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Incarnate Word vs Lamar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-61
41-23 32-38
Position#190
Record14-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#123
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Incarnate Word v Lamar
09 Jan 2027
INCA v LAMA
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
INCA72
LAMA60
24 Feb 2025
INCA73
LAMA61
12 Feb 2024
INCA76
LAMA67
09 Feb 2023
INCA59
LAMA68
24 Feb 2021
INCA45
LAMA67
22 Jan 2020
INCA77
LAMA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
41-52
32-43
31-43
38-20
36-38
34-36
40-28
33-30
32-37
26-28
40-43
39-36
36-29
19-33
36-36
31-36
35-24
34-32
29-29
136.5Avg total
67.9Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.669.0142.6+4.650%
Season at home (15)80.166.7146.8+13.567%
Season away (13)66.171.6137.7-5.531%
Last 10 (10)67.968.6136.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)65.065.2130.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.172.1129.3-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.676.9147.4-6.311%
vs Weaker (13)79.863.5143.2+16.392%
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A20/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
61-58 OT
61
58
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A01/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H11/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A18/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
43-37
23-27
29-25
28-33
41-26
41-24
26-38
34-40
45-41
38-33
32-35
31-26
36-30
35-26
30-29
29-35
46-30
27-26
39-32
133.3Avg total
69.7Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)71.566.4137.9+5.164%
Season at home (14)72.663.4136.0+9.164%
Season away (14)70.469.3139.7+1.164%
Last 10 (10)69.763.6133.3+6.190%
Last 5 (5)68.660.4129.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.774.7138.3-11.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.269.6142.8+3.660%
vs Weaker (13)69.561.9131.4+7.577%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +4.4+4.4
Incarnate WordLamar
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#186
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
38-20
38
20
+18
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A04/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A15/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H22/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.767.2+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.932.270.1+5.762%-
Last 30 away (14)30.533.463.9-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.765.0-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.062.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)25.732.358.0-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.237.469.7-5.222%-
vs Weaker (13)39.829.869.5+10.085%-
This opponent (Lamar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A01/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H11/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A22/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.565.7+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.130.765.8+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)31.434.365.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.762.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.261.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.237.763.8-11.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.834.368.1-0.540%-
vs Weaker (13)34.529.564.0+5.169%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Incarnate Word wins
6
Lamar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HStephen F. Austin63-61
18/02/25AUTRGV66-60
15/02/25ATexas A&M-CC55-69
11/02/25HNew Orleans75-65
08/02/25HSE Louisiana66-71
04/02/25AMcNeese State65-67
01/02/25HHouston Christian74-64
28/01/25ANew Orleans74-58
25/01/25ASE Louisiana63-86
20/01/25HUTRGV78-85
Lamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AHouston Christian66-58
18/02/25ANorthwestern St.75-65
15/02/25ATX A&M Commerce65-55
11/02/25HTexas A&M-CC67-56
09/02/25HUTRGV70-68
04/02/25ASE Louisiana79-81
01/02/25AStephen F. Austin67-62
28/01/25HNorthwestern St.69-59
26/01/25HTX A&M Commerce61-58 OT
20/01/25ANicholls State78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%67%31%
Points / game73.680.166.1
Allowed / game69.066.771.6
Point differential+4.6+13.5-5.5
Avg total142.6146.8137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lamar
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game71.572.670.4
Allowed / game66.463.469.3
Point differential+5.1+9.1+1.1
Avg total137.9136.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)75% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2923679%77.264.3+12.9
2 Lamar28181064%71.566.4+5.1
3 SE Louisiana29181162%73.369.5+3.8
4 Nicholls State28171161%74.970.1+4.7
5 Texas A&M-CC29171259%76.568.6+7.9
6 Incarnate Word28141450%73.669.0+4.6
7 Stephen F. Austin28141450%67.066.3+0.6
8 UTRGV29141548%76.373.8+2.5
9 Northwestern St.29141548%69.168.8+0.3
10 Houston Christian28111739%67.070.6-3.6
11 New Orleans2842414%69.482.1-12.8
12 TX A&M Commerce2832511%64.077.3-13.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Incarnate Word413273
Lamar233861
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