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/03
NCAA
70.6Avg total
39.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.871.9+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.231.469.6+6.772%-
Last 30 away (12)38.037.375.3+0.742%-
Last 10 (10)39.331.370.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)40.430.871.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.030.071.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.538.773.2-4.133%-
vs Weaker (14)41.728.970.6+12.986%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Illinois wins
0
Nebraska wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Illinois v Nebraska87-84 OT
01/02/23Illinois v Nebraska72-56
11/01/23Nebraska v Illinois50-76
12/01/22Nebraska v Illinois71-81
26/02/21Illinois v Nebraska86-70
13/02/21Nebraska v Illinois72-77 OT
25/02/20Illinois v Nebraska71-59
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HOhio State77-74
10/03/24AIowa73-61
06/03/24HPurdue71-77
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97
24/02/24HIowa95-85
21/02/24APenn State89-90
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
14/02/24HMichigan97-68
10/02/24AMichigan State80-88
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HIndiana93-66
10/03/24AMichigan85-70
03/03/24HRutgers67-56
29/02/24AOhio State69-78
25/02/24HMinnesota73-55
22/02/24AIndiana85-70
17/02/24HPenn State68-49
10/02/24HMichigan79-59
08/02/24ANorthwestern68-80
04/02/24AIllinois84-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %75%86%55%
Points / game83.783.983.4
Allowed / game73.069.679.4
Point differential+10.8+14.3+4.0
Avg total156.7153.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%5%9%
Nebraska
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %72%95%33%
Points / game77.379.573.6
Allowed / game69.265.276.0
Point differential+8.1+14.3-2.4
Avg total146.5144.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %9%5%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3329488%83.470.2+13.2
2 Illinois3224875%83.773.0+10.8
3 Nebraska3223972%77.369.2+8.1
4 Oregon33221167%75.372.0+3.4
5 Northwestern32211166%73.769.0+4.7
6 Wisconsin34221265%74.769.3+5.4
7 Ohio State33201361%74.969.5+5.4
8 Michigan State33191458%73.165.9+7.2
9 Indiana33191458%72.374.3-2.0
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois405898
Nebraska513687
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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