PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Northwestern vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-66 (OT)
24-27 32-29 14-10
Position#191
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#100
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game61.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Northwestern v Illinois
13 Jan 2027
NORT v ILLI
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
NORT68
ILLI79
06 Dec 2024
NORT70
ILLI66
24 Jan 2024
NORT96
ILLI91
04 Jan 2023
NORT73
ILLI60
29 Jan 2022
NORT56
ILLI59
07 Jan 2021
NORT56
ILLI81
27 Feb 2020
NORT66
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H13/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
67-58 OT
67
58
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
18-40
40-35
51-15
39-31
32-24
34-47
31-29
52-45
37-27
21-31
34-39
38-30
31-19
37-31
28-31
41-40
26-25
40-36
34-45
45-35
137.3Avg total
71.8Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.364.4137.8+8.967%
Season at home (5)76.059.4135.4+16.6100%
Season away (4)70.070.8140.8-0.825%
Last 10 (10)71.865.5137.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)70.866.2137.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.884.0165.8-2.250%
vs Similar (20)72.469.4141.8+3.055%
vs Weaker (6)72.858.5131.3+14.383%
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#68
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H24/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A29/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A30/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
112-67
112
67
+45
H05/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H09/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
87-100
87
100
-13
H21/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
87-40
87
40
+47
H23/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
92-34
92
34
+58
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-26
39-37
36-26
36-43
23-28
29-49
50-35
62-32
46-28
44-30
36-29
30-25
38-52
49-48
35-15
52-25
51-19
41-15
49-34
41-43
147.6Avg total
83.7Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.161.4150.6+27.786%
Season at home (7)89.161.4150.6+27.786%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.763.9147.6+19.880%
Last 5 (5)84.461.0145.4+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.077.0129.0-25.00%
vs Similar (9)84.478.8163.2+5.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.071.4158.4+15.685%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +7.6+7.6
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +12.2+12.22nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +7.6+7.6
NorthwesternIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#5
L
18-40
18
40
-22
A24/03
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
W
51-15
51
15
+36
H05/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A10/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H13/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
32.2Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.664.2+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.930.168.1+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)29.131.160.3-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)32.229.461.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)30.631.862.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.534.862.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (20)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
vs Weaker (6)37.324.762.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#68
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H24/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#18
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A29/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A30/03
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Oakland
#220
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
35-15
35
15
+20
H23/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
51-19
51
19
+32
H26/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H28/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
41.4Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.534.374.8+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.834.175.9+7.785%-
Last 30 away (10)37.934.772.6+3.270%-
Last 10 (10)41.429.270.6+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.829.871.6+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.028.051.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.178.4+2.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.532.974.3+8.695%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Northwestern wins
8
Illinois wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AIowa79-80
30/11/24AUNLV66-61
29/11/24AButler69-71
23/11/24HPepperdine68-50
20/11/24HMontana State72-69
16/11/24HEastern Illinois67-58 OT
13/11/24HIllinois (Chi.)83-74
10/11/24ADayton66-71
05/11/24HLehigh90-46
24/03/24AUconn58-75
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24HArkansas90-77
26/11/24HUALR92-34
23/11/24HMd.-East. Shore87-40
21/11/24HAlabama87-100
14/11/24HOakland66-54
09/11/24HSiu Edwardsville90-58
05/11/24HEastern Illinois112-67
30/03/24AUconn52-77
29/03/24AIowa State72-69
24/03/24HDuquesne89-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game73.376.070.0
Allowed / game64.459.470.8
Point differential+8.9+16.6-0.8
Avg total137.8135.4140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWLWWW86%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %86%86%-
Points / game89.189.1-
Allowed / game61.461.4-
Point differential+27.7+27.7-
Avg total150.6150.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%86%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon990100%79.967.7+12.2
2 Maryland98189%86.358.7+27.7
3 Penn State98189%90.167.8+22.3
4 Wisconsin98189%82.969.0+13.9
5 UCLA87188%78.253.1+25.1
6 Michigan87188%79.160.6+18.5
7 Iowa87188%86.571.9+14.6
8 Illinois76186%89.161.4+27.7
9 Nebraska76186%83.368.0+15.3
10 Michigan State97278%81.670.1+11.4
11 Indiana97278%80.269.3+10.9
12 Purdue97278%77.869.6+8.2
13 Washington75271%70.067.1+2.9
14 Northwestern96367%73.364.4+8.9
15 Ohio State85362%82.566.2+16.2
16 Rutgers85362%81.475.0+6.4
17 Minnesota106460%65.262.0+3.2
18 USC95456%71.971.7+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Northwestern24321470
Illinois27291066
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.