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Incarnate Word vs Houston Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-56
36-32 37-24
Position#287
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#297
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Houston Christian
03 Jan 2026
INCA73
HOUS56
01 Feb 2025
INCA74
HOUS64
27 Jan 2024
INCA79
HOUS75
11 Feb 2023
INCA78
HOUS84
20 Jan 2022
INCA65
HOUS68
08 Jan 2022
INCA60
HOUS50
09 Mar 2021
INCA68
HOUS80
27 Jan 2021
INCA57
HOUS73
04 Mar 2020
INCA76
HOUS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
19-35
42-34
41-38
46-43
40-46
40-45
65-23
52-32
34-32
37-35
33-34
34-40
26-38
57-46
37-31
28-38
39-33
51-33
39-32
40-38
152.6Avg total
80.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.873.4156.2+9.554%
Season at home (7)93.967.0160.9+26.9100%
Season away (6)70.080.8150.8-10.80%
Last 10 (10)80.072.6152.6+7.450%
Last 5 (5)76.872.6149.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.574.9140.4-9.412%
vs Similar (11)70.574.8145.4-4.327%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.165.3151.4+20.8100%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A27/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A29/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A03/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A06/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H13/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-23
40-44
38-35
31-39
35-32
37-33
27-34
35-46
34-40
41-37
36-35
49-41
36-36
30-30
40-33
28-45
22-31
42-48
28-41
33-48
147.1Avg total
71.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.674.5145.1-3.838%
Season at home (5)74.070.0144.0+4.060%
Season away (8)68.577.2145.8-8.825%
Last 10 (10)71.275.9147.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)69.879.2149.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.172.6136.6-8.524%
vs Similar (7)69.969.3139.1+0.643%
vs Weaker (5)76.667.0143.6+9.680%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -4.5-4.5
Incarnate WordHouston Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Texas Lutheran
#676
W
65-23
65
23
+42
H26/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A06/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A09/12
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
37.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.267.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.732.571.1+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)30.133.963.9-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.271.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.668.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.435.164.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (11)31.033.264.2-2.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.431.773.1+9.682%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A27/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A29/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A03/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H13/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/12
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A30/12
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.132.364.4-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.531.265.8+3.369%-
Last 30 away (17)30.233.263.4-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.068.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.267.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.932.663.5-1.753%-
vs Similar (7)32.131.063.1+1.171%-
vs Weaker (5)35.033.868.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HSE Louisiana79-70
21/12/25HNorthern Arizona90-66
16/12/25ATCU65-69
09/12/25ANew Orleans83-84
06/12/25ANicholls State67-74
02/12/25HMcNeese State71-67
26/11/25HTexas Lutheran117-55
23/11/25AHigh Point80-91
20/11/25HSouthern Indiana87-81
16/11/25AIndiana61-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25AIowa State61-89
18/12/25ANicholls State64-79
16/12/25HMcNeese State68-78
13/12/25HSE Louisiana71-74 OT
06/12/25ANew Orleans85-76
03/12/25ANorth Texas75-77
29/11/25AGeorgia Southern62-80
27/11/25ACitadel72-65
26/11/25ABellarmine69-74
21/11/25HCBS Ambassadors85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%100%0%
Points / game82.893.970.0
Allowed / game73.467.080.8
Point differential+9.5+26.9-10.8
Avg total156.2160.9150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game70.674.068.5
Allowed / game74.570.077.2
Point differential-3.8+4.0-8.8
Avg total145.1144.0145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1412286%79.664.9+14.8
2 McNeese State1411379%86.469.2+17.1
3 Incarnate Word137654%82.873.4+9.5
4 Lamar147750%72.668.8+3.9
5 Texas A&M-CC136746%76.568.4+8.1
6 Nicholls State146843%75.675.4+0.2
7 Houston Christian135838%70.674.5-3.8
8 UTRGV114736%75.671.0+4.6
9 New Orleans1551033%75.281.3-6.1
10 SE Louisiana1441029%65.770.4-4.7
11 Northwestern St.1441029%72.578.3-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word363773
Houston Christian322456
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