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Illinois vs USC Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#62
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Illinois v USC
27 Jan 2027
ILLI v USC
upcoming
11 Jan 2025
ILLI72
USC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
USC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
120-45
120
45
+75
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
108-86
108
86
+22
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
42-48
40-30
65-40
35-28
41-27
24-22
41-33
28-32
43-27
29-37
33-34
67-20
53-25
53-30
59-40
29-49
49-35
45-40
63-46
157.1Avg total
88.5Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.571.2175.8+33.275%
Season at home (3)113.367.0180.3+46.3100%
Season away (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.568.6157.1+19.970%
Last 5 (5)96.071.2167.2+24.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.767.2154.0+19.580%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
68-89
68
89
-21
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
95-63
95
63
+32
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-54
33-47
32-35
38-36
29-38
33-43
36-31
31-51
43-40
29-51
30-45
38-44
40-33
31-38
46-29
49-34
43-45
50-41
39-30
38-35
156.0Avg total
74.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.371.3159.7+17.0100%
Season at home (1)95.063.0158.0+32.0100%
Season away (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.881.2156.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.582.2151.8-12.825%
vs Similar (10)76.677.1153.7-0.550%
vs Weaker (8)88.570.4158.9+18.1100%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: -5.0-5.0
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +6.8+6.81st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +13.4+13.42nd half: -5.0-5.0
IllinoisUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H20/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H28/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/04
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
67-20
67
20
+47
H03/11
NCAA
Penn
#320
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#26
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#225
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.931.070.9+8.977%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.628.570.1+13.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.872.0+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.870.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.635.279.8+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.630.071.6+11.688%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#35
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H19/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A05/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#102
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A09/11
NCAA
California
#84
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/11
NCAA
75.0Avg total
37.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.671.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.237.773.9-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.539.071.5-6.533%-
vs Similar (10)38.435.273.6+3.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.833.173.9+7.675%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Illinois wins
1
USC wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26USC v Illinois65-101
11/01/25Illinois v USC72-82
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSam Houston St.108-86
11/11/26ATexas Tech78-84
06/11/26HPenn112-70
03/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson120-45
04/04/26AUconn62-71
28/03/26HIowa71-59
27/03/26AHouston65-55
22/03/26HVCU Rams76-55
20/03/26HPenn105-70
13/03/26HWisconsin88-91 OT
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACalifornia77-65
09/11/26AWichita State93-86
03/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee95-63
11/03/26AWashington79-83 OT
08/03/26HUCLA68-89
05/03/26AWashington72-91
28/02/26HNebraska67-82
25/02/26AUCLA62-81
21/02/26HOregon70-71
19/02/26HIllinois65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5113.378.0
Allowed / game71.267.084.0
Point differential+33.2+46.3-6.0
Avg total175.8180.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
USC
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.395.085.0
Allowed / game71.363.075.5
Point differential+17.0+32.0+9.5
Avg total159.7158.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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